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Breogan vs San Pablo Burgos Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 26 May 2019
Tip-off: 10:30
Postponed
Position#18
Record9-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record14-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game83.7
SpainACBRound 34
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Breogan v San Pablo Burgos
14 Nov 2026
BRE v SPB
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
BRE105
SPB78
03 Apr 2022
BRE105
SPB96
26 May 2019
BRE v SPB
upcoming
21 May 2017
BRE79
SPB88
19 May 2017
BRE80
SPB93
08 Oct 2016
BRE87
SPB76
20 Feb 2016
BRE66
SPB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
San Pablo Burgos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
92-96
92
96
-4
78avg 90
H24/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
88-81
88
81
+7
80avg 90
A30/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
75-92
75
92
-17
64avg 90
H07/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
L
62-95
62
95
-33
40avg 90
A14/04
ACB
Unicaja
#5
W
83-75
83
75
+8
72avg 90
H21/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
77avg 90
A27/04
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
82-83
82
83
-1
71avg 90
A04/05
ACB
Tenerife
#7
L
84-85
84
85
-1
75avg 90
H09/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#11
L
77-92
77
92
-15
66avg 90
H12/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 90
A18/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
30-28
25-17
16-21
20-19
15-21
21-17
32-24
21-15
17-31
12-25
25-21
11-23
18-24
17-25
16-23
16-17
15-13
20-19
32-26
24-24
22-15
16-33
27-22
10-23
27-24
22-26
23-10
17-30
24-22
22-17
21-16
24-17
22-31
19-21
12-23
26-22
21-19
24-26
13-24
170.0Avg total
81.6Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)77.284.0161.2-6.827%
Season at home (16)78.479.9158.2-1.544%
Season away (17)76.187.9164.0-11.912%
Last 10 (10)81.688.4170.0-6.820%
Last 5 (5)83.289.0172.2-5.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)77.584.3161.9-6.819%
vs Similar (9)75.981.9157.8-6.044%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Pablo BurgosSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBurgos
Date
Competition
Manresa
#8
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A23/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
76-84
76
84
-8
67avg 101
H31/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
99-76
99
76
+23
100avg 101
H07/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
85-88
85
88
-3
79avg 101
A14/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
W
102-82
102
82
+20
105avg 101
H21/04
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
70-91
70
91
-21
60avg 101
A28/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
84-102
84
102
-18
75avg 101
H04/05
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
A08/05
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
79-87
79
87
-8
70avg 101
A11/05
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
84-73
84
73
+11
81avg 101
H18/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
28-19
25-19
18-25
18-27
26-20
21-15
11-22
19-11
32-19
24-26
24-20
18-22
24-19
25-23
18-24
26-17
28-21
24-19
24-25
17-17
21-23
19-26
13-25
16-25
25-25
21-29
22-23
14-23
25-16
26-29
16-21
20-22
17-19
22-21
20-25
13-20
30-15
23-24
18-14
170.1Avg total
84.6Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)82.583.7166.2-1.342%
Season at home (17)83.180.9163.9+2.259%
Season away (16)81.886.8168.6-4.925%
Last 10 (10)84.685.5170.1-0.940%
Last 5 (5)79.688.4168.0-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.491.7174.1-9.30%
vs Similar (18)80.281.2161.3-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)91.879.4171.2+12.480%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -4.0-4.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -4.0-4.0
BreoganSan Pablo Burgos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H24/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A30/03
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H07/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A14/04
ACB
Unicaja
#5
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H21/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A27/04
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A04/05
ACB
Tenerife
#7
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H09/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H12/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A18/05
ACB
84.9Avg total
40.1Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.639.676.2-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.138.677.7+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)34.240.674.8-6.427%-
Last 10 (10)40.144.884.9-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)43.445.488.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.940.077.0-3.124%-
vs Similar (9)36.038.674.6-2.656%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A23/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H31/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H07/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A14/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H21/04
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A28/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H04/05
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/05
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A11/05
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H18/05
ACB
83.2Avg total
43.2Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.280.6+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.539.479.9+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.340.981.2-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)43.240.083.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.080.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.045.484.4-6.40%-
vs Similar (18)39.639.178.7+0.544%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.236.681.8+8.680%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.323.0
50.8%
52.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.1
31.6%
36.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.013.3
70.0%
74.6%13.3
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.2
55.0%
52.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.0
35.6%
36.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.012.4
68.9%
74.6%12.4
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LLLLLWLLWL
San Pablo Burgos
WLLLLWLWLW
#18
League position
#12
-9.4
Net rating
-0.9
107.9
Offensive rating
110.9
117.3
Defensive rating
111.8
49.6%
Effective FG%
54.3%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
13.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.6%
3-point %
35.6%
46.5%
Assist %
61.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 110.9Defence117.3 · 111.8Shooting49.6% · 54.3%3-point %31.6% · 35.6%Ball care13.6% · 16.6%Off. rebounds30.0% · 30.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Breogan   ■ San Pablo Burgos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Breogan wins
6
San Pablo Burgos wins
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/19AMoraBanc Andorra84-91
12/05/19HGran Canaria77-92
09/05/19HTenerife84-85
04/05/19AValencia82-83
27/04/19AReal Madrid89-94
21/04/19HUnicaja83-75
14/04/19AEstudiantes62-95
07/04/19HBarcelona75-92
30/03/19AJoventut Badalona88-81
24/03/19HFuenlabrada92-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/19HMurcia84-73
11/05/19ABaskonia79-87
08/05/19ATecnyconta Zaragoza81-89
04/05/19HReal Madrid84-102
28/04/19AUnicaja70-91
21/04/19HEstudiantes102-82
14/04/19AJoventut Badalona85-88
07/04/19HFuenlabrada99-76
31/03/19HObradoiro CAB76-84
23/03/19AManresa86-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeLLWLL44%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %27%44%12%
Points / game77.278.476.1
Allowed / game84.079.987.9
Point differential-6.8-1.5-11.9
Avg total161.2158.2164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%19%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)25% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
San Pablo Burgos
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW42%
HomeLWWLW59%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %42%59%25%
Points / game82.583.181.8
Allowed / game83.780.986.8
Point differential-1.3+2.2-4.9
Avg total166.2163.9168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%35%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3226681%89.078.9+10.1
2 Barcelona3326779%86.876.6+10.2
3 Baskonia3225778%86.274.2+12.0
4 Valencia32221069%82.078.4+3.6
5 Unicaja33201361%84.082.0+1.9
6 Joventut Badalona32171553%80.880.2+0.6
7 Tenerife33171652%81.579.5+2.0
8 Manresa33171652%80.582.2-1.6
9 Tecnyconta Zaragoza33171652%83.085.5-2.5
10 MoraBanc Andorra33161748%83.382.2+1.1
11 Gran Canaria33141942%83.484.6-1.2
12 San Pablo Burgos33141942%82.583.7-1.3
13 Fuenlabrada33122136%81.889.0-7.2
14 Murcia33112233%78.282.1-3.9
15 Obradoiro CAB33112233%78.283.0-4.8
16 Estudiantes33112233%82.987.7-4.8
17 Gipuzkoa33102330%75.281.7-6.5
18 Breogan3392427%77.284.0-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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