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Breogan vs Barcelona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 11:15
Final 78-109
13-27 18-30 11-26 36-26
Position#11
Record8-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game92.8
vs
Position#5
Record14-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game80.0
SpainACBRound 21· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Breogan v Barcelona
14 Mar 2027
BRE v BAR
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
BRE78
BAR109
10 Nov 2024
BRE77
BAR70
05 Nov 2023
BRE63
BAR79
11 Dec 2022
BRE74
BAR78
07 May 2022
BRE72
BAR74
07 Apr 2019
BRE75
BAR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Barcelona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#7
W
100-99
100
99
+1
90avg 78
H21/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
68avg 78
A27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
100-103
100
103
-3
86avg 78
H29/12
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
98-82
98
82
+16
100avg 78
H03/01
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
99-104
99
104
-5
113avg 78
A10/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
104-101
104
101
+3
no box
A17/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
85-103
85
103
-18
74avg 78
H24/01
ACB
Granada
#18
W
83-64
83
64
+19
81avg 78
A31/01
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
95-106
95
106
-11
98avg 78
H07/02
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
81-90
81
90
-9
68avg 78
A14/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
24-24
26-22
29-30
18-17
17-26
19-11
21-29
25-18
23-32
30-27
22-26
22-25
28-18
22-17
26-22
23-28
15-34
30-20
31-22
25-25
19-31
34-24
26-21
19-19
24-24
22-27
20-33
17-19
17-17
26-10
23-18
24-29
22-27
27-27
22-23
18-23
27-22
16-23
20-22
185.5Avg total
92.0Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)90.292.8183.1-2.640%
Season at home (10)94.595.8190.3-1.340%
Season away (10)85.989.9175.8-4.040%
Last 10 (10)92.093.5185.5-1.540%
Last 5 (5)89.692.8182.4-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)84.193.0177.1-8.929%
vs Similar (12)91.094.4185.4-3.433%
vs Weaker (4)83.577.2160.8+6.275%
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarcelona
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
L
82-89
82
89
-7
72avg 83
H25/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
72avg 83
A29/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
L
83-84
83
84
-1
75avg 83
A01/02
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
78-82
78
82
-4
59avg 83
H03/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
W
97-91
97
91
+6
97avg 83
A06/02
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
97-92
97
92
+5
96avg 83
H08/02
ACB
Paris
#16
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 83
H12/02
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
97-60
97
60
+37
92avg 83
H15/02
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
80-85
80
85
-5
80avg 83
A25/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
84-87
84
87
-3
75avg 83
A05/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
28-13
21-26
16-27
13-27
24-19
27-13
11-28
30-18
21-24
17-19
15-23
14-29
27-24
15-20
22-9
17-27
31-24
28-17
21-23
32-22
20-18
20-27
25-25
18-21
25-18
12-28
19-18
22-14
21-17
30-12
24-17
28-20
15-27
14-21
23-17
17-24
17-22
17-32
33-9
168.9Avg total
84.7Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.780.0168.7+8.670%
Season at home (11)93.780.3174.0+13.573%
Season away (9)82.479.8162.2+2.767%
Last 10 (10)84.784.2168.9+0.530%
Last 5 (5)86.481.8168.2+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.084.0162.0-6.033%
vs Similar (12)84.883.3168.1+1.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)94.180.6174.7+13.587%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
BreoganBarcelona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H21/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H29/12
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H03/01
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
38-62
38
62
-24
A10/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A17/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H24/01
ACB
Granada
#18
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A31/01
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H07/02
ACB
Tenerife
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A14/02
ACB
90.9Avg total
42.8Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.145.387.4-3.223%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.144.688.7-0.527%-
Last 30 away (15)40.046.086.0-6.020%-
Last 10 (10)42.848.190.9-5.310%-
Last 5 (5)42.447.289.6-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.843.184.9-1.421%-
vs Similar (12)43.249.692.8-6.325%-
vs Weaker (4)39.540.079.5-0.525%-
This opponent (Barcelona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BarcelonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H25/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A29/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#4
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A01/02
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H03/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A06/02
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H08/02
ACB
Paris
#16
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H12/02
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H15/02
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A25/02
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A05/03
Euroleague
86.8Avg total
43.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.440.684.0+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.739.984.6+4.875%-
Last 30 away (14)41.941.483.3+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)43.743.186.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.683.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.742.779.3-6.033%-
vs Similar (12)43.141.684.7+1.558%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.039.484.4+5.667%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.522.2
57.7%
50.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.0
37.3%
42.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.216.8
83.2%
74.7%16.8
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Barcelonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barcelona: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.720.5
57.4%
50.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.6
37.5%
42.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.011.9
74.4%
74.7%11.9
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLWLWLWLLW
Barcelona
LLWLWWLLLL
#11
League position
#5
-2.7
Net rating
+1.5
111.9
Offensive rating
95.9
114.6
Defensive rating
94.4
57.0%
Effective FG%
56.9%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.3%
3-point %
37.5%
56.5%
Assist %
61.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 95.9Defence114.6 · 94.4Shooting57.0% · 56.9%3-point %37.3% · 37.5%Ball care14.7% · 15.4%Off. rebounds32.3% · -Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Breogan   ■ Barcelona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Breogan wins
8
Barcelona wins
DateGameScore
25/10/25Barcelona v Breogan100-85
02/03/25Barcelona v Breogan102-79
10/11/24Breogan v Barcelona77-70
17/03/24Barcelona v Breogan85-88
05/11/23Breogan v Barcelona63-79
12/02/23Barcelona v Breogan82-54
11/12/22Breogan v Barcelona74-78
07/05/22Breogan v Barcelona72-74
25/09/21Barcelona v Breogan78-69
07/04/19Breogan v Barcelona75-92
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ATenerife81-90
07/02/26HMurcia95-106
31/01/26AGranada83-64
24/01/26HReal Madrid85-103
17/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra104-101
10/01/26AManresa99-104
03/01/26HUnicaja98-82
29/12/25HBaskonia100-103
27/12/25AJoventut Badalona75-83
21/12/25HBilbao100-99
Barcelonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26AOlimpia Milano84-87
25/02/26AVirtus Bologna80-85
15/02/26HManresa97-60
12/02/26HParis74-85
08/02/26HBasquet Girona97-92
06/02/26ABaskonia97-91
03/02/26HFenerbahce78-82
01/02/26AMurcia83-84
29/01/26AOlympiacos75-87
25/01/26HTenerife82-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game90.294.585.9
Allowed / game92.895.889.9
Point differential-2.6-1.3-4.0
Avg total183.1190.3175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Barcelona
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW70%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %70%73%67%
Points / game88.793.782.4
Allowed / game80.080.379.8
Point differential+8.6+13.5+2.7
Avg total168.7174.0162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%55%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2018290%92.882.5+10.2
2 Valencia2015575%95.280.9+14.2
3 Barcelona2014670%88.780.0+8.6
4 Murcia2014670%89.282.5+6.7
5 Baskonia1913668%92.987.0+5.9
6 Unicaja2114767%88.484.7+3.7
7 Joventut Badalona2012860%83.781.0+2.7
8 Tenerife2112957%87.084.4+2.5
9 Bilbao22121055%84.485.6-1.2
10 Basquet Girona21101148%86.990.0-3.2
11 Manresa2191243%84.992.0-7.1
12 Breogan2081240%90.292.8-2.6
13 Forca Lleida2081240%81.587.6-6.0
14 Gran Canaria2071335%79.584.1-4.7
15 Basket Zaragoza2161529%86.791.8-5.0
16 MoraBanc Andorra2161529%85.493.4-8.0
17 San Pablo Burgos2151624%87.792.4-4.7
18 Granada201195%80.090.5-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1318113678
Barcelona27302626109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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