Paulistano vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	74.8	71.9	146.6	+2.9	58%
Season at home (15)	77.8	72.6	150.4	+5.2	60%
Season away (16)	71.9	71.2	143.1	+0.8	56%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	71.6	147.5	+4.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	76.2	153.6	+1.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	71.4	82.8	154.2	-11.4	0%
vs Similar (10)	71.3	69.8	141.1	+1.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	81.3	70.2	151.5	+11.1	86%

This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brasilia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBrasilia

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

#13

92-88

82avg 58

A24/01

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#16

59-73

-14

44avg 58

A07/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#18

67-79

-12

56avg 58

A09/02

NBB

Flamengo

74-86

-12

58avg 58

H17/02

NBB

Cerrado

#17

73-95

-22

58avg 58

H01/03

NBB

Vasco

84-89

-5

69avg 58

H08/03

NBB

Botafogo

#15

106-108 OT

106

108

-2

no box

H10/03

NBB

Mogi

#14

61-104

104

-43

44avg 58

A20/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

85-103

103

-18

82avg 58

A22/03

NBB

Bauru

84-103

103

-19

66avg 58

H28/03

NBB

24-21

26-29

18-20

24-18

18-23

7-19

20-15

14-16

14-23

19-23

20-14

14-19

28-20

11-19

14-23

21-24

15-22

19-28

21-25

18-20

19-26

27-22

13-23

25-18

23-27

24-21

18-21

31-27

16-24

11-27

16-23

18-30

16-30

28-14

24-34

17-25

19-29

27-20

10-32

28-22

171.3Avg total

78.5Scored

92.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (31)	72.9	88.3	161.3	-15.4	13%
Season at home (15)	76.7	88.9	165.5	-12.2	13%
Season away (16)	69.4	87.8	157.2	-18.4	12%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	92.8	171.3	-14.3	10%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	101.4	185.4	-17.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	73.0	88.5	161.4	-15.5	13%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PaulistanoBrasilia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	17.4	36.5	+1.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.2	36.8	-1.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	22.6	40.4	-4.8	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.8	16.6	36.4	+3.1	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	21.6	39.1	-4.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.9	21.8	37.7	-5.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	24.5	43.7	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	27.2	45.8	-8.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	17.4	21.6	39.1	-4.2	33%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.5	36.3	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	16.8	37.9	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.8	18.1	34.9	-1.3	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.2	36.9	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.4	20.8	37.2	-4.4	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.9	17.0	33.9	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.1	16.9	38.0	+4.1	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.6	41.8	-3.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	21.9	41.6	-2.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	23.2	41.9	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.2	42.1	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.8	44.2	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	19.2	22.6	41.8	-3.4	30%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Flamengo

30-40

-10

A31/01

Super 8

Unifacisa

41-37

A08/02

NBB

Cearense

38-28

+10

A10/02

NBB

Pinheiros

#13

45-30

+15

H16/02

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

36-49

-13

H02/03

NBB

Pato

#12

37-45

-8

A09/03

NBB

Minas

32-46

-14

A11/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#16

55-33

+22

H20/03

NBB

Flamengo

36-40

-4

A26/03

NBB

Vasco

27-32

-5

A28/03

NBB

75.7Avg total

37.7Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	35.5	73.5	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.2	35.6	75.8	+4.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.9	35.5	71.4	+0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	38.0	75.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	39.2	76.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	34.2	43.4	77.6	-9.2	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.1	35.0	70.1	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	40.9	33.6	74.4	+7.3	79%	-

This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pinheiros

#13

50-50

A24/01

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#16

25-42

-17

A07/02

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#18

33-46

-13

A09/02

NBB

Flamengo

39-39

H17/02

NBB

Cerrado

#17

34-50

-16

H01/03

NBB

Vasco

46-48

-2

H08/03

NBB

Botafogo

#15

47-48

-1

H10/03

NBB

Mogi

#14

27-51

-24

A20/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

44-44

A22/03

NBB

Bauru

46-49

-3

H28/03

NBB

85.8Avg total

39.1Scored

46.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	44.2	80.9	-7.6	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	43.4	82.3	-4.4	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.6	45.0	79.6	-10.4	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	46.7	85.8	-7.6	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	48.0	90.0	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	36.6	44.2	80.9	-7.6	17%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	17.4	38.9	+4.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	16.6	33.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	60%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.9	16.8	34.7	+1.1	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.8	17.4	39.1	+4.4	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	22.1	39.5	-4.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.4	23.0	39.4	-6.6	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	21.2	39.6	-2.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	23.0	40.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	26.6	42.8	-10.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	17.4	22.1	39.5	-4.7	30%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.6	21.1	37.7	-4.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	16.8	37.1	+3.6	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.0	38.4	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.4	39.8	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	19.8	38.8	-0.8	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.6	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.8	40.4	-3.2	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.5	21.6	38.1	-5.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.9	42.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	24.4	48.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	18.6	21.8	40.4	-3.2	23%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	36.4	74.6	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	38.5	76.6	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.3	34.5	72.8	+3.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	33.6	71.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	37.0	77.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.2	39.4	76.6	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.2	34.8	71.0	+1.4	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	40.4	36.6	77.1	+3.8	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	43.8	79.8	-7.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.4	45.0	82.4	-7.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.8	42.8	77.6	-8.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	44.9	83.3	-6.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	51.0	91.0	-11.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)	36.0	43.8	79.8	-7.8	27%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 74.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game

48%

35%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	17.8	49.0%	51.8%	35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.0	34.6%	33.9%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	16.9	12.1	71.6%	72.6%	12.1

They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 73.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game

48%

35%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	16.1	45.4%	51.8%	32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	9.6	35.4%	33.9%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	17.1	12.3	71.9%	72.6%	12.3

They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.1	17.1	51.7%	51.8%	34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.7	8.4	37.0%	33.9%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	16.9	12.3	72.8%	72.6%	12.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	22.9	58.7%	51.8%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	10.8	40.6%	33.9%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	16.6	11.9	71.7%	72.6%	11.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	19.3	49.7%	51.8%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	8.0	32.1%	33.9%	23.9
🏀 Free throws	17.8	12.8	71.9%	72.6%	12.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	16.5	44.5%	51.8%	33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	8.9	33.2%	33.9%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	16.5	11.3	68.1%	72.6%	11.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.3	16.6	48.4%	51.8%	33.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.9	8.1	34.1%	33.9%	24.4
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.8	75.1%	72.6%	13.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.9	21.6	58.6%	51.8%	43.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	10.0	37.9%	33.9%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	18.2	13.6	74.7%	72.6%	13.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Paulistano

LLWLLLWWWL

Brasilia

LLLLLLLLLW

League position

#19

+4.2

Net rating

-22.3

104.4

Offensive rating

97.3

100.2

Defensive rating

119.6

50.2%

Effective FG%

48.7%

53.2%

Opp. effective FG%

59.6%

16.8%

Turnover %

16.9%

28.6%

Off. rebound %

19.8%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.27

34.6%

3-point %

35.4%

61.2%

Assist %

49.8%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Paulistano ■ Brasilia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Paulistano wins

Brasilia wins

Date	Game	Score
16/12/23	Brasilia v Paulistano	69-91
13/04/23	Paulistano v Brasilia	113-71
15/12/22	Brasilia v Paulistano	72-82
04/04/22	Brasilia v Paulistano	60-78
03/12/21	Paulistano v Brasilia	75-77 OT
05/04/21	Paulistano v Brasilia	70-66
14/11/20	Brasilia v Paulistano	57-73
15/02/20	Brasilia v Paulistano	90-78
09/11/19	Paulistano v Brasilia	86-68
11/01/19	Brasilia v Paulistano	71-97

Paulistanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/03/24	A	Vasco	70-73
26/03/24	A	Flamengo	68-81
20/03/24	H	Uniao Corinthians	106-72
11/03/24	A	Minas	70-72
09/03/24	A	Pato	73-83
02/03/24	H	Corinthians Paulista	71-81
16/02/24	H	Pinheiros	80-51
10/02/24	A	Cearense	64-51
08/02/24	A	Unifacisa	75-69
31/01/24	A	Flamengo	82-83

Brasilialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/03/24	H	Bauru	84-103
22/03/24	A	Sao Jose	85-103
20/03/24	A	Mogi	61-104
10/03/24	H	Botafogo	106-108 OT
08/03/24	H	Vasco	84-89
01/03/24	H	Cerrado	73-95
17/02/24	H	Flamengo	74-86
09/02/24	A	Caxias do Sul	67-79
07/02/24	A	Uniao Corinthians	59-73
24/01/24	A	Pinheiros	92-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano

NBB 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	58%
Home	LLWLW	60%
Away	WLLLL	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	58%	60%	56%
Points / game	74.8	77.8	71.9
Allowed / game	71.9	72.6	71.2
Point differential	+2.9	+5.2	+0.8
Avg total	146.6	150.4	143.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	47%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	0% (1)	40% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Brasilia

NBB 2023-24

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	13%
Home	LLLLL	13%
Away	WLLLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	31	15	16
Win %	13%	13%	12%
Points / game	72.9	76.7	69.4
Allowed / game	88.3	88.9	87.8
Point differential	-15.4	-12.2	-18.4
Avg total	161.3	165.5	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	3%	7%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	33% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	32	27	5	84%	87.9	76.1	+11.8
2	Flamengo	32	27	5	84%	84.9	73.7	+11.2
3	Minas	33	25	8	76%	85.9	73.4	+12.5
4	Vasco	32	23	9	72%	76.3	73.0	+3.4
5	Bauru	34	23	11	68%	81.7	78.8	+2.9
6	Unifacisa	32	20	12	62%	84.0	79.4	+4.6
7	Paulistano	31	18	13	58%	74.8	71.9	+2.9
8	Cearense	32	18	14	56%	79.6	77.1	+2.4
9	Sao Jose	32	17	15	53%	79.3	77.1	+2.3
10	Corinthians Paulista	32	17	15	53%	80.7	79.3	+1.3
11	Sao Paulo	32	16	16	50%	78.4	79.4	-1.0
12	Pato	33	15	18	45%	78.3	79.9	-1.6
13	Pinheiros	32	13	19	41%	74.8	78.3	-3.6
14	Uniao Corinthians	33	10	23	30%	75.1	84.0	-8.9
15	Botafogo	34	9	25	26%	79.1	87.9	-8.8
16	Cerrado	31	8	23	26%	74.8	76.7	-1.9
17	Mogi	32	8	24	25%	74.0	80.1	-6.1
18	Caxias do Sul	32	8	24	25%	72.0	80.3	-8.2
19	Brasilia	31	4	27	13%	72.9	88.3	-15.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Paulistano	27	21	23	24	95
Brasilia	11	13	8	18	50

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Paulistano vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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