Braga vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Braga host Sporting CP in the LPB. Pythia makes Braga the favourite at 50% and projects 81-81, about 162 points in all (over 163.5: 47%). On the market's main spread (Braga +1.5) Pythia gives Braga 53% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Braga are 3-1 this season (89.8 scored, 77.5 allowed a game), form LLWWW; Sporting CP are 2-2 this season (78.5 scored, 76.8 allowed a game), form WLWWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winWon

50.4%fair 1.98

Best odds1.93

Implied49.5%

Edge+0.9pp

Sporting CP winLost

49.6%fair 2.02

Best odds1.86

Implied50.5%

Edge-0.9pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Braga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBraga

Date

Competition

Vitoria

#10

101-84

101

+17

107avg 75

H04/04

LPB

Benfica

77-108

108

-31

66avg 75

A11/04

LPB

FC Porto

68-82

-14

58avg 75

H18/04

LPB

Ovarense

74-67

66avg 75

A25/04

LPB

Benfica

72-90

-18

62avg 75

A09/05

LPB

Benfica

79-94

-15

68avg 75

H13/05

LPB

Ovarense

83-96

-13

71avg 75

A03/10

LPB

Portimonense

#11

105-71

105

+34

107avg 75

H11/10

LPB

Vitoria

91-72

+19

98avg 75

H18/10

LPB

CD Povoa

80-71

75avg 75

A25/10

LPB

11-19

40-22

29-22

21-21

17-28

15-26

27-30

18-24

21-17

19-29

12-21

16-15

28-21

16-14

18-19

12-13

19-24

15-22

24-24

14-20

18-22

23-33

20-17

19-26

9-26

20-23

35-21

28-18

33-21

17-18

27-14

20-12

23-18

26-22

22-20

20-22

23-14

19-14

18-21

166.5Avg total

83.0Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	89.8	77.5	167.2	+12.2	75%
Season at home (2)	98.0	71.5	169.5	+26.5	100%
Season away (2)	81.5	83.5	165.0	-2.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	83.5	166.5	-0.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.6	80.8	168.4	+6.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	74.2	87.2	161.3	-13.0	17%
vs Similar (8)	80.6	81.8	162.4	-1.1	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	88.5	75.1	163.6	+13.4	80%

This opponent (Sporting CP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sporting CP Portugal

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCP

Date

Competition

FC Porto

76-86

-10

60avg 79

A29/05

LPB

FC Porto

86-94

-8

72avg 79

A31/05

LPB

Benfica

71-84

-13

56avg 79

A03/10

LPB

Rilski Sportist

#47

79-75 OT

69avg 79

H07/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Esgueira

#12

88-60

+28

88avg 79

H10/10

LPB

SCM Craiova

#33

97-77

+20

99avg 79

A14/10

FIBA Europe Cup

CAB Madeira

#10

84-93

-9

73avg 79

A17/10

LPB

Kolossos Rhodes

#14

71-69 OT

66avg 79

H21/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Ovarense

71-70

65avg 79

H24/10

LPB

Gence

#40

67-69

-2

60avg 79

A29/10

FIBA Europe Cup

20-21

21-27

19-21

16-17

14-30

33-27

28-19

11-18

19-19

22-19

13-19

17-27

20-16

23-18

15-13

10-21

20-17

23-8

23-18

22-17

23-20

25-23

25-14

24-20

22-23

20-26

20-25

22-19

15-21

22-20

15-10

14-15

16-24

22-12

14-16

19-18

18-20

15-18

14-16

20-15

156.7Avg total

79.0Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	78.5	76.8	155.2	+1.8	50%
Season at home (2)	79.5	65.0	144.5	+14.5	100%
Season away (2)	77.5	88.5	166.0	-11.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	77.7	156.7	+1.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	75.6	153.6	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	73.2	82.0	155.2	-8.8	50%
vs Similar (9)	83.4	83.7	167.1	-0.2	33%
vs Weaker (15)	86.3	73.1	159.4	+13.1	80%

This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 158.5Actual: Over 158.5

Over 158.5

58.5%

@ 1.62-1.1pp

Under 158.5

41.5%

@ 2.50+1.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.62

Marathon Be

1.57

Bet365

1.50

Under

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.12

Over/Under 163.5 · main lineActual: Over 163.5

Over 163.5

46.5%

@ 2.02-1.5pp

Under 163.5

53.5%

@ 1.85+1.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.02

Marathon Be

1.92

SBO

1.87

1xBet

1.86

WilliamHill

1.85

Under

WilliamHill

1.85

Bet365

1.83

SBO

1.79

Marathon Be

1.72

Betano

1.67

Over/Under 168.5Actual: Over 168.5

Over 168.5

34.9%

@ 2.65-1.1pp

Under 168.5

65.1%

@ 1.50+1.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.65

Bet365

2.50

Under

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.40

📊 3. Team Totals

Braga total 75.5Actual: Braga over 75.5

Over 75.5

71.0%

@ 1.47+6.4pp

Under 75.5

29.0%

@ 2.67-6.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.32

Under

1xBet

2.67

Betano

2.42

Braga total 79.5 · main lineActual: Braga over 79.5

Over 79.5

56.5%

@ 1.75+3.0pp

Under 79.5

43.5%

@ 1.98-3.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.75

Betano

1.72

1xBet

1.60

Under

Betano

1.98

1xBet

1.87

BetVictor

1.75

Braga total 83.5Actual: Braga over 83.5

Over 83.5

41.2%

@ 2.32+1.1pp

Under 83.5

58.8%

@ 1.52-1.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.32

1xBet

2.14

Under

Betano

1.52

1xBet

1.46

Sporting CP total 77.5Actual: Sporting CP over 77.5

Over 77.5

63.5%

@ 1.45+0.5pp

Under 77.5

36.5%

@ 2.72-0.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.45

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.39

Under

Bet365

2.72

Betano

2.47

1xBet

2.34

Sporting CP total 81.5 · main lineActual: Sporting CP over 81.5

Over 81.5

48.3%

@ 1.91-1.1pp

Under 81.5

51.7%

@ 1.83+1.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.91

Betano

1.88

Marathon Be

1.84

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.74

Under

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.82

Betano

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

1xBet

1.70

Sporting CP total 85.5Actual: Sporting CP over 85.5

Over 85.5

33.5%

@ 2.65-2.9pp

Under 85.5

66.5%

@ 1.52+2.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.65

1xBet

2.41

Bet365

2.40

Under

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Braga -1.5Actual: Braga -1.5

BRAG -1.5

47.5%

@ 2.17+2.7pp

SCP +1.5

52.5%

@ 1.76-2.7pp

Best 5 market prices

BRAG

Bet365

2.17

Betano

2.05

Marathon Be

2.02

1xBet

2.00

Betfair

2.00

SCP

SBO

1.76

BetVictor

1.75

Betfair

1.73

Betano

1.65

Bet365

1.64

Spread Braga +1.5 · main lineActual: Braga +1.5

BRAG +1.5

53.3%

@ 1.83+1.8pp

SCP -1.5

46.7%

@ 2.00-1.8pp

Best 5 market prices

BRAG

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.79

SBO

1.76

SCP

Betfair

2.00

BetVictor

1.91

SBO

1.91

Marathon Be

1.88

Betano

1.87

Spread Braga +4.5Actual: Braga +4.5

BRAG +4.5

64.5%

@ 1.80+4.8pp

SCP -4.5

35.5%

@ 2.33-4.8pp

Best 5 market prices

BRAG

Betfair

1.80

SBO

1.79

Bet365

1.55

Betano

1.52

Marathon Be

1.48

SCP

1xBet

2.33

Betano

2.32

Bet365

2.30

Betfair

1.91

SBO

1.87

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BragaSporting CP

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	40%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.3	50%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	23.5	44.4	-2.6	29%	71%
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.7	23.8	43.4	-4.1	25%	67%
vs Similar (8)	19.2	20.6	39.9	-1.4	50%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.9	18.0	38.9	+2.9	50%	40%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	47%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.4	50%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	21.7	43.1	-0.3	43%	57%
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.1	39.8	-2.4	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.8	20.8	38.7	-3.0	17%	17%
vs Similar (9)	22.3	22.3	44.7	+0.0	44%	89%
vs Weaker (15)	21.1	18.7	39.7	+2.4	60%	33%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.25
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	37%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	21.3	41.1	-1.6	38%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	20.6	38.9	-2.4	36%	43%
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.4	42.5	-0.3	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.2	22.3	39.6	-5.1	25%	58%
vs Similar (8)	20.1	22.0	42.1	-1.9	25%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	60%	40%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.25
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	60%	60%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+2.9	69%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	20.9	41.9	+0.0	50%	57%
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	70%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.5	19.5	38.0	-1.0	67%	50%
vs Similar (9)	23.6	24.1	47.7	-0.6	44%	100%
vs Weaker (15)	21.2	17.3	38.5	+3.9	67%	40%

BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vitoria

#10

51-41

+10

H04/04

LPB

Benfica

32-54

-22

A11/04

LPB

FC Porto

40-46

-6

H18/04

LPB

Ovarense

44-35

A25/04

LPB

Benfica

34-46

-12

A09/05

LPB

Benfica

36-44

-8

H13/05

LPB

Ovarense

28-52

-24

A03/10

LPB

Portimonense

#11

61-39

+22

H11/10

LPB

Vitoria

43-30

+13

H18/10

LPB

CD Povoa

43-36

A25/10

LPB

83.5Avg total

41.2Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	39.0	42.0	81.0	-3.0	43%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	38.9	40.1	79.0	-1.2	44%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	39.2	44.1	83.4	-4.9	43%	57%
Last 10 (10)	41.2	42.3	83.5	-1.1	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	42.2	40.2	82.4	+2.0	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	36.9	46.1	83.0	-9.2	17%	58%
vs Similar (8)	39.4	42.6	82.0	-3.2	50%	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	41.3	36.6	77.9	+4.7	70%	30%

This opponent (Sporting CP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

41-48

-7

A29/05

LPB

FC Porto

47-57

-10

A31/05

LPB

Benfica

41-38

A03/10

LPB

Rilski Sportist

#47

43-34

H07/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Esgueira

#12

43-25

+18

H10/10

LPB

SCM Craiova

#33

48-43

A14/10

FIBA Europe Cup

CAB Madeira

#10

42-49

-7

A17/10

LPB

Kolossos Rhodes

#14

37-41

-4

H21/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Ovarense

38-36

H24/10

LPB

Gence

#40

33-38

-5

A29/10

FIBA Europe Cup

82.2Avg total

41.3Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	42.2	40.0	82.2	+2.2	57%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	42.0	37.7	79.7	+4.3	62%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	42.4	42.6	85.0	-0.3	50%	57%
Last 10 (10)	41.3	40.9	82.2	+0.4	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	39.6	41.4	81.0	-1.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	36.3	40.3	76.7	-4.0	50%	0%
vs Similar (9)	45.9	46.4	92.3	-0.6	33%	100%
vs Weaker (15)	42.3	36.0	78.3	+6.3	73%	33%

This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Braga win

BRAG win

no forecast

@ 1.95

SCP win

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Spread Braga +0.5 · main lineActual: Braga +0.5

BRAG +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

SCP -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 80.5 · main lineActual: Over 80.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 2.05

Braga 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Braga over 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.91

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

Sporting CP 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Sporting CP over 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.98

1st half: BRAG + total 80.5

BRAG & over

no forecast

@ 3.75

BRAG & under

no forecast

@ 4.00

1st half: Draw + total 80.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: SCP + total 80.5

SCP & over

no forecast

@ 3.45

SCP & under

no forecast

@ 3.65

1st half Over/Under 79.25Actual: Over 79.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half Over/Under 82Actual: Over 82

Over

no forecast

@ 1.91

Under

no forecast

@ 1.76

1st half Spread Braga -0.5Actual: Braga -0.5

BRAG -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.96

SCP +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.78

1st half Spread Braga +1.5Actual: Braga +1.5

BRAG +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.72

SCP -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.05

1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Over 83.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.12

Under

no forecast

@ 1.67

1st half Spread Braga -1.5Actual: Braga -1.5

BRAG -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.22

SCP +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

1st half Spread Braga +2.5Actual: Braga +2.5

BRAG +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

SCP -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.22

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Braga (regulation)

BRAG

no forecast

@ 2.00

Draw

no forecast

@ 16.50

SCP

no forecast

@ 1.88

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.2	42.3	-0.2	53%	60%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	21.1	42.5	+0.4	56%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	21.4	42.1	-0.8	50%	57%
Last 10 (10)	21.5	22.6	44.1	-1.1	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.6	24.2	43.8	-4.7	17%	67%
vs Similar (8)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	75%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.3	18.5	41.8	+4.8	80%	60%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.1	47%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	17.4	37.4	+2.7	50%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	18.9	39.3	+1.4	43%	57%
Last 10 (10)	18.6	17.1	35.7	+1.5	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	17.6	16.2	33.8	+1.4	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.8	18.5	35.3	-1.7	17%	33%
vs Similar (9)	20.7	17.3	38.0	+3.3	56%	33%
vs Weaker (15)	21.3	18.4	39.7	+2.9	53%	60%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.5	39.0	+2.1	63%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.1	75%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+0.9	50%	43%
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.6	38.9	+1.7	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.6	43.0	+5.8	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.7	16.8	34.5	+0.8	58%	17%
vs Similar (8)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	62%	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	23.9	20.0	43.9	+3.9	70%	60%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.3	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	18.0	37.9	+1.9	62%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.6	43%	64%
Last 10 (10)	17.5	18.7	36.2	-1.2	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.4	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.2	22.7	41.8	-3.5	33%	67%
vs Similar (9)	16.9	19.9	36.8	-3.0	22%	33%
vs Weaker (15)	22.0	18.3	40.3	+3.7	80%	47%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	41.6	39.7	81.3	+1.9	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	42.0	38.5	80.5	+3.5	62%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	41.2	41.1	82.3	+0.1	43%	43%
Last 10 (10)	41.8	41.2	83.0	+0.6	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	45.4	40.6	86.0	+4.8	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	37.2	41.1	78.3	-3.8	17%	42%
vs Similar (8)	41.2	39.1	80.4	+2.1	62%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	47.2	38.5	85.7	+8.7	90%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	40.1	37.7	77.8	+2.4	43%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	40.0	35.4	75.4	+4.6	44%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	40.2	40.4	80.6	-0.2	43%	57%
Last 10 (10)	36.1	35.8	71.9	+0.3	50%	20%
Last 5 (5)	37.4	33.6	71.0	+3.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	36.0	41.2	77.2	-5.2	17%	50%
vs Similar (9)	37.6	37.2	74.8	+0.3	33%	33%
vs Weaker (15)	43.3	36.7	79.9	+6.6	60%	47%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

BRAG win + total 163.5

🔒 Pro

SCP win + total 163.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BRAG leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SCP leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (BRAG:SCP): BRAG wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Braga +10.5	82.1%	1.37	Betano 1.37	-	-	-	-	+15.2pp	Won
Braga +11.5	84.3%	1.27	Betano 1.33	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	+10.9pp	Won
Braga +21.5	96.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Sporting CP under 93.5	88.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Sporting CP under 92.5	86.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Braga +9.5	79.7%	1.26	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Sporting CP under 89.5	79.1%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Braga +16.5	92.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Braga over 75.5	71.0%	1.40	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.32	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Sporting CP under 91.5	84.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Braga +26.5	98.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Sporting CP +23.5	97.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.8pp	Won
Sporting CP under 95.5	91.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Braga over 64.5	94.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Braga over 62.5	96.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Braga over 60.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Sporting CP +18.5	94.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Braga +8.5	77.1%	1.27	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Braga +7.5	74.3%	1.32	Betano 1.32	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Sporting CP under 87.5	73.2%	1.32	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Braga under 98.5	95.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Braga +6.5	71.3%	1.36	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.38	1xBet 1.29	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Sporting CP over 63.5	95.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Braga under 96.5	92.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Lost
Sporting CP over 61.5	97.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Braga under 91.5	83.9%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Lost
Under 188.5	93.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Braga over 66.5	92.4%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Under 178.5	83.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Lost
Sporting CP over 65.5	93.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Under 173.5	75.2%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Lost
Sporting CP over 74.5	73.8%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Braga under 92.5	86.1%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Lost
Braga under 94.5	89.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Lost
Braga under 90.5	81.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Lost
Braga over 70.5	85.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Braga over 68.5	89.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Sporting CP over 66.5	92.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.5%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	-
Under 183.5	89.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Lost
Braga over 74.5	74.2%	1.28	Bet365 1.29	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Sporting CP +13.5	87.6%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Sporting CP over 68.5	88.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Braga under 88.5	75.9%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Lost
Sporting CP over 70.5	84.8%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Sporting CP over 67.5	90.7%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Over 138.5	92.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Braga over 72.5	80.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Braga over 71.5	82.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Sporting CP +8.5	76.6%	1.24	Betano 1.25	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Lost
Braga over 69.5	87.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Sporting CP over 69.5	87.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+1.5pp	Won
Sporting CP +7.5	73.7%	1.26	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Lost
Sporting CP over 71.5	82.4%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Sporting CP +6.5	70.6%	1.29	Betano 1.31	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Lost
Over 143.5	87.2%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Sporting CP over 72.5	79.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
Sporting CP over 75.5	70.6%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Sporting CP over 73.5	76.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-0.9pp	Won
Over 148.5	79.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-0.9pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 81.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	18.4	50.0%	51.2%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.7	34.2%	31.6%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	21.9	15.8	72.1%	71.6%	15.8

They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 78.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	18.0	48.0%	51.2%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	8.6	30.6%	31.6%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	24.2	16.7	69.0%	71.6%	16.7

They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	17.7	50.0%	51.2%	35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	8.7	31.2%	31.6%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	23.3	14.7	63.1%	71.6%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	19.7	51.2%	51.2%	39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	7.9	30.5%	31.6%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	18.4	13.5	73.4%	71.6%	13.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	17.6	49.4%	51.2%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	9.6	32.1%	31.6%	28.7
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	71.6%	15.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	19.3	53.5%	51.2%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.9	9.1	30.5%	31.6%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	23.4	16.7	71.6%	71.6%	16.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	18.9	49.5%	51.2%	37.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	8.6	31.7%	31.6%	25.9
🏀 Free throws	22.0	15.0	67.9%	71.6%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	18.8	50.6%	51.2%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	8.9	32.0%	31.6%	26.8
🏀 Free throws	17.7	12.4	70.1%	71.6%	12.4

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Braga

WWWLLLWLLW

Sporting CP

LWWLWWWLLL

League position

+6.2

Net rating

+2.1

91.8

Offensive rating

88.6

85.6

Defensive rating

86.4

50.5%

Effective FG%

47.1%

48.6%

Opp. effective FG%

49.0%

18.0%

Turnover %

15.7%

0.34

Free-throw rate

0.37

34.2%

3-point %

30.6%

72.2%

Assist %

63.9%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Braga ■ Sporting CP

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Braga wins

Sporting CP wins

Date	Game	Score
21/03/26	Braga v Sporting CP	87-96
15/11/25	Sporting CP v Braga	88-74
10/12/22	Braga v Sporting CP	56-108

Bragalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/10/26	A	CD Povoa	80-71
18/10/26	H	Vitoria	91-72
11/10/26	H	Portimonense	105-71
03/10/26	A	Ovarense	83-96
13/05/26	H	Benfica	79-94
09/05/26	A	Benfica	72-90
25/04/26	A	Ovarense	74-67
18/04/26	H	FC Porto	68-82
11/04/26	A	Benfica	77-108
04/04/26	H	Vitoria	101-84

Sporting CPlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/10/26	A	Gence	67-69
24/10/26	H	Ovarense	71-70
21/10/26	H	Kolossos Rhodes	71-69 OT
17/10/26	A	CAB Madeira	84-93
14/10/26	A	SCM Craiova	97-77
10/10/26	H	Esgueira	88-60
07/10/26	H	Rilski Sportist	79-75 OT
03/10/26	A	Benfica	71-84
31/05/26	A	FC Porto	86-94
29/05/26	A	FC Porto	76-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga

LPB 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWW	75%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	75%	100%	50%
Points / game	89.8	98.0	81.5
Allowed / game	77.5	71.5	83.5
Point differential	+12.2	+26.5	-2.0
Avg total	167.2	169.5	165.0
Over 163.5	50%	50%	50%
Win by 10+	50%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sporting CP

LPB 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLW	50%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	78.5	79.5	77.5
Allowed / game	76.8	65.0	88.5
Point differential	+1.8	+14.5	-11.0
Avg total	155.2	144.5	166.0
Over 163.5	25%	0%	50%
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	5	4	1	80%	87.4	75.0	+12.4
2	Ovarense	5	4	1	80%	81.8	74.0	+7.8
3	FC Porto	5	4	1	80%	93.4	86.0	+7.4
4	Braga	4	3	1	75%	89.8	77.5	+12.2
5	Oliveirense	4	3	1	75%	93.8	90.8	+3.0
6	Sporting CP	4	2	2	50%	78.5	76.8	+1.8
7	CD Povoa	4	2	2	50%	74.2	72.8	+1.5
8	CA Queluz	4	2	2	50%	89.0	93.8	-4.8
9	Vitoria	4	2	2	50%	75.0	82.0	-7.0
10	CAB Madeira	5	1	4	20%	86.2	89.2	-3.0
11	Portimonense	5	0	5	0%	76.0	88.6	-12.6
12	Esgueira	5	0	5	0%	77.6	95.0	-17.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Braga	24	22	20	32	98
Sporting CP	23	19	21	23	86

← all games of the day

Braga vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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