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Bradley vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 81-75 (OT)
36-30 27-33 18-12
Position#30
Record10-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game66.8
Bradley 🏆
USA
vs
Position#248
Record7-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game71.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bradley v Valparaiso
29 Dec 2026
BRAD v VALP
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
BRAD90
VALP84
03 Feb 2026
BRAD72
VALP65
08 Mar 2025
BRAD70
VALP65
29 Dec 2024
BRAD81
VALP75
07 Jan 2023
BRAD88
VALP66
26 Feb 2022
BRAD79
VALP55
29 Jan 2020
BRAD80
VALP69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bradley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BradleyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H13/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H17/11
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
82-68
82
68
+14
A21/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H24/11
NCAA
Judson
#681
W
107-41
107
41
+66
H29/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
83-60
83
60
+23
A04/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A14/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#45
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H19/12
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
92-59
92
59
+33
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-30
37-42
43-33
33-27
44-24
38-44
35-37
42-37
39-37
41-32
56-26
51-15
50-33
33-27
25-41
49-43
25-27
41-37
48-30
44-29
147.3Avg total
82.2Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.066.8148.8+15.283%
Season at home (7)84.960.7145.6+24.1100%
Season away (5)78.075.4153.4+2.660%
Last 10 (10)82.265.1147.3+17.190%
Last 5 (5)84.461.6146.0+22.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.584.5156.0-13.00%
vs Similar (9)73.870.3144.1+3.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)77.666.0143.6+11.682%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland State
#95
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H13/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H22/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
81-53
81
53
+28
H24/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H27/11
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A29/11
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H06/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H14/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
73-95
73
95
-22
A18/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A20/12
NCAA
Calumet College
#539
W
107-57
107
57
+50
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-28
36-47
39-32
38-32
35-29
46-24
41-39
46-43
29-42
41-47
26-35
34-31
36-31
57-46
30-41
43-54
26-42
50-31
47-29
60-28
152.2Avg total
79.1Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.471.7152.1+8.858%
Season at home (8)85.465.0150.4+20.475%
Season away (4)70.585.0155.5-14.525%
Last 10 (10)79.173.1152.2+6.060%
Last 5 (5)81.873.6155.4+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)67.578.4146.0-10.914%
vs Similar (4)80.270.8151.0+9.575%
vs Weaker (3)90.070.7160.7+19.3100%
This opponent (Bradley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.5+9.51st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +7.6+7.62nd half: +6.8+6.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.5+9.51st half: -0.8-0.82nd half2nd half: +7.6+7.62nd half: +6.8+6.8
BradleyValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BradleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H13/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H17/11
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
44-24
44
24
+20
A21/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A22/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H24/11
NCAA
Judson
#681
W
56-26
56
26
+30
H29/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A04/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A14/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#45
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H19/12
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H21/12
NCAA
73.1Avg total
41.3Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.632.368.9+4.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.429.468.8+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)33.535.669.1-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)41.331.873.1+9.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.831.472.2+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.534.563.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (9)32.636.469.0-3.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.631.069.6+7.671%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland State
#95
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H24/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H27/11
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H06/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H14/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A20/12
NCAA
Calumet College
#539
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H22/12
NCAA
68.8Avg total
34.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.237.071.2-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.235.171.3+1.156%-
Last 30 away (14)31.939.271.1-7.329%-
Last 10 (10)34.034.868.8-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)33.035.668.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)32.338.670.9-6.332%-
vs Similar (4)34.833.568.2+1.275%-
vs Weaker (3)38.036.774.7+1.367%-
This opponent (Bradley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Bradley wins
2
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
04/01/24Valparaiso v Bradley61-86
23/02/23Valparaiso v Bradley66-76
07/01/23Bradley v Valparaiso88-66
27/02/22Bradley v Valparaiso79-55
27/01/22Valparaiso v Bradley56-71
11/02/21Valparaiso v Bradley52-76
29/01/21Valparaiso v Bradley91-85 OT
23/02/20Valparaiso v Bradley90-78
30/01/20Bradley v Valparaiso80-69
Bradleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HCanisius92-59
19/12/24HSan Francisco66-64
14/12/24ASanta Clara74-84
04/12/24ASouthern Illinois83-60
29/11/24HJudson107-41
24/11/24HMiddle Tenn. St.80-69
22/11/24AWright State77-74
21/11/24ATexas State82-68
17/11/24HNorthern Illinois76-60
13/11/24HUTSA Roadrunners85-72
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HCalumet College107-57
20/12/24AWestern Michigan76-73
18/12/24AOhio State73-95
14/12/24HCentral Michigan93-77
06/12/24HDrake60-66
29/11/24ADePaul70-89
27/11/24HNorthern Illinois87-82
24/11/24HEastern Illinois81-53
22/11/24HLindenwood77-64
13/11/24HCleveland State67-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bradley
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %83%100%60%
Points / game82.084.978.0
Allowed / game66.860.775.4
Point differential+15.2+24.1+2.6
Avg total148.8145.6153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%86%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW58%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %58%75%25%
Points / game80.485.470.5
Allowed / game71.765.085.0
Point differential+8.8+20.4-14.5
Avg total152.1150.4155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake12120100%73.856.2+17.5
2 Bradley1210283%82.066.8+15.2
3 Belmont139469%81.277.8+3.3
4 Illinois (Chi.)128467%81.473.5+7.9
5 Illinois State128467%80.172.2+7.8
6 Northern Iowa138562%78.066.4+11.6
7 Indiana State138562%84.376.8+7.5
8 Valparaiso127558%80.471.7+8.8
9 Murray State137654%76.869.1+7.7
10 Southern Illinois135838%73.875.2-1.4
11 Evansville123925%65.674.3-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Bradley36271881
Valparaiso30331275
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