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Barcelona vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 102-79
21-33 27-11 24-15 30-20
Position#5
Record11-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#13
Record8-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game85.1
SpainACBRound 21· Palau Blaugrana
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Barcelona v Breogan
08 Nov 2026
BAR99
BRE91
25 Oct 2025
BAR100
BRE85
02 Mar 2025
BAR102
BRE79
17 Mar 2024
BAR85
BRE88
12 Feb 2023
BAR82
BRE54
25 Sep 2021
BAR78
BRE69
13 Jan 2019
BAR94
BRE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#15
W
97-84
97
84
+13
99avg 82
H19/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
94-100
94
100
-6
92avg 82
A24/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
85avg 82
A26/01
ACB
Baskonia
#14
L
86-88
86
88
-2
76avg 82
A30/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
92-103
92
103
-11
87avg 82
H02/02
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
100-71
100
71
+29
94avg 82
H05/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
88-90
88
90
-2
83avg 82
H07/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
100-86
100
86
+14
95avg 82
A09/02
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
no box
A13/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#8
L
91-96
91
96
-5
78avg 82
A27/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
25-17
32-19
23-23
21-23
21-25
27-28
25-24
22-19
17-11
13-20
26-28
25-23
21-21
18-21
22-23
20-20
24-26
17-32
31-25
28-26
14-10
32-24
26-11
18-22
29-23
18-21
23-24
25-19
27-18
30-28
18-21
33-23
21-24
19-19
13-25
25-23
18-17
24-30
24-26
182.8Avg total
92.9Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)89.886.2176.1+3.655%
Season at home (9)95.385.9181.2+9.467%
Season away (11)85.486.5171.9-1.245%
Last 10 (10)92.989.9182.8+3.040%
Last 5 (5)93.086.8179.8+6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.579.5165.0+6.050%
vs Similar (15)86.786.5173.1+0.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.886.8177.6+3.958%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
69-106
69
106
-37
49avg 67
A15/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
77-74
77
74
+3
69avg 67
H21/12
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
70avg 67
A28/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
73avg 67
H02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
101-93
101
93
+8
101avg 67
A04/01
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
83-80
83
80
+3
73avg 67
H12/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
91-97
91
97
-6
82avg 67
A19/01
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
76-71
76
71
+5
71avg 67
H25/01
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
83-96
83
96
-13
82avg 67
A02/02
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 67
H08/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-19
21-24
19-27
21-36
16-24
26-8
17-27
18-15
19-22
21-21
19-28
18-15
17-23
19-19
16-22
27-24
26-23
29-20
26-16
20-34
22-16
14-22
21-22
26-20
18-22
22-18
26-30
25-27
12-15
14-22
26-16
24-18
21-21
20-28
19-30
23-17
17-20
17-22
28-19
19-18
168.7Avg total
81.7Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.285.1162.3-7.940%
Season at home (10)77.780.1157.8-2.450%
Season away (10)76.790.1166.8-13.430%
Last 10 (10)81.787.0168.7-5.350%
Last 5 (5)82.884.6167.4-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)76.382.6158.9-6.338%
vs Similar (8)79.183.2162.4-4.150%
vs Weaker (1)73.065.0138.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
BarcelonaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H19/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A24/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A26/01
ACB
Baskonia
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A30/01
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H02/02
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H05/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H07/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A09/02
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A13/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A27/02
Euroleague
86.6Avg total
45.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.782.5+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.639.581.2+2.169%-
Last 30 away (17)42.041.583.5+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)45.141.586.6+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)47.641.088.6+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.536.578.0+5.050%-
vs Similar (15)41.141.382.5-0.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.840.081.8+1.858%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A15/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H21/12
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A04/01
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H12/01
ACB
Baskonia
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/01
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H25/01
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A02/02
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H08/02
ACB
78.8Avg total
37.9Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.039.676.6-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.937.574.4-0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)37.141.778.7-4.627%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.978.8-3.020%-
Last 5 (5)35.441.276.6-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.439.976.3-3.433%-
vs Similar (8)39.039.478.4-0.438%-
vs Weaker (1)33.035.068.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.224.6
59.7%
54.0%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.4
39.0%
35.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.114.9
78.0%
76.4%14.9
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.0
52.8%
54.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.1
37.1%
35.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.214.6
76.0%
76.4%14.6
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barcelona
LLWLWLLWLW
Breogan
WLWLWWLLWL
#5
League position
#13
+5.7
Net rating
-6.9
122.8
Offensive rating
109.4
117.1
Defensive rating
116.3
59.3%
Effective FG%
54.1%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.7%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.0%
3-point %
37.1%
53.2%
Assist %
59.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence122.8 · 109.4Defence117.1 · 116.3Shooting59.3% · 54.1%3-point %39.0% · 37.1%Ball care15.5% · 17.7%Off. rebounds31.9% · 27.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Barcelona   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Barcelona wins
2
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Breogan v Barcelona77-70
17/03/24Barcelona v Breogan85-88
05/11/23Breogan v Barcelona63-79
12/02/23Barcelona v Breogan82-54
11/12/22Breogan v Barcelona74-78
07/05/22Breogan v Barcelona72-74
25/09/21Barcelona v Breogan78-69
07/04/19Breogan v Barcelona75-92
13/01/19Barcelona v Breogan94-80
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25AReal Madrid91-96
13/02/25ATenerife86-91
09/02/25AValencia100-86
07/02/25HOlympiacos88-90
05/02/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv100-71
02/02/25HManresa92-103
30/01/25ABaskonia86-88
26/01/25AMurcia95-90 OT
24/01/25ALyon-Villeurbanne94-100
19/01/25HBilbao97-84
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HUnicaja81-79
02/02/25ATenerife83-96
25/01/25HBilbao76-71
19/01/25ABaskonia91-97
12/01/25HLeyma Coruna83-80
04/01/25AMoraBanc Andorra101-93
02/01/25HManresa79-88
28/12/24AUnicaja77-86
21/12/24HBasquet Girona77-74
15/12/24AReal Madrid69-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barcelona
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW55%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLWWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %55%67%45%
Points / game89.895.385.4
Allowed / game86.285.986.5
Point differential+3.6+9.4-1.2
Avg total176.1181.2171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%44%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)33% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %10%11%9%
Breogan
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW40%
HomeWLWWW50%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%50%30%
Points / game77.277.776.7
Allowed / game85.180.190.1
Point differential-7.9-2.4-13.4
Avg total162.3157.8166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (6)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2016480%88.477.8+10.7
2 Unicaja2116576%88.883.0+5.8
3 Tenerife2116576%87.082.1+4.9
4 Valencia2115671%97.186.9+10.2
5 Joventut Badalona2113862%85.282.8+2.4
6 Manresa2112957%87.383.8+3.5
7 Barcelona2011955%89.886.2+3.6
8 Gran Canaria2011955%83.582.5+1.1
9 Baskonia20101050%86.487.0-0.7
10 Basket Zaragoza21101148%89.890.0-0.3
11 Murcia21101148%81.482.2-0.9
12 Breogan2081240%77.285.1-7.9
13 Bilbao2181338%82.183.0-0.9
14 MoraBanc Andorra2071335%86.890.7-3.8
15 Forca Lleida2161529%83.087.9-4.9
16 Granada2161529%80.185.9-5.8
17 Basquet Girona2161529%80.188.8-8.6
18 Leyma Coruna2151624%84.793.0-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barcelona21272430102
Breogan3311152079
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