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Breogan vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 63-79
19-21 12-18 20-19 12-21
Position#16
Record1-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Position#3
Record5-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game80.1
SpainACBRound 8· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Breogan v Barcelona
14 Mar 2027
BRE v BAR
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
BRE78
BAR109
10 Nov 2024
BRE77
BAR70
05 Nov 2023
BRE63
BAR79
11 Dec 2022
BRE74
BAR78
07 May 2022
BRE72
BAR74
07 Apr 2019
BRE75
BAR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Manresa
#14
L
81-82
81
82
-1
64avg 62
H14/05
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
68avg 62
A24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 62
H24/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
69-63
69
63
+6
57avg 62
A29/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
no box
H01/10
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
no box
A07/10
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
59-61
59
61
-2
44avg 62
H15/10
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
W
68-48
68
48
+20
64avg 62
H18/10
Champions League
Palencia
#18
L
59-74
59
74
-15
39avg 62
A21/10
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
64avg 62
A28/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
23-14
19-23
20-23
18-20
18-14
20-19
24-24
19-23
18-26
20-18
22-21
17-17
19-23
13-17
20-6
18-28
25-21
21-10
13-18
24-18
3-11
15-14
32-31
15-11
6-13
20-16
18-21
23-17
12-5
10-15
23-11
17-12
8-24
20-24
14-14
22-15
11-29
18-17
19-26
148.8Avg total
73.1Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.778.6150.3-6.914%
Season at home (3)74.379.3153.7-5.00%
Season away (4)69.878.0147.8-8.225%
Last 10 (10)73.175.7148.8-2.630%
Last 5 (5)67.471.6139.0-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.684.9156.6-13.37%
vs Similar (12)78.878.8157.6+0.150%
vs Weaker (4)79.565.5145.0+14.075%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
91-74
91
74
+17
93avg 80
H05/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
91-87
91
87
+4
86avg 80
H08/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
77-68
77
68
+9
80avg 80
A13/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
76avg 80
A15/10
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
92-83
92
83
+9
92avg 80
A17/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
98-59
98
59
+39
98avg 80
H20/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
91-82
91
82
+9
77avg 80
H22/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
64-65
64
65
-1
54avg 80
A26/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
68-71
68
71
-3
62avg 80
A29/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#2
W
80-72
80
72
+8
67avg 80
H03/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
18-15
29-30
22-10
16-24
21-23
27-18
27-22
23-16
17-18
16-20
21-14
18-14
14-23
24-22
27-14
23-16
21-18
25-26
23-23
27-11
16-16
27-13
28-19
21-19
26-20
22-18
22-25
19-12
11-16
11-23
23-14
19-18
14-27
16-13
19-13
21-20
24-13
26-14
9-25
156.9Avg total
83.5Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.480.1164.6+4.371%
Season at home (3)92.382.7175.0+9.7100%
Season away (4)78.578.2156.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)83.573.4156.9+10.180%
Last 5 (5)80.269.8150.0+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.575.5147.0-4.00%
vs Similar (16)83.178.7161.8+4.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.872.0161.8+17.8100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +4.2+4.2
BreoganBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/05
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H24/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A29/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H01/10
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A07/10
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
21-24
21
24
-3
H15/10
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H18/10
Champions League
Palencia
#18
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/10
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A28/10
ACB
69.8Avg total
33.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.038.673.7-3.623%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.837.173.9-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)33.340.273.5-6.97%-
Last 10 (10)33.536.369.8-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)28.231.059.2-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)31.940.672.6-8.77%-
vs Similar (12)37.239.176.3-1.833%-
vs Weaker (4)39.230.269.5+9.050%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H05/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H08/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A13/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A15/10
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A17/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H20/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H22/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A26/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A29/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H03/11
Euroleague
74.9Avg total
39.1Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.276.0+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.536.679.1+5.975%-
Last 30 away (14)36.735.972.6+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.135.874.9+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.634.474.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.532.564.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (16)40.439.179.4+1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.532.372.7+8.291%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.617.5
43.1%
53.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.8
28.9%
34.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.912.7
67.2%
75.6%12.7
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.0
51.3%
53.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.9
40.9%
34.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.512.8
73.1%
75.6%12.8
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLWLLLWLWL
Barcelona
WLLWWWWWWW
#16
League position
#3
-5.5
Net rating
+14.2
95.6
Offensive rating
116.3
101.0
Defensive rating
102.0
43.2%
Effective FG%
55.1%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.8%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.9%
3-point %
40.9%
53.5%
Assist %
60.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 116.3Defence101.0 · 102.0Shooting43.2% · 55.1%3-point %28.9% · 40.9%Ball care15.9% · 16.8%Off. rebounds31.3% · 34.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Breogan   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Breogan wins
6
Barcelona wins
DateGameScore
12/02/23Barcelona v Breogan82-54
11/12/22Breogan v Barcelona74-78
07/05/22Breogan v Barcelona72-74
25/09/21Barcelona v Breogan78-69
07/04/19Breogan v Barcelona75-92
13/01/19Barcelona v Breogan94-80
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/23AUnicaja70-87
21/10/23APalencia59-74
18/10/23HBursaspor68-48
15/10/23HValencia59-61
07/10/23ATenerife81-88 OT
01/10/23HManresa85-89 OT
29/09/23AMoraBanc Andorra69-63
24/09/23HBaskonia79-88
24/05/23AValencia80-77
14/05/23HManresa81-82
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/23HPanathinaikos80-72
29/10/23AValencia68-71
26/10/23AReal Madrid64-65
22/10/23HBilbao91-82
20/10/23HBayern98-59
17/10/23APartizan92-83
15/10/23AGran Canaria83-73
13/10/23AOlympiacos77-68
08/10/23HMoraBanc Andorra91-87
05/10/23HAnadolu Efes91-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%0%25%
Points / game71.774.369.8
Allowed / game78.679.378.0
Point differential-6.9-5.0-8.2
Avg total150.3153.7147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %29%33%25%
Barcelona
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game84.492.378.5
Allowed / game80.182.778.2
Point differential+4.3+9.7+0.2
Avg total164.6175.0156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%92.077.9+14.1
2 Valencia76186%80.376.6+3.7
3 Barcelona75271%84.480.1+4.3
4 Unicaja85362%89.481.5+7.9
5 Murcia85362%86.281.6+4.6
6 Basquet Girona85362%82.581.1+1.4
7 Baskonia74357%83.382.6+0.7
8 MoraBanc Andorra84450%79.280.1-0.9
9 Tenerife84450%79.680.9-1.2
10 Bilbao84450%81.883.1-1.4
11 Manresa84450%85.687.1-1.5
12 Joventut Badalona73443%83.991.3-7.4
13 Gran Canaria73443%77.385.1-7.9
14 Obradoiro CAB83538%81.080.5+0.5
15 Basket Zaragoza83538%82.182.9-0.8
16 Breogan71614%71.778.6-6.9
17 Granada81712%85.589.9-4.4
18 Palencia81712%74.981.5-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1912201263
Barcelona2118192179
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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