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Brasilia vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 90-78
20-20 18-21 30-20 22-17
Position#5
Record26-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#9
Record20-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game80.4
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2025-26
Meetings · Brasilia v Sao Jose
07 Apr 2026
BRAS90
SAO 78
23 Oct 2024
BRAS81
SAO 76
04 Dec 2023
BRAS66
SAO 92
04 Mar 2023
BRAS94
SAO 100
09 Mar 2020
BRAS77
SAO 92
15 Feb 2019
BRAS81
SAO 73
24 Jan 2016
BRAS83
SAO 73
25 Nov 2014
BRAS79
SAO 78
28 Apr 2014
BRAS82
SAO 95
26 Apr 2014
BRAS82
SAO 87
20 Mar 2014
BRAS90
SAO 91
09 May 2013
BRAS81
SAO 98
03 May 2013
BRAS91
SAO 76
01 May 2013
BRAS100
SAO 79
26 Jan 2013
BRAS90
SAO 57
26 Jan 2012
BRAS82
SAO 83
04 Feb 2011
BRAS75
SAO 68
15 Apr 2009
BRAS94
SAO 72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H07/02
NBB
Minas
#3
L
91-92
91
92
-1
A17/02
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
93-87
93
87
+6
A19/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H06/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
81-49
81
49
+32
A11/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A14/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H20/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
72-69 OT
72
69
+3
H23/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H25/03
NBB
Pato
#17
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A02/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
16-20
20-16
23-13
20-31
28-26
16-26
27-9
24-26
20-23
24-22
25-16
16-10
20-23
23-18
20-22
24-14
15-4
21-23
21-8
19-16
12-18
20-13
8-17
19-22
21-20
26-15
23-17
17-11
12-20
13-18
20-13
23-23
28-21
13-19
25-24
16-13
14-13
20-20
17-12
151.8Avg total
80.4Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)81.171.7152.8+9.474%
Season at home (16)83.470.6154.1+12.894%
Season away (19)79.272.6151.7+6.658%
Last 10 (10)80.471.4151.8+9.080%
Last 5 (5)75.270.4145.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.092.0176.0-8.00%
vs Similar (10)78.577.2155.7+1.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)81.669.8151.4+11.784%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H06/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A11/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A13/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
95-103
95
103
-8
H20/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A22/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H05/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
71-96
71
96
-25
H11/03
NBB
Pato
#17
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A18/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A23/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
91-93
91
93
-2
H01/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
17-16
17-16
24-19
21-18
20-15
17-17
16-22
17-31
21-19
16-14
16-15
6-28
31-27
31-18
27-30
15-31
19-15
25-15
9-17
27-23
23-17
25-24
23-17
24-27
18-18
18-31
11-20
13-15
17-19
28-24
23-14
15-16
25-15
25-22
17-23
27-22
20-21
17-27
27-23
164.5Avg total
81.7Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)82.680.4163.0+2.259%
Season at home (18)84.679.9164.6+4.767%
Season away (16)80.380.9161.2-0.650%
Last 10 (10)81.782.8164.5-1.150%
Last 5 (5)84.683.6168.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)84.590.3174.8-5.817%
vs Similar (11)78.481.6160.0-3.345%
vs Weaker (13)87.376.8164.2+10.592%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
BrasiliaSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H07/02
NBB
Minas
#3
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A17/02
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A19/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H06/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
39-18
39
18
+21
A11/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A14/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H20/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H23/03
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H25/03
NBB
Pato
#17
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A02/04
NBB
75.5Avg total
38.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.636.975.5+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.936.577.4+4.475%-
Last 30 away (18)37.037.274.2-0.239%-
Last 10 (10)38.936.675.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.235.471.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (10)36.540.877.3-4.320%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.834.674.4+5.274%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H06/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A11/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A13/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H20/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A22/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H05/03
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H11/03
NBB
Pato
#17
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A18/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A23/03
NBB
Franca
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H01/04
NBB
82.5Avg total
40.5Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.983.7-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.541.886.2+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)38.642.180.8-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.082.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.680.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.548.591.0-6.033%-
vs Similar (11)38.942.781.6-3.836%-
vs Weaker (13)43.838.282.1+5.662%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.2
53.5%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.0
34.2%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.913.4
67.3%
72.8%13.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.8
55.6%
52.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.4
28.0%
32.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.616.4
75.9%
72.8%16.4
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
WWWWLWWWLW
Sao Jose
LWWLWLLLWW
#5
League position
#9
+9.3
Net rating
-4.7
92.4
Offensive rating
88.8
83.1
Defensive rating
93.5
52.5%
Effective FG%
49.8%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.2%
3-point %
28.0%
62.4%
Assist %
62.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 88.8Defence83.1 · 93.5Shooting52.5% · 49.8%3-point %34.2% · 28.0%Ball care16.4% · 16.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Brasilia   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brasilia wins
6
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
10/12/25Sao Jose v Brasilia87-73
11/01/25Sao Jose v Brasilia94-79
23/10/24Brasilia v Sao Jose81-76
22/03/24Sao Jose v Brasilia103-85
04/12/23Brasilia v Sao Jose66-92
04/03/23Brasilia v Sao Jose94-100
03/12/22Sao Jose v Brasilia89-94
09/03/20Brasilia v Sao Jose77-92
30/11/19Sao Jose v Brasilia92-94
15/02/19Brasilia v Sao Jose81-73
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/26APato67-58
25/03/26HFlamengo89-87
23/03/26HMogi72-69 OT
20/03/26HCorinthians Paulista89-74
14/03/26AUnifacisa59-64
11/03/26ACearense81-49
06/03/26HBotafogo79-73
19/02/26ACruzeiro93-87
17/02/26AMinas91-92
07/02/26HVasco84-61
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26HFranca91-93
23/03/26ARio Claro82-76
18/03/26APato81-72
11/03/26HBauru71-96
05/03/26HOsasco98-81
22/02/26AMogi68-78
20/02/26HCorinthians Paulista95-103
13/02/26AFlamengo70-79
11/02/26AVasco74-72
06/02/26HUnifacisa87-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351619
Win %74%94%58%
Points / game81.183.479.2
Allowed / game71.770.672.6
Point differential+9.4+12.8+6.6
Avg total152.8154.1151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%56%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)83% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %9%6%11%
Sao Jose
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL59%
HomeWLWLL67%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %59%67%50%
Points / game82.684.680.3
Allowed / game80.479.980.9
Point differential+2.2+4.7-0.6
Avg total163.0164.6161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%39%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3529683%90.777.1+13.7
2 Pinheiros3629781%85.574.6+10.9
3 Minas3527877%87.882.3+5.6
4 Brasilia3526974%81.171.7+9.4
5 Flamengo35251071%86.878.7+8.1
6 Corinthians Paulista34241071%84.278.6+5.6
7 Paulistano35221363%83.478.1+5.3
8 Sao Jose34201459%82.680.4+2.2
9 Bauru36211558%81.979.0+2.9
10 Mogi35191654%76.170.9+5.2
11 Unifacisa35181751%81.580.3+1.2
12 Uniao Corinthians35181751%79.581.3-1.8
13 Caxias do Sul35161946%73.976.8-2.9
14 Cruzeiro34112332%79.485.5-6.1
15 Rio Claro36112531%78.185.8-7.7
16 Botafogo35102529%72.882.0-9.3
17 Pato3472721%72.879.8-7.0
18 Cearense3672919%76.789.1-12.3
19 Vasco3553014%70.580.7-10.2
20 Osasco3553014%75.588.1-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia2018302290
Sao Jose2021201778
← all games of the day
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