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Bradley vs Valparaiso Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#252
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game59.8
Allowed / game56.4
vs
Position#165
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Bradley v Valparaiso
29 Dec 2026
BRAD v VALP
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
BRAD90
VALP84
03 Feb 2026
BRAD72
VALP65
08 Mar 2025
BRAD70
VALP65
29 Dec 2024
BRAD81
VALP75
07 Jan 2023
BRAD88
VALP66
26 Feb 2022
BRAD79
VALP55
29 Jan 2020
BRAD80
VALP69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bradley win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BradleyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#96
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
A25/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H07/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#329
W
85-41
85
41
+44
H03/11
NCAA
Pacific
#149
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H08/11
NCAA
Davidson
#124
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#336
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A12/11
NCAA
George Mason
#65
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-31
31-29
28-39
44-33
36-35
51-43
31-31
33-33
32-45
37-28
37-19
48-22
19-29
33-34
20-30
25-32
32-34
24-20
31-27
30-35
137.5Avg total
70.5Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)59.856.4116.2+3.440%
Season at home (2)68.552.0120.5+16.550%
Season away (3)54.059.3113.3-5.333%
Last 10 (10)70.567.0137.5+3.550%
Last 5 (5)59.856.4116.2+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.271.8138.0-5.620%
vs Similar ◀ (16)74.774.3149.0+0.456%
vs Weaker (8)80.266.9147.1+13.4100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H06/03
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#303
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H03/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
A06/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#64
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
49-43
27-32
35-35
44-37
31-29
40-38
36-37
38-34
42-34
37-46
28-37
35-25
31-31
33-33
38-19
42-39
20-32
38-26
32-49
37-32
149.4Avg total
75.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.373.0150.3+4.367%
Season at home (1)80.058.0138.0+22.0100%
Season away (2)76.080.5156.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)75.873.6149.4+2.270%
Last 5 (5)75.874.2150.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.570.5138.9-2.045%
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.574.9149.4-0.553%
vs Weaker (4)82.864.0146.8+18.875%
This opponent (Bradley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +2.9+2.9
BradleyValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BradleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#96
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A25/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H01/03
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H07/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#329
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H03/11
NCAA
Pacific
#149
L
19-29
19
29
-10
H08/11
NCAA
Davidson
#124
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A11/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#336
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A12/11
NCAA
George Mason
#65
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A14/11
NCAA
62.9Avg total
30.9Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.766.9-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.931.866.7+3.253%-
Last 30 away (13)31.036.267.2-5.215%-
Last 10 (10)30.932.062.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)27.827.855.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.032.260.2-4.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.135.369.4-1.244%-
vs Weaker (8)33.232.065.2+1.225%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H19/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A21/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Bradley
#91
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#303
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H03/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A06/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#64
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A12/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
34.2Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.832.666.4+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.529.766.3+6.867%-
Last 30 away (15)31.135.566.6-4.320%-
Last 10 (10)34.234.668.8-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)29.833.663.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.332.163.4-0.836%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.134.568.6-0.533%-
vs Weaker (4)40.026.866.8+13.2100%-
This opponent (Bradley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Bradley wins
1
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Bradley v Valparaiso90-84 OT
19/02/26Valparaiso v Bradley79-72
04/02/26Bradley v Valparaiso72-65
08/03/25Bradley v Valparaiso70-65
27/02/25Valparaiso v Bradley65-76
29/12/24Bradley v Valparaiso81-75 OT
04/01/24Valparaiso v Bradley61-86
23/02/23Valparaiso v Bradley66-76
07/01/23Bradley v Valparaiso88-66
27/02/22Bradley v Valparaiso79-55
Bradleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGeorge Mason61-62
12/11/26ACoppin State56-54
11/11/26ADavidson45-62
08/11/26HPacific52-63
03/11/26HMonmouth85-41
07/03/26HNorthern Iowa69-73
07/03/26HValparaiso90-84 OT
01/03/26HMurray State87-78
25/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)86-93 OT
22/02/26HIllinois State74-60
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ASouth Dakota St.69-81
06/11/26APurdue83-80 OT
03/11/26HWestern Illinois80-58
07/03/26ABradley84-90 OT
06/03/26HIndiana State63-62
28/02/26AEvansville79-80
26/02/26HDrake74-71
21/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)71-67
19/02/26HBradley79-72
15/02/26HIndiana State76-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bradley
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game59.868.554.0
Allowed / game56.452.059.3
Point differential+3.4+16.5-5.3
Avg total116.2120.5113.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game77.380.076.0
Allowed / game73.058.080.5
Point differential+4.3+22.0-4.5
Avg total150.3138.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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