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Breogan vs Granada Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 85-79
25-13 27-27 14-24 19-15
Position#16
Record4-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game80.5
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Granada
Spain
Position#17
Record5-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game86.6
SpainACBRound 17· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Breogan v Granada
01 Nov 2025
BRE95
GRA74
30 Nov 2024
BRE74
GRA92
07 Jan 2024
BRE85
GRA79
28 Jan 2023
BRE99
GRA67
17 Jun 2021
BRE81
GRA78
20 Mar 2021
BRE85
GRA78
07 Mar 2020
BRE86
GRA63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Granada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
71avg 64
H22/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 64
H26/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
58-91
58
91
-33
38avg 64
A03/12
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
L
65-77
65
77
-12
56avg 64
A06/12
Champions League
Bilbao
#13
W
76-68
76
68
+8
72avg 64
A09/12
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 64
H17/12
ACB
Bonn
#9
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
94avg 64
H20/12
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
88-90
88
90
-2
80avg 64
H23/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
60-86
60
86
-26
47avg 64
A30/12
ACB
Karsiyaka
#27
L
85-89
85
89
-4
89avg 64
A03/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
19-16
19-22
22-17
16-23
18-17
18-17
30-20
19-17
9-24
12-27
18-23
15-19
15-22
11-18
24-18
13-22
18-12
18-19
27-15
16-31
18-15
18-14
22-23
21-19
15-20
21-17
23-24
22-23
18-23
24-20
24-24
10-22
25-28
9-23
16-13
20-24
19-28
23-21
23-16
159.2Avg total
76.7Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)73.280.5153.7-7.325%
Season at home (8)76.980.5157.4-3.625%
Season away (8)69.580.5150.0-11.025%
Last 10 (10)76.782.5159.2-5.840%
Last 5 (5)80.888.0168.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.285.0154.2-15.80%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.380.1159.4-0.844%
vs Weaker (3)64.066.3130.3-2.333%
This opponent (Granada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGranada
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
L
84-90
84
90
-6
71avg 68
A29/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
64avg 68
H05/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
75-89
75
89
-14
67avg 68
A12/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
91-88
91
88
+3
90avg 68
H19/11
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
94-77
94
77
+17
87avg 68
A25/11
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
57avg 68
A03/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
109-85
109
85
+24
106avg 68
H09/12
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
70-92
70
92
-22
60avg 68
A16/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
81-75
81
75
+6
73avg 68
A23/12
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
68-80
68
80
-12
57avg 68
H28/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
18-21
22-24
30-21
13-25
21-15
31-22
11-21
14-29
17-16
23-25
21-19
28-20
21-23
19-17
23-28
24-15
19-25
29-24
22-13
15-11
16-24
23-19
15-26
26-20
29-17
35-27
19-21
9-18
21-32
23-20
17-22
18-20
19-15
23-14
21-26
18-17
12-21
15-16
23-26
165.6Avg total
81.7Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.886.6170.4-2.831%
Season at home (8)86.987.8174.6-0.938%
Season away (8)80.885.4166.1-4.625%
Last 10 (10)81.783.9165.6-2.240%
Last 5 (5)79.482.4161.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)76.884.4161.2-7.726%
vs Similar ◀ (7)90.985.6176.4+5.357%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
BreoganGranada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H26/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A03/12
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A06/12
Champions League
Bilbao
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A09/12
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H17/12
ACB
Bonn
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H20/12
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H23/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A30/12
ACB
Karsiyaka
#27
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A03/01
Champions League
77.0Avg total
34.8Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.539.874.3-5.220%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.838.173.9-2.329%-
Last 30 away (16)33.441.274.7-7.812%-
Last 10 (10)34.842.277.0-7.410%-
Last 5 (5)36.846.683.4-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.140.277.3-3.131%-
vs Weaker (3)30.033.063.0-3.033%-
This opponent (Granada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GranadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A29/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H05/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A12/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H19/11
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A25/11
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A03/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H09/12
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A16/12
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A23/12
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H28/12
ACB
78.0Avg total
37.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.541.377.8-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.037.774.7-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)36.044.980.9-8.920%-
Last 10 (10)37.240.878.0-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.075.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)34.141.375.4-7.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.441.185.6+3.357%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.7
52.7%
53.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.2
27.8%
34.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.117.3
74.9%
75.6%17.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Granadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Granada: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.5
53.4%
53.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.4
36.0%
34.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.513.3
80.6%
75.6%13.3
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLLWLWLLWW
Granada
LWLWLWWLLL
#16
League position
#17
-7.0
Net rating
-3.5
102.4
Offensive rating
108.3
109.4
Defensive rating
111.8
48.0%
Effective FG%
53.7%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
20.3%
Turnover %
20.1%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.26
27.8%
3-point %
36.0%
65.6%
Assist %
50.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 108.3Defence109.4 · 111.8Shooting48.0% · 53.7%3-point %27.8% · 36.0%Ball care20.3% · 20.1%Off. rebounds32.0% · 30.7%Free throws0.38 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Breogan   ■ Granada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Breogan wins
3
Granada wins
DateGameScore
28/01/23Breogan v Granada99-67
20/11/22Granada v Breogan80-70
20/06/21Granada v Breogan57-83
17/06/21Breogan v Granada81-78
12/06/21Granada v Breogan67-53
24/04/21Granada v Breogan97-80
20/03/21Breogan v Granada85-78
07/03/20Breogan v Granada86-63
03/11/19Granada v Breogan83-88
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24AKarsiyaka85-89
30/12/23AGran Canaria60-86
23/12/23HObradoiro CAB88-90
20/12/23HBonn97-92 OT
17/12/23HMurcia74-83
09/12/23ABilbao76-68
06/12/23ABursaspor65-77
03/12/23AReal Madrid58-91
26/11/23HBasket Zaragoza82-77
22/11/23HHapoel Holon82-72
Granadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23HTenerife68-80
23/12/23AValencia81-75
16/12/23AUnicaja70-92
09/12/23HPalencia109-85
03/12/23ABarcelona69-80
25/11/23AObradoiro CAB94-77
19/11/23HMoraBanc Andorra91-88
12/11/23AGran Canaria75-89
05/11/23HReal Madrid76-83
29/10/23AManresa84-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLWWLL25%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game73.276.969.5
Allowed / game80.580.580.5
Point differential-7.3-3.6-11.0
Avg total153.7157.4150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Granada
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL31%
HomeWLWWL38%
AwayLWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%38%25%
Points / game83.886.980.8
Allowed / game86.687.885.4
Point differential-2.8-0.9-4.6
Avg total170.4174.6166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1615194%91.177.0+14.1
2 Unicaja1714382%88.176.6+11.5
3 Barcelona1610662%85.479.6+5.8
4 Valencia1610662%80.578.3+2.2
5 Gran Canaria1610662%83.782.3+1.4
6 Murcia1710759%83.280.6+2.5
7 Manresa169756%85.884.9+0.9
8 Baskonia169756%84.885.0-0.2
9 Tenerife179853%82.580.6+1.9
10 Basket Zaragoza178947%81.881.8+0.0
11 Joventut Badalona178947%80.487.3-6.9
12 Basquet Girona1771041%82.286.5-4.3
13 Obradoiro CAB1661038%80.883.4-2.6
14 Bilbao1661038%77.480.6-3.2
15 MoraBanc Andorra1761135%82.584.1-1.6
16 Granada1651131%83.886.6-2.8
17 Breogan1641225%73.280.5-7.3
18 Palencia1721512%75.586.5-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2527141985
Granada1327241579
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