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Brasilia vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 87-102
21-32 27-22 22-24 17-24
Position#6
Record11-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#12
Record6-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game73.1
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2024-25
Meetings · Brasilia v Paulistano
24 Oct 2026
BRAS91
PAUL73
30 Oct 2025
BRAS71
PAUL54
18 Dec 2024
BRAS87
PAUL102
16 Dec 2023
BRAS69
PAUL91
15 Dec 2022
BRAS72
PAUL82
04 Apr 2022
BRAS60
PAUL78
14 Nov 2020
BRAS57
PAUL73
15 Feb 2020
BRAS90
PAUL78
11 Jan 2019
BRAS71
PAUL97
14 Feb 2017
BRAS85
PAUL76
25 Apr 2016
BRAS83
PAUL78
16 Apr 2016
BRAS88
PAUL83
13 Mar 2016
BRAS81
PAUL69
09 Jan 2015
BRAS86
PAUL94
06 Mar 2014
BRAS100
PAUL77
12 Jan 2013
BRAS68
PAUL67
03 Mar 2012
BRAS97
PAUL63
13 Mar 2011
BRAS91
PAUL68
06 Mar 2009
BRAS105
PAUL84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
W
89-75
89
75
+14
79avg 66
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
105-99
105
99
+6
101avg 66
A02/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
73-72
73
72
+1
58avg 66
H05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
77-72
77
72
+5
66avg 66
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 66
A14/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
78-76
78
76
+2
68avg 66
A16/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
89-67
89
67
+22
86avg 66
A05/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
84-90
84
90
-6
74avg 66
A07/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
88-79
88
79
+9
86avg 66
A12/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
98-94
98
94
+4
91avg 66
H16/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
24-16
13-20
27-21
24-33
26-19
24-22
31-25
20-25
19-14
17-14
17-19
27-12
17-14
17-20
16-26
15-21
21-21
12-13
28-16
15-16
17-17
22-23
24-20
33-18
27-12
11-20
18-17
26-23
13-18
17-26
28-23
19-16
21-21
28-23
20-19
21-22
19-24
27-26
31-22
165.2Avg total
85.7Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.779.8163.5+3.973%
Season at home (5)83.078.8161.8+4.2100%
Season away (10)84.080.3164.3+3.760%
Last 10 (10)85.779.5165.2+6.290%
Last 5 (5)87.481.2168.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)77.590.8168.3-13.311%
vs Similar ◀ (8)88.483.0171.4+5.488%
vs Weaker (4)81.072.5153.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
L
84-86
84
86
-2
75avg 70
A30/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
88-70
88
70
+18
77avg 70
H02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
69-75
69
75
-6
64avg 70
H05/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
75-62
75
62
+13
72avg 70
A08/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
49-66
49
66
-17
34avg 70
A11/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
86-69
86
69
+17
79avg 70
A14/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
65-66
65
66
-1
52avg 70
A17/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
63avg 70
H04/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
73avg 70
H10/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
82-72
82
72
+10
83avg 70
H12/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
19-22
16-16
22-24
23-23
19-12
19-19
27-16
20-24
13-21
25-20
11-10
21-14
16-11
19-18
19-19
15-19
16-15
9-14
9-18
27-21
15-14
27-19
17-15
15-15
20-21
9-12
21-18
16-15
12-16
23-23
19-22
16-15
14-16
23-15
25-19
20-17
17-19
20-17
25-19
145.3Avg total
74.6Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.973.1149.0+2.743%
Season at home (8)79.575.4154.9+4.150%
Season away (6)71.070.2141.2+0.833%
Last 10 (10)74.670.7145.3+3.950%
Last 5 (5)76.269.6145.8+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.881.0153.8-8.20%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.971.6147.5+4.346%
vs Weaker (11)79.267.3146.5+11.964%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
BrasiliaPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A02/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A14/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A16/11
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
60-30
60
30
+30
A05/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A07/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A12/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H16/12
NBB
80.9Avg total
42.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.843.683.4-3.820%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.744.786.4-3.023%-
Last 30 away (17)38.442.781.1-4.418%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.080.9+4.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.479.6+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.446.784.1-9.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.939.681.5+2.250%-
vs Weaker (4)46.237.583.8+8.850%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A30/10
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H05/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A08/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A14/11
NBB
Pato
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/11
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H04/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H10/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H12/12
NBB
71.5Avg total
36.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.336.975.1+1.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.637.076.6+2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)36.736.773.4+0.029%-
Last 10 (10)36.135.471.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.433.868.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.343.379.7-7.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.536.073.5+1.531%-
vs Weaker (11)40.334.474.6+5.964%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.215.2
48.7%
50.9%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.6
36.4%
33.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws23.919.1
79.9%
72.7%19.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.5
51.7%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.5
32.2%
33.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.514.1
76.2%
72.7%14.1
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
WWLWWWWWWW
Paulistano
WWLLWLWLWL
#6
League position
#12
+7.3
Net rating
+5.2
114.4
Offensive rating
104.0
107.1
Defensive rating
98.7
51.7%
Effective FG%
50.3%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
13.5%
Turnover %
19.7%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.4%
3-point %
32.2%
61.2%
Assist %
58.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 104.0Defence107.1 · 98.7Shooting51.7% · 50.3%3-point %36.4% · 32.2%Ball care13.5% · 19.7%Off. rebounds25.7% · 29.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Brasilia   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brasilia wins
8
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
31/03/24Paulistano v Brasilia95-50
16/12/23Brasilia v Paulistano69-91
13/04/23Paulistano v Brasilia113-71
15/12/22Brasilia v Paulistano72-82
04/04/22Brasilia v Paulistano60-78
03/12/21Paulistano v Brasilia75-77 OT
05/04/21Paulistano v Brasilia70-66
14/11/20Brasilia v Paulistano57-73
15/02/20Brasilia v Paulistano90-78
09/11/19Paulistano v Brasilia86-68
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/24HPato98-94
12/12/24AVasco88-79
07/12/24AFlamengo84-90
05/12/24ABotafogo89-67
16/11/24AUniao Corinthians78-76
14/11/24ACaxias do Sul76-71
09/11/24HUnifacisa77-72
05/11/24HCearense73-72
02/11/24ACorinthians Paulista105-99
31/10/24APinheiros89-75
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24HCaxias do Sul82-72
10/12/24HUniao Corinthians78-65
04/12/24HVasco70-76
17/11/24APato65-66
14/11/24AUnifacisa86-69
11/11/24ACearense49-66
08/11/24ASao Jose75-62
05/11/24HCorinthians Paulista69-75
02/11/24HBotafogo88-70
30/10/24ASao Paulo84-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15510
Win %73%100%60%
Points / game83.783.084.0
Allowed / game79.878.880.3
Point differential+3.9+4.2+3.7
Avg total163.5161.8164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW43%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game75.979.571.0
Allowed / game73.175.470.2
Point differential+2.7+4.1+0.8
Avg total149.0154.9141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas1513287%83.069.3+13.7
2 Flamengo1512380%83.271.0+12.2
3 Brasilia1511473%83.779.8+3.9
4 Bauru1510567%80.278.7+1.5
5 Franca159660%80.577.5+3.0
6 Vasco159660%74.571.7+2.9
7 Sao Paulo159660%79.578.1+1.5
8 Pinheiros159660%74.372.9+1.3
9 Uniao Corinthians158753%78.180.6-2.5
10 Sao Jose167944%74.674.5+0.1
11 Unifacisa167944%74.876.6-1.8
12 Paulistano146843%75.973.1+2.7
13 Corinthians Paulista156940%80.481.6-1.2
14 Pato1551033%81.984.2-2.3
15 Mogi1651131%70.277.9-7.6
16 Botafogo1651131%71.680.3-8.8
17 Caxias do Sul1531220%70.778.3-7.6
18 Cearense1631319%68.377.4-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia2127221787
Paulistano32222424102
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