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Brasilia vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 69-91
14-17 21-21 14-32 20-21
Position#19
Record3-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game85.0
Brasilia
Brazil
vs
Paulistano 🏆
Brazil
Position#7
Record9-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game70.2
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2023-24
Meetings · Brasilia v Paulistano
24 Oct 2026
BRAS91
PAUL73
30 Oct 2025
BRAS71
PAUL54
18 Dec 2024
BRAS87
PAUL102
16 Dec 2023
BRAS69
PAUL91
15 Dec 2022
BRAS72
PAUL82
04 Apr 2022
BRAS60
PAUL78
14 Nov 2020
BRAS57
PAUL73
15 Feb 2020
BRAS90
PAUL78
11 Jan 2019
BRAS71
PAUL97
14 Feb 2017
BRAS85
PAUL76
25 Apr 2016
BRAS83
PAUL78
16 Apr 2016
BRAS88
PAUL83
13 Mar 2016
BRAS81
PAUL69
09 Jan 2015
BRAS86
PAUL94
06 Mar 2014
BRAS100
PAUL77
12 Jan 2013
BRAS68
PAUL67
03 Mar 2012
BRAS97
PAUL63
13 Mar 2011
BRAS91
PAUL68
06 Mar 2009
BRAS105
PAUL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
82-92
82
92
-10
68avg 57
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
69-77
69
77
-8
60avg 57
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A14/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
55-92
55
92
-37
40avg 57
A16/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
54-79
54
79
-25
34avg 57
A19/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
53-84
53
84
-31
32avg 57
A24/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 57
H30/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
66-92
66
92
-26
43avg 57
H04/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
77-100
77
100
-23
55avg 57
A07/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
73-82
73
82
-9
58avg 57
A09/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-21
23-27
18-25
32-19
17-15
17-22
16-20
19-20
15-21
23-32
24-15
16-21
17-25
11-23
15-26
12-18
14-12
12-19
12-28
16-20
13-21
15-20
16-24
9-19
24-19
20-20
14-18
23-23
21-17
11-24
18-30
16-21
20-32
26-19
11-28
20-21
21-16
23-17
21-19
8-30
155.5Avg total
68.8Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.885.0156.8-13.223%
Season at home (6)77.383.5160.8-6.233%
Season away (7)67.186.3153.4-19.114%
Last 10 (10)68.886.7155.5-17.910%
Last 5 (5)70.087.6157.6-17.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)75.090.5165.6-15.512%
vs Similar (4)76.082.5158.5-6.525%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
W
67-55
67
55
+12
58avg 64
H06/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
72-68
72
68
+4
65avg 64
A09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 64
A17/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
79-68
79
68
+11
72avg 64
H22/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-86
71
86
-15
58avg 64
H25/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
63-51
63
51
+12
52avg 64
A28/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
81-65
81
65
+16
76avg 64
A30/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
72-77
72
77
-5
56avg 64
H05/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 64
H07/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
58avg 64
H11/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-16
18-14
23-13
15-12
21-12
22-22
20-18
9-16
20-20
20-13
22-21
17-17
23-17
24-15
25-13
7-23
9-24
21-19
21-17
20-26
18-11
8-8
20-14
17-18
22-15
19-15
16-22
24-13
19-23
17-22
22-18
14-14
16-9
26-21
23-19
20-28
20-20
17-18
24-20
9-18
143.3Avg total
73.9Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.270.2142.4+2.064%
Season at home (8)74.470.5144.9+3.962%
Season away (6)69.369.8139.2-0.567%
Last 10 (10)73.969.4143.3+4.570%
Last 5 (5)74.269.2143.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.883.8149.5-18.00%
vs Similar (12)76.374.1150.4+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.168.2150.3+13.993%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -3.3-3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -3.3-3.3
BrasiliaPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H11/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A14/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A16/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A19/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A24/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H30/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A07/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A09/12
NBB
77.4Avg total
35.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.845.583.2-7.723%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.144.284.3-4.231%-
Last 30 away (14)35.146.982.0-11.714%-
Last 10 (10)35.242.277.4-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.079.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.546.083.6-8.519%-
vs Similar (4)39.241.881.0-2.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H06/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A17/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H22/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H25/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
26-19
26
19
+7
A28/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A30/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H05/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H07/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H11/12
NBB
70.5Avg total
37.1Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.373.4+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.934.174.0+5.959%-
Last 30 away (13)35.736.872.5-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)37.133.470.5+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.432.468.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.845.277.0-13.50%-
vs Similar (12)38.235.974.1+2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.931.971.7+8.079%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 67.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.815.9
42.1%
51.8%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.2
30.6%
33.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.511.4
65.1%
72.6%11.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.1
47.3%
51.8%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.6
31.5%
33.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.112.5
69.1%
72.6%12.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
LLLWLLLLLL
Paulistano
LWLWWLWWWW
#19
League position
#7
-24.0
Net rating
+7.0
89.5
Offensive rating
103.3
113.6
Defensive rating
96.2
43.7%
Effective FG%
47.3%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.6%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
37.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.6%
3-point %
31.5%
49.8%
Assist %
53.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence89.5 · 103.3Defence113.6 · 96.2Shooting43.7% · 47.3%3-point %30.6% · 31.5%Ball care17.5% · 18.6%Off. rebounds22.5% · 37.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Brasilia   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brasilia wins
8
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
13/04/23Paulistano v Brasilia113-71
15/12/22Brasilia v Paulistano72-82
04/04/22Brasilia v Paulistano60-78
03/12/21Paulistano v Brasilia75-77 OT
05/04/21Paulistano v Brasilia70-66
14/11/20Brasilia v Paulistano57-73
15/02/20Brasilia v Paulistano90-78
09/11/19Paulistano v Brasilia86-68
11/01/19Brasilia v Paulistano71-97
15/12/18Paulistano v Brasilia83-82
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ABauru73-82
07/12/23AFranca77-100
04/12/23HSao Jose66-92
30/11/23HMogi81-80
24/11/23ACerrado53-84
19/11/23AVasco54-79
16/11/23AFlamengo55-92
14/11/23ABotafogo78-89
11/11/23HCaxias do Sul69-77
09/11/23HUniao Corinthians82-92
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/23HVasco70-76
07/12/23HBotafogo85-77
05/12/23HFlamengo72-77
30/11/23ACaxias do Sul81-65
28/11/23AUniao Corinthians63-51
25/11/23HMinas71-86
22/11/23HPato79-68
17/11/23ACorinthians Paulista79-71
09/11/23APinheiros72-68
06/11/23HUnifacisa67-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL23%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %23%33%14%
Points / game71.877.367.1
Allowed / game85.083.586.3
Point differential-13.2-6.2-19.1
Avg total156.8160.8153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paulistano
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL64%
HomeWLLWL62%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %64%62%67%
Points / game72.274.469.3
Allowed / game70.270.569.8
Point differential+2.0+3.9-0.5
Avg total142.4144.9139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1210283%83.072.3+10.7
2 Franca1310377%87.075.5+11.5
3 Minas1310377%83.976.4+7.5
4 Sao Jose139469%81.672.7+8.9
5 Unifacisa128467%78.074.0+4.0
6 Vasco1510567%72.368.5+3.9
7 Cearense128467%77.374.2+3.1
8 Paulistano149564%72.270.2+2.0
9 Bauru158753%78.276.1+2.1
10 Sao Paulo146843%77.180.3-3.1
11 Corinthians Paulista125742%80.280.8-0.6
12 Pinheiros125742%76.878.4-1.7
13 Pato135838%74.177.4-3.3
14 Uniao Corinthians135838%72.579.8-7.4
15 Caxias do Sul135838%71.779.5-7.8
16 Cerrado1441029%73.274.0-0.8
17 Botafogo1541127%76.483.3-6.9
18 Brasilia1331023%71.885.0-13.2
19 Mogi1421214%73.380.1-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia1421142069
Paulistano1721322191
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