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Breogan vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-88
24-18 17-30 27-17 15-23
Position#10
Record4-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#8
Record3-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game85.2
SpainACBRound 7
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Breogan v Valencia
24 Jan 2027
BRE v VAL
upcoming
12 Oct 2025
BRE90
VAL113
13 Oct 2024
BRE75
VAL87
15 Oct 2023
BRE59
VAL61
06 Nov 2022
BRE83
VAL88
13 Feb 2022
BRE99
VAL82
20 Jan 2019
BRE65
VAL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
72-74
72
74
-2
57avg 76
H07/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
65-88
65
88
-23
58avg 76
A10/05
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
93-84
93
84
+9
93avg 76
H14/05
ACB
FMP Beograd
#6
L
64-76
64
76
-12
51avg 76
A21/09
Champions League
Murcia
#9
W
84-70
84
70
+14
78avg 76
A29/09
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 76
H02/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
58avg 76
A08/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
53-71
53
71
-18
36avg 76
H16/10
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
86-70
86
70
+16
84avg 76
H22/10
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
106-70
106
70
+36
111avg 76
A29/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-15
22-15
18-22
6-22
21-21
9-21
17-24
18-22
29-12
26-20
22-24
16-28
17-20
17-12
13-23
17-21
22-17
17-17
18-17
27-19
22-17
8-16
16-21
32-16
27-20
21-22
5-21
13-22
10-18
8-21
20-16
15-16
23-11
21-24
22-20
20-15
16-18
24-9
25-21
41-22
152.5Avg total
76.7Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.872.7151.5+6.267%
Season at home (3)72.370.3142.7+2.067%
Season away (3)85.375.0160.3+10.367%
Last 10 (10)76.775.8152.5+0.950%
Last 5 (5)77.873.2151.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)64.080.0144.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)87.286.2173.4+1.060%
vs Weaker (4)86.583.8170.2+2.850%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
61avg 79
H06/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
L
65-71
65
71
-6
55avg 79
A09/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
76-77
76
77
-1
71avg 79
H14/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 79
H16/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
92-91
92
91
+1
87avg 79
A18/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
68avg 79
A20/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
no box
A23/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
W
87-73
87
73
+14
79avg 79
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
80-92
80
92
-12
72avg 79
H30/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 79
A04/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
12-20
23-20
15-22
10-20
24-10
19-15
12-26
27-16
11-26
21-20
17-15
22-26
23-14
15-15
14-20
20-21
25-24
21-23
26-23
25-20
18-14
15-26
19-19
27-27
21-14
18-18
18-25
23-20
27-19
22-16
15-18
18-23
22-32
20-22
20-15
22-28
12-19
24-24
25-11
162.7Avg total
80.8Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.385.2169.5-0.850%
Season at home (3)85.088.0173.0-3.033%
Season away (3)83.782.3166.0+1.367%
Last 10 (10)80.881.9162.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)86.084.8170.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.685.0165.6-4.440%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.780.9163.5+1.853%
vs Weaker (10)86.478.7165.1+7.770%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.3-1.3
BreoganValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H07/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A10/05
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H14/05
ACB
FMP Beograd
#6
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A21/09
Champions League
Murcia
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A29/09
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H02/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A08/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
18-39
18
39
-21
H16/10
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H22/10
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A29/10
ACB
73.2Avg total
38.6Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.779.3-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.539.479.9+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)38.839.978.7-1.144%-
Last 10 (10)38.634.673.2+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.271.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.841.076.8-5.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)41.340.081.2+1.350%-
vs Weaker (4)38.538.577.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H06/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A09/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H14/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H16/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A18/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A20/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A23/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H30/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A04/11
Euroleague
82.2Avg total
41.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.881.7+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.739.281.9+3.571%-
Last 30 away (13)40.740.681.3+0.154%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.282.2-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.286.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.044.083.0-5.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.739.782.4+2.973%-
vs Weaker (10)42.037.979.9+4.170%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.8
53.5%
52.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.8
28.8%
34.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.313.7
74.9%
73.9%13.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.2
50.8%
52.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.7
35.4%
34.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.012.3
76.9%
73.9%12.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WWLLWWLWLL
Valencia
WLWWLWLLLL
#10
League position
#8
+1.2
Net rating
-1.5
104.8
Offensive rating
105.7
103.5
Defensive rating
107.2
49.6%
Effective FG%
51.8%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.6%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.8%
3-point %
35.4%
55.8%
Assist %
59.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 105.7Defence103.5 · 107.2Shooting49.6% · 51.8%3-point %28.8% · 35.4%Ball care18.5% · 17.6%Off. rebounds32.8% · 27.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Breogan   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Breogan wins
2
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
13/02/22Breogan v Valencia99-82
19/12/21Valencia v Breogan97-98
04/05/19Valencia v Breogan83-82
20/01/19Breogan v Valencia65-77
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/22AManresa106-70
22/10/22HBilbao86-70
16/10/22HGran Canaria53-71
08/10/22AJoventut Badalona66-85
02/10/22HFuenlabrada78-70
29/09/22AMurcia84-70
21/09/22AFMP Beograd64-76
14/05/22HUnicaja93-84
10/05/22AFuenlabrada65-88
07/05/22HBarcelona72-74
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/22AOlympiacos83-82
30/10/22HBarcelona80-92
27/10/22HAlba Berlin87-73
23/10/22AObradoiro CAB103-98 OT
20/10/22AFenerbahce77-79
18/10/22AAnadolu Efes92-91
16/10/22HMurcia74-75
14/10/22HLyon-Villeurbanne76-77
09/10/22ABilbao65-71
06/10/22HBaskonia71-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game78.872.385.3
Allowed / game72.770.375.0
Point differential+6.2+2.0+10.3
Avg total151.5142.7160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game84.385.083.7
Allowed / game85.288.082.3
Point differential-0.8-3.0+1.3
Avg total169.5173.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %33%33%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife76186%80.068.1+11.9
2 Barcelona76186%84.372.9+11.4
3 Gran Canaria75271%79.971.4+8.4
4 Real Madrid75271%88.781.1+7.6
5 Baskonia75271%89.985.9+4.0
6 Breogan64267%78.872.7+6.2
7 Unicaja74357%81.171.9+9.3
8 Murcia74357%83.081.4+1.6
9 Granada74357%84.687.3-2.7
10 Valencia63350%84.385.2-0.8
11 Joventut Badalona73443%82.383.0-0.7
12 Bilbao73443%74.078.6-4.6
13 Fuenlabrada73443%77.484.1-6.7
14 Basquet Girona72529%75.080.6-5.6
15 Obradoiro CAB72529%79.485.1-5.7
16 Basket Zaragoza71614%78.486.0-7.6
17 Real Betis71614%78.089.4-11.4
18 Manresa71614%81.194.9-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2417271583
Valencia1830172388
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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