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Valparaiso vs Bradley Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 61-86
29-44 32-42
Position#355
Record4-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game71.1
vs
Bradley 🏆
USA
Position#71
Record8-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valparaiso v Bradley
18 Feb 2026
VALP79
BRAD72
26 Feb 2025
VALP65
BRAD76
03 Jan 2024
VALP61
BRAD86
22 Feb 2023
VALP66
BRAD76
26 Jan 2022
VALP56
BRAD71
10 Feb 2021
VALP52
BRAD76
28 Jan 2021
VALP91
BRAD85
29 Dec 2020
VALP v BRAD
upcoming
22 Feb 2020
VALP90
BRAD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bradley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#27
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A18/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H25/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
65-83
65
83
-18
H30/11
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A02/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
50-71
50
71
-21
A09/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H19/12
NCAA
Elon
#282
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-38
19-49
34-27
39-39
31-24
40-35
36-37
29-46
34-43
34-34
22-37
45-34
23-37
27-34
32-33
30-30
27-35
34-44
29-42
49-40
139.7Avg total
65.9Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)67.671.1138.7-3.531%
Season at home (8)69.067.0136.0+2.050%
Season away (5)65.477.6143.0-12.20%
Last 10 (10)65.973.8139.7-7.920%
Last 5 (5)63.673.2136.8-9.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)66.074.6140.6-8.615%
vs Similar (6)71.270.3141.5+0.850%
vs Weaker (4)78.266.2144.5+12.075%
This opponent (Bradley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BradleyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#251
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A21/11
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A23/11
NCAA
Vermont
#16
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H26/11
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A30/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H02/12
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
52-67
52
67
-15
A06/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#137
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H16/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A19/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H22/12
NCAA
Truman State
#434
W
69-47
69
47
+22
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
40-41
37-26
26-33
35-29
44-41
32-42
40-37
30-49
47-36
29-28
23-39
27-30
42-46
40-37
27-32
39-35
36-29
31-25
38-22
139.6Avg total
70.3Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.868.7140.5+3.262%
Season at home (7)75.367.3142.6+8.071%
Season away (6)67.870.3138.2-2.550%
Last 10 (10)70.369.3139.6+1.050%
Last 5 (5)66.464.6131.0+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.085.0162.0-8.00%
vs Similar (11)68.568.6137.1-0.264%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)73.166.2139.4+6.981%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -3.9-3.92nd half: +0.7+0.7
ValparaisoBradley
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#27
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A18/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H25/11
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H30/11
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A02/12
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A07/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A09/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H19/12
NCAA
Elon
#282
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A29/12
NCAA
66.6Avg total
31.3Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.834.667.4-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.131.865.9+2.350%-
Last 30 away (14)31.437.869.1-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)31.335.366.6-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)26.636.863.4-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)30.936.567.4-5.725%-
vs Similar (6)34.034.568.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (4)41.025.066.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Bradley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BradleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#251
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A21/11
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A23/11
NCAA
Vermont
#16
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H26/11
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A30/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H02/12
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A06/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#137
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H16/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A19/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H22/12
NCAA
Truman State
#434
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H29/12
NCAA
67.7Avg total
34.0Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.132.166.3+2.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.232.365.6+0.969%-
Last 30 away (14)35.131.967.1+3.271%-
Last 10 (10)34.033.767.7+0.370%-
Last 5 (5)33.231.064.2+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.049.079.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (11)33.234.267.4-1.064%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)35.229.664.8+5.681%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valparaiso wins
6
Bradley wins
DateGameScore
23/02/23Valparaiso v Bradley66-76
07/01/23Bradley v Valparaiso88-66
27/02/22Bradley v Valparaiso79-55
27/01/22Valparaiso v Bradley56-71
11/02/21Valparaiso v Bradley52-76
29/01/21Valparaiso v Bradley91-85 OT
23/02/20Valparaiso v Bradley90-78
30/01/20Bradley v Valparaiso80-69
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23AElon78-82
19/12/23HSamford61-79
16/12/23HChicago State62-63
09/12/23AVirginia Tech50-71
07/12/23ACentral Michigan67-71
02/12/23ABelmont68-77
30/11/23HDrake65-83
25/11/23HSouthern Univ.71-59
22/11/23HWestern Illinois73-66
18/11/23AIllinois64-87
Bradleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HTruman State69-47
22/12/23HSiu Edwardsville75-64
19/12/23ADuquesne67-69
16/12/23HCleveland State69-76
06/12/23AAkron52-67
02/12/23HIndiana State77-85
30/11/23AMurray State72-79
26/11/23HVermont79-70
23/11/23AUTEP63-59
21/11/23ATulane80-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %31%50%0%
Points / game67.669.065.4
Allowed / game71.167.077.6
Point differential-3.5+2.0-12.2
Avg total138.7136.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bradley
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW62%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game71.875.367.8
Allowed / game68.767.370.3
Point differential+3.2+8.0-2.5
Avg total140.5142.6138.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %15%14%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1412286%87.172.1+15.0
2 Drake1412286%79.467.2+12.1
3 Southern Illinois1410471%75.363.4+11.9
4 Evansville1410471%80.172.1+8.0
5 Belmont149564%79.878.7+1.1
6 Bradley138562%71.868.7+3.2
7 Illinois State148657%68.869.2-0.4
8 Illinois (Chi.)147750%71.164.4+6.7
9 Northern Iowa136746%77.873.8+4.0
10 Murray State145936%72.572.3+0.2
11 Valparaiso134931%67.671.1-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso293261
Bradley444286
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