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Breidablik vs Stjarnan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 73-97
22-28 14-28 20-19 17-22
Position#11
Record1-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game100.3
vs
Position#7
Record6-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game83.6
IcelandPremier leagueRound 11· Smarinn
Other2023-24
Meetings · Breidablik v Stjarnan
14 Dec 2023
BREI73
STJA97
02 Dec 2022
BREI101
STJA90
31 Mar 2022
BREI105
STJA107
11 Oct 2018
BREI87
STJA102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breidablik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stjarnan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreidablikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreidablik
Date
Competition
Hottur
#8
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A12/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
71-91
71
91
-20
60avg 74
H19/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
85-115
85
115
-30
77avg 74
A26/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
77-92
77
92
-15
63avg 74
H02/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
L
93-99
93
99
-6
77avg 74
H10/11
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
104-120
104
120
-16
94avg 74
A17/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
87-69
87
69
+18
79avg 74
H24/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
86-100
86
100
-14
77avg 74
A30/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
85-110
85
110
-25
70avg 74
H07/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 74
H10/12
Icelandic Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
16-14
21-15
19-27
20-32
15-12
18-26
18-21
25-26
19-33
18-28
23-28
16-26
23-21
13-24
25-21
21-24
26-22
17-23
29-30
25-32
25-29
17-32
37-27
16-17
26-22
24-15
21-15
21-25
27-20
22-31
16-24
19-29
26-27
25-25
15-29
18-24
18-25
23-17
22-23
180.7Avg total
84.2Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.4100.3184.7-15.910%
Season at home (6)82.798.0180.7-15.317%
Season away (4)87.0103.8190.8-16.80%
Last 10 (10)84.296.5180.7-12.310%
Last 5 (5)88.697.6186.2-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)88.4103.6192.0-15.114%
vs Similar (7)100.995.3196.1+5.657%
vs Weaker (1)109.0112.0221.0-3.00%
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStjarnan
Date
Competition
Thorl
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
59avg 79
H12/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
90-80
90
80
+10
79avg 79
A19/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
87-81
87
81
+6
81avg 79
H26/10
Premier league
Valur
#1
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 79
A02/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
no box
A09/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
89-79
89
79
+10
87avg 79
H18/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
72-89
72
89
-17
57avg 79
A23/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
no box
H01/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
88-87
88
87
+1
84avg 79
A07/12
Premier league
Armann
#15
W
102-74
102
74
+28
103avg 79
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
22-19
20-19
21-24
17-28
25-15
26-19
22-18
26-26
12-28
22-17
27-10
24-24
16-23
21-12
25-18
17-22
23-10
16-21
14-17
25-21
27-22
22-16
15-20
12-21
21-19
21-29
18-20
17-17
23-17
26-27
9-14
25-22
23-18
21-31
19-16
19-16
27-14
27-22
29-22
168.1Avg total
86.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.883.6168.4+1.260%
Season at home (4)85.083.5168.5+1.550%
Season away (6)84.783.7168.3+1.067%
Last 10 (10)86.281.9168.1+4.370%
Last 5 (5)87.083.8170.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)83.088.9171.9-5.931%
vs Similar (11)86.090.5176.5-4.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)98.084.6182.6+13.4100%
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
BreidablikStjarnan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreidablikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hottur
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A12/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H19/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A26/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H02/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#5
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H10/11
Premier league
Thorl
#4
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A17/11
Premier league
Hamar
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H24/11
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A30/11
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H07/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H10/12
Icelandic Cup
90.3Avg total
41.9Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.051.897.8-5.833%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.449.594.9-4.141%-
Last 30 away (13)46.854.7101.5-7.923%-
Last 10 (10)41.948.490.3-6.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.250.094.2-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)44.852.397.1-7.529%-
vs Similar (7)49.349.398.6+0.057%-
vs Weaker (1)58.060.0118.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Stjarnan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StjarnanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thorl
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H12/10
Premier league
Hamar
#12
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A19/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#3
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H26/10
Premier league
Valur
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A02/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A09/11
Premier league
Haukar
#10
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H18/11
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A23/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H01/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#2
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/12
Premier league
Armann
#15
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A10/12
Icelandic Cup
82.2Avg total
41.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.986.6-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.942.983.7-2.040%-
Last 30 away (15)44.544.989.4-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.482.2+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.837.481.2+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.446.286.6-5.823%-
vs Similar (11)40.843.183.9-2.336%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)52.042.494.4+9.680%-
This opponent (Breidablik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breidabliktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breidablik: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.2
51.9%
51.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.910.9
30.4%
34.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.613.6
77.3%
74.4%13.6
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stjarnantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stjarnan: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.9 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.5 points a game
46%
38%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.221.4
49.6%
51.2%42.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.9%
34.2%28.0
🏀 Free throws20.315.2
74.9%
74.4%15.2
They take 72.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breidablik
LLLWLLLLLL
Stjarnan
WWLLWWWWWL
#11
League position
#7
-17.5
Net rating
+5.1
98.2
Offensive rating
107.4
115.8
Defensive rating
102.3
48.8%
Effective FG%
48.9%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
20.0%
Turnover %
14.1%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.4%
3-point %
31.9%
51.8%
Assist %
61.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 107.4Defence115.8 · 102.3Shooting48.8% · 48.9%3-point %30.4% · 31.9%Ball care20.0% · 14.1%Off. rebounds25.0% · 29.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Breidablik   ■ Stjarnan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Breidablik wins
5
Stjarnan wins
DateGameScore
09/03/23Stjarnan v Breidablik112-97
02/12/22Breidablik v Stjarnan101-90
31/03/22Breidablik v Stjarnan105-107
28/12/21Stjarnan v Breidablik117-113
10/01/19Stjarnan v Breidablik102-73
11/10/18Breidablik v Stjarnan87-102
Breidabliklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HTindastoll81-89
07/12/23HValur85-110
30/11/23AKeflavik86-100
24/11/23HHamar87-69
17/11/23AThorl104-120
10/11/23HNjardvik93-99
02/11/23HTindastoll77-92
26/10/23AGrindavik85-115
19/10/23HAlftanes71-91
12/10/23AHottur73-80
Stjarnanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23AArmann102-74
07/12/23AGrindavik88-87
01/12/23HAlftanes84-90 OT
23/11/23AHottur72-89
18/11/23HHaukar89-79
09/11/23ATindastoll84-78 OT
02/11/23AValur86-77
26/10/23HKeflavik87-81
19/10/23AHamar90-80
12/10/23HThorl80-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breidablik
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL10%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %10%17%0%
Points / game84.482.787.0
Allowed / game100.398.0103.8
Point differential-15.9-15.3-16.8
Avg total184.7180.7190.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stjarnan
Premier league 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game84.885.084.7
Allowed / game83.683.583.7
Point differential+1.2+1.5+1.0
Avg total168.4168.5168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %20%25%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valur107370%92.382.7+9.6
2 Njardvik107370%95.288.4+6.8
3 Keflavik107370%94.287.8+6.4
4 Alftanes107370%82.877.7+5.1
5 Thorl107370%88.587.8+0.7
6 Tindastoll106460%86.383.0+3.3
7 Stjarnan106460%84.883.6+1.2
8 Hottur105550%84.485.6-1.2
9 Grindavik104640%91.793.3-1.6
10 Haukar103730%90.991.0-0.1
11 Breidablik101910%84.4100.3-15.9
12 Hamar100100%83.397.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breidablik2214201773
Stjarnan2828192297
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