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Breogan vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 86-70
23-11 21-24 22-20 20-15
Position#10
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game74.0
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#12
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game77.5
SpainACBRound 5
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Breogan v Bilbao
10 Dec 2026
BRE v BIL
upcoming
21 Dec 2025
BRE100
BIL99
25 Jan 2025
BRE76
BIL71
30 Mar 2024
BRE68
BIL80
22 Oct 2022
BRE86
BIL70
12 Mar 2022
BRE86
BIL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 74
H23/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
81avg 74
A01/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
72-74
72
74
-2
57avg 74
H07/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
65-88
65
88
-23
58avg 74
A10/05
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
93-84
93
84
+9
93avg 74
H14/05
ACB
FMP Beograd
#6
L
64-76
64
76
-12
51avg 74
A21/09
Champions League
Murcia
#9
W
84-70
84
70
+14
78avg 74
A29/09
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 74
H02/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
58avg 74
A08/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
53-71
53
71
-18
36avg 74
H16/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
22-20
20-22
26-28
21-20
19-24
22-24
24-16
26-15
22-15
18-22
6-22
21-21
9-21
17-24
18-22
29-12
26-20
22-24
16-28
17-20
17-12
13-23
17-21
22-17
17-17
18-17
27-19
22-17
8-16
16-21
32-16
27-20
21-22
5-21
13-22
10-18
8-21
20-16
15-16
153.0Avg total
74.3Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.274.0144.2-3.850%
Season at home (2)65.570.5136.0-5.050%
Season away (2)75.077.5152.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)74.378.7153.0-4.440%
Last 5 (5)69.074.4143.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)64.080.0144.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)85.587.0172.6-1.555%
vs Weaker (4)86.583.8170.2+2.850%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
87-79
87
79
+8
80avg 71
H27/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
82-80
82
80
+2
78avg 71
A01/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
62-84
62
84
-22
47avg 71
A10/05
ACB
Real Betis
#13
L
98-99 OT
98
99
-1
no box
H14/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
81-76
81
76
+5
74avg 71
A30/09
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
85-70
85
70
+15
75avg 71
H02/10
ACB
Nymburk
#33
W
68-54
68
54
+14
58avg 71
A04/10
Champions League
Valencia
#8
W
71-65
71
65
+6
63avg 71
H09/10
ACB
Granada
#16
L
84-99
84
99
-15
68avg 71
A15/10
ACB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
80-66
80
66
+14
73avg 71
H18/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
22-22
17-20
26-16
14-20
24-21
26-17
18-22
16-16
19-27
15-30
12-11
20-12
23-29
22-23
16-17
21-21
21-26
19-16
20-13
23-12
24-27
11-13
27-18
18-16
12-17
17-10
21-11
20-10
10-24
15-19
26-12
20-27
28-26
18-27
18-19
19-9
17-12
17-26
27-19
157.0Avg total
79.8Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.277.5157.8+2.875%
Season at home (2)78.067.5145.5+10.5100%
Season away (2)82.587.5170.0-5.050%
Last 10 (10)79.877.2157.0+2.670%
Last 5 (5)77.670.8148.4+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.582.8161.3-4.455%
vs Similar ◀ (16)85.182.3167.4+2.862%
vs Weaker (3)77.373.0150.3+4.367%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +5.3+5.3
BreoganBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H23/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A01/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H07/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A10/05
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H14/05
ACB
FMP Beograd
#6
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A21/09
Champions League
Murcia
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A29/09
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H02/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A08/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
18-39
18
39
-21
H16/10
ACB
74.1Avg total
37.8Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.979.0-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.139.479.4+0.757%-
Last 30 away (16)38.340.378.6-2.038%-
Last 10 (10)37.836.374.1+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)33.836.069.8-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.841.076.8-5.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.640.280.8+0.445%-
vs Weaker (4)38.538.577.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H27/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A01/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/05
ACB
Real Betis
#13
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H14/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A30/09
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H02/10
ACB
Nymburk
#33
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A04/10
Champions League
Valencia
#8
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H09/10
ACB
Granada
#16
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A15/10
ACB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#34
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H18/10
Champions League
78.8Avg total
39.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.280.2+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.536.977.3+3.673%-
Last 30 away (15)41.541.683.1-0.133%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.578.8-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.074.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.642.583.1-1.845%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.837.779.5+4.162%-
vs Weaker (3)38.035.773.7+2.333%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.3
51.3%
52.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.5
28.4%
34.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.113.2
72.9%
73.9%13.2
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.5
48.8%
52.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.7
31.4%
34.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.514.7
75.4%
73.9%14.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLWWLWLLWL
Bilbao
WLWWWWLLWW
#10
League position
#12
-6.1
Net rating
+3.8
101.0
Offensive rating
105.4
107.1
Defensive rating
101.6
48.1%
Effective FG%
48.1%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
19.9%
Turnover %
13.6%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.4%
3-point %
31.4%
54.1%
Assist %
59.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 105.4Defence107.1 · 101.6Shooting48.1% · 48.1%3-point %28.4% · 31.4%Ball care19.9% · 13.6%Off. rebounds33.4% · 27.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Breogan   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Breogan wins
2
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
12/03/22Breogan v Bilbao86-94
16/12/21Bilbao v Breogan83-75
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/22HGran Canaria53-71
08/10/22AJoventut Badalona66-85
02/10/22HFuenlabrada78-70
29/09/22AMurcia84-70
21/09/22AFMP Beograd64-76
14/05/22HUnicaja93-84
10/05/22AFuenlabrada65-88
07/05/22HBarcelona72-74
01/05/22AGran Canaria86-84
23/04/22HBasket Zaragoza82-85
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/22HBahcesehir Kol.80-66
15/10/22AGranada84-99
09/10/22HValencia71-65
04/10/22ANymburk68-54
02/10/22HReal Betis85-70
30/09/22AJoventut Badalona81-76
14/05/22HReal Betis98-99 OT
10/05/22ABarcelona62-84
01/05/22ABasket Zaragoza82-80
27/04/22HTenerife87-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game70.265.575.0
Allowed / game74.070.577.5
Point differential-3.8-5.0-2.5
Avg total144.2136.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game80.278.082.5
Allowed / game77.567.587.5
Point differential+2.8+10.5-5.0
Avg total157.8145.5170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife440100%84.070.8+13.2
2 Real Madrid440100%89.879.2+10.5
3 Barcelona43175%89.874.0+15.8
4 Gran Canaria43175%77.570.0+7.5
5 Granada43175%88.883.5+5.2
6 Bilbao43175%80.277.5+2.8
7 Baskonia42250%88.286.5+1.8
8 Unicaja42250%75.875.2+0.5
9 Valencia42250%80.880.2+0.5
10 Murcia42250%77.077.8-0.8
11 Obradoiro CAB42250%77.878.8-1.0
12 Breogan42250%70.274.0-3.8
13 Joventut Badalona41325%84.286.0-1.8
14 Real Betis41325%78.083.5-5.5
15 Fuenlabrada41325%72.580.5-8.0
16 Manresa41325%79.590.2-10.8
17 Basket Zaragoza4040%73.085.5-12.5
18 Basquet Girona4040%69.283.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2321222086
Bilbao1124201570
← all games of the day
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