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Breogan vs Obradoiro CAB Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 88-90
22-23 18-23 24-20 24-24
Position#16
Record4-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#15
Record5-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game82.8
SpainACBRound 15· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Breogan v Obradoiro CAB
02 May 2027
BRE v OKA
upcoming
23 Dec 2023
BRE88
OKA90
07 Jan 2023
BRE64
OKA59
26 Mar 2022
BRE80
OKA78
27 Oct 2018
BRE69
OKA56
18 May 2011
BRE54
OKA77
12 Nov 2010
BRE68
OKA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Obradoiro CAB winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
76avg 63
H11/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 63
A15/11
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 63
A18/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
71avg 63
H22/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 63
H26/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
58-91
58
91
-33
38avg 63
A03/12
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
L
65-77
65
77
-12
56avg 63
A06/12
Champions League
Bilbao
#13
W
76-68
76
68
+8
72avg 63
A09/12
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 63
H17/12
ACB
Bonn
#9
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
94avg 63
H20/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
28-13
13-23
29-22
14-22
19-21
26-24
20-17
24-30
28-15
15-19
16-23
22-17
19-16
19-22
22-17
16-23
18-17
18-17
30-20
19-17
9-24
12-27
18-23
15-19
15-22
11-18
24-18
13-22
18-12
18-19
27-15
16-31
18-15
18-14
22-23
21-19
15-20
21-17
23-24
158.9Avg total
78.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.179.4152.5-6.429%
Season at home (7)75.379.1154.4-3.929%
Season away (7)70.979.7150.6-8.929%
Last 10 (10)78.180.8158.9-2.750%
Last 5 (5)74.082.2156.2-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.483.3154.7-11.98%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.378.7157.0-0.450%
vs Weaker (3)64.066.3130.3-2.333%
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCAB
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
89-92
89
92
-3
80avg 53
A14/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
77avg 53
H21/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
79avg 53
A28/10
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
74-87
74
87
-13
64avg 53
A04/11
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
108-95 OT
108
95
+13
no box
H12/11
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
56-76
56
76
-20
44avg 53
A19/11
ACB
Granada
#17
L
77-94
77
94
-17
70avg 53
H25/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
92-87
92
87
+5
90avg 53
A02/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
69-78
69
78
-9
60avg 53
A10/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
46avg 53
H16/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
15-22
31-17
20-40
24-17
11-22
29-14
21-26
20-30
25-16
17-32
18-9
16-19
18-23
22-19
18-26
27-16
20-24
12-16
20-23
13-17
12-20
14-13
17-26
15-24
25-19
24-29
13-22
20-29
24-26
25-17
23-15
18-20
23-14
14-21
14-23
19-15
15-24
14-23
26-23
166.4Avg total
80.4Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.382.8163.1-2.536%
Season at home (7)83.681.0164.6+2.657%
Season away (7)77.084.6161.6-7.614%
Last 10 (10)80.486.0166.4-5.630%
Last 5 (5)73.684.0157.6-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.290.8171.0-10.610%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.081.7158.7-4.736%
vs Weaker (5)85.273.4158.6+11.880%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -4.3-4.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -4.3-4.3
BreoganObradoiro CAB
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H11/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/11
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A18/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H26/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A03/12
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A06/12
Champions League
Bilbao
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A09/12
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H17/12
ACB
Bonn
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H20/12
Champions League
75.6Avg total
36.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.238.873.0-4.623%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.337.873.1-2.533%-
Last 30 away (15)33.139.872.9-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)36.239.475.6-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)31.840.272.0-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.340.072.3-7.78%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.838.975.7-2.136%-
vs Weaker (3)30.033.063.0-3.033%-
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obradoiro CABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A14/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H21/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A28/10
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A04/11
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H12/11
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A19/11
ACB
Granada
#17
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H25/11
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A02/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A10/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H16/12
ACB
79.3Avg total
38.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.676.5-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.935.573.5+2.446%-
Last 30 away (17)37.941.078.9-3.135%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.079.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.678.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.544.081.5-6.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.436.571.9-1.143%-
vs Weaker (5)42.237.079.2+5.260%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.4
50.1%
53.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.0
30.5%
34.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.916.7
76.3%
75.6%16.7
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Obradoiro CABtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obradoiro CAB: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.5
52.6%
53.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.5
30.2%
34.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.314.9
77.2%
75.6%14.9
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLWLLWWLLW
Obradoiro CAB
LLWLLWLLWL
#16
League position
#15
-3.1
Net rating
-8.7
103.5
Offensive rating
102.8
106.5
Defensive rating
111.5
48.3%
Effective FG%
49.7%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
18.8%
Turnover %
18.7%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.5%
3-point %
30.2%
63.3%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 102.8Defence106.5 · 111.5Shooting48.3% · 49.7%3-point %30.5% · 30.2%Ball care18.8% · 18.7%Off. rebounds30.1% · 27.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Breogan   ■ Obradoiro CAB
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Breogan wins
6
Obradoiro CAB wins
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23HBonn97-92 OT
17/12/23HMurcia74-83
09/12/23ABilbao76-68
06/12/23ABursaspor65-77
03/12/23AReal Madrid58-91
26/11/23HBasket Zaragoza82-77
22/11/23HHapoel Holon82-72
18/11/23ABasquet Girona83-87
15/11/23AHapoel Holon79-84
11/11/23HJoventut Badalona85-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HReal Madrid74-85
10/12/23AJoventut Badalona69-78
02/12/23ATenerife92-87
25/11/23HGranada77-94
19/11/23AManresa56-76
12/11/23HBaskonia108-95 OT
04/11/23AUnicaja74-87
28/10/23AGran Canaria80-87
21/10/23HBasquet Girona85-79
14/10/23AMoraBanc Andorra89-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL29%
HomeLLWWL29%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game73.175.370.9
Allowed / game79.479.179.7
Point differential-6.4-3.9-8.9
Avg total152.5154.4150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %14%14%14%
Obradoiro CAB
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL36%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%57%14%
Points / game80.383.677.0
Allowed / game82.881.084.6
Point differential-2.5+2.6-7.6
Avg total163.1164.6161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1514193%91.777.2+14.5
2 Unicaja1512380%88.177.3+10.8
3 Barcelona1510567%86.378.8+7.5
4 Valencia1510567%80.978.0+2.9
5 Murcia159660%83.679.6+4.0
6 Gran Canaria159660%83.583.8-0.3
7 Manresa158753%84.784.6+0.1
8 Baskonia158753%84.285.0-0.8
9 Joventut Badalona158753%80.586.1-5.6
10 Tenerife157847%82.282.2+0.0
11 Basket Zaragoza157847%82.582.7-0.2
12 Basquet Girona157847%82.586.4-3.9
13 Bilbao156940%77.880.8-3.0
14 Obradoiro CAB145936%80.382.8-2.5
15 Granada1551033%84.987.0-2.1
16 Breogan1441029%73.179.4-6.4
17 MoraBanc Andorra1541127%81.985.7-3.8
18 Palencia151147%75.587.5-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2218242488
Obradoiro CAB2323202490
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