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Breogan vs Barcelona Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game104.7
Allowed / game98.7
vs
Position#7
Record4-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game95.0
SpainACBRound 24· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Breogan v Barcelona
14 Mar 2027
BRE v BAR
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
BRE78
BAR109
10 Nov 2024
BRE77
BAR70
05 Nov 2023
BRE63
BAR79
11 Dec 2022
BRE74
BAR78
07 May 2022
BRE72
BAR74
07 Apr 2019
BRE75
BAR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
94-95
94
95
-1
87avg 93
H29/05
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
126-80
126
80
+46
128avg 93
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#30
W
105-84
105
84
+21
100avg 93
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#5
L
110-113
110
113
-3
106avg 93
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
110-104
110
104
+6
106avg 93
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
101-95
101
95
+6
95avg 93
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
115-92
115
92
+23
114avg 93
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
102-108
102
108
-6
92avg 93
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
90-103
90
103
-13
86avg 93
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
110-90
110
90
+20
no box
A01/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
21-20
23-23
24-28
25-16
32-22
37-18
32-24
25-14
29-19
20-21
31-30
25-26
21-32
29-37
35-18
29-28
27-21
19-22
35-33
24-27
27-13
38-27
12-28
30-22
31-19
23-23
31-28
31-17
22-26
25-33
24-32
24-26
23-33
24-23
19-21
20-22
30-21
32-19
28-28
202.7Avg total
106.3Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)104.798.7203.3+6.067%
Season at home (3)105.099.7204.7+5.367%
Season away (3)104.397.7202.0+6.767%
Last 10 (10)106.396.4202.7+9.960%
Last 5 (5)103.697.6201.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.1102.6191.7-13.429%
vs Similar ◀ (12)92.591.9184.4+0.650%
vs Weaker (10)104.493.2197.6+11.270%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
81-88
81
88
-7
65avg 83
H09/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
89-86
89
86
+3
85avg 83
H11/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
90-87
90
87
+3
90avg 83
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
92avg 83
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
89-113
89
113
-24
86avg 83
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
89-81
89
81
+8
83avg 83
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#6
W
99-81
99
81
+18
96avg 83
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 83
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#5
W
98-94
98
94
+4
91avg 83
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
A01/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
23-16
24-16
16-33
19-26
20-14
29-20
21-26
23-24
17-18
27-22
23-23
30-26
17-31
19-20
26-15
26-23
19-26
23-33
21-31
23-21
21-19
27-24
18-17
24-21
24-19
24-17
27-24
21-17
20-25
23-19
24-23
30-25
14-17
25-26
29-26
25-29
20-25
27-18
20-17
182.3Avg total
91.5Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)97.095.0192.0+2.067%
Season at home (3)102.389.3191.7+13.0100%
Season away (3)91.7100.7192.3-9.033%
Last 10 (10)91.590.8182.3+0.770%
Last 5 (5)93.285.8179.0+7.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.3100.4188.7-12.129%
vs Similar ◀ (11)92.188.6180.7+3.555%
vs Weaker (12)95.986.1182.0+9.8100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
BreoganBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H29/05
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#30
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#5
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A01/11
ACB
97.0Avg total
52.2Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.145.992.0+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.944.692.6+3.357%-
Last 30 away (16)44.547.091.5-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)52.244.897.0+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)52.445.297.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.349.089.3-8.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.147.691.7-3.533%-
vs Weaker (10)51.542.594.0+9.080%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H11/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H16/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A18/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A22/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H24/10
ACB
Bayern
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/10
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A01/11
ACB
87.9Avg total
43.4Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.742.486.1+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.941.884.7+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)44.543.087.5+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)43.444.587.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.688.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.446.785.1-8.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.142.887.9+2.355%-
vs Weaker (12)45.539.585.0+6.075%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 103.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.9 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.4
58.0%
55.6%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.814.2
46.1%
36.4%42.6
🏀 Free throws21.416.2
75.7%
75.7%16.2
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.9 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.9
57.6%
55.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.9
39.2%
36.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.115.0
74.6%
75.7%15.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLLWWWLWWL
Barcelona
WWWWWLLWWL
#5
League position
#7
+7.0
Net rating
-0.3
112.7
Offensive rating
104.9
105.7
Defensive rating
105.3
63.0%
Effective FG%
58.1%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
14.6%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
46.1%
3-point %
39.2%
58.7%
Assist %
50.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 104.9Defence105.7 · 105.3Shooting63.0% · 58.1%3-point %46.1% · 39.2%Ball care14.6% · 14.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Breogan   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Breogan wins
8
Barcelona wins
DateGameScore
08/03/26Breogan v Barcelona78-109
25/10/25Barcelona v Breogan100-85
02/03/25Barcelona v Breogan102-79
10/11/24Breogan v Barcelona77-70
17/03/24Barcelona v Breogan85-88
05/11/23Breogan v Barcelona63-79
12/02/23Barcelona v Breogan82-54
11/12/22Breogan v Barcelona74-78
07/05/22Breogan v Barcelona72-74
25/09/21Barcelona v Breogan78-69
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AObradoiro CAB110-90
25/10/26HUnicaja90-103
17/10/26AMoraBanc Andorra102-108
10/10/26HBasquet Girona115-92
03/10/26AManresa101-95
27/09/26HJoventut Badalona110-104
19/09/26ADziki Warszawa110-113
17/09/26AManchester Basketball105-84
14/09/26HRilski Sportist126-80
29/05/26HBasket Zaragoza94-95
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AUnicaja92-89
30/10/26HValencia98-94
27/10/26ABayern88-84
24/10/26HBasket Zaragoza99-81
22/10/26AOlimpia Milano89-81
18/10/26AJoventut Badalona89-113
16/10/26HOlympiacos100-105 OT
13/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-87
11/10/26HValencia89-86
09/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas81-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game104.7105.0104.3
Allowed / game98.799.797.7
Point differential+6.0+5.3+6.7
Avg total203.3204.7202.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barcelona
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game97.0102.391.7
Allowed / game95.089.3100.7
Point differential+2.0+13.0-9.0
Avg total192.0191.7192.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid660100%109.087.7+21.3
2 Valencia64267%99.087.2+11.8
3 Baskonia64267%94.582.8+11.7
4 Tenerife64267%87.879.8+8.0
5 Breogan64267%104.798.7+6.0
6 Basket Zaragoza64267%92.087.2+4.8
7 Barcelona64267%97.095.0+2.0
8 Bilbao64267%92.892.7+0.2
9 Unicaja63350%88.384.5+3.8
10 Murcia63350%93.393.8-0.5
11 Obradoiro CAB63350%88.896.0-7.2
12 Basquet Girona63350%90.599.0-8.5
13 San Pablo Burgos62433%88.087.5+0.5
14 Joventut Badalona62433%91.891.5+0.3
15 Leyma Coruna62433%90.099.8-9.8
16 MoraBanc Andorra61517%84.596.5-12.0
17 Forca Lleida61517%92.8106.8-14.0
18 Manresa6060%84.3102.8-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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