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Brescia vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 91-87
24-20 21-27 25-21 21-19
Position#11
Record9-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game79.7
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Avellino
Italy
Position#3
Record13-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game73.8
ItalyLega ARound 20
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Brescia v Avellino
27 Oct 2018
BRE74
AVE77
08 Oct 2017
BRE96
AVE75
26 Feb 2017
BRE91
AVE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A18/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H27/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
91-86
91
86
+5
A02/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
97-79
97
79
+18
H08/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
99-68
99
68
+31
H22/01
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A29/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A17/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#2
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A18/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
15-18
14-23
17-16
25-18
20-20
11-18
18-24
20-20
20-20
21-20
30-26
21-20
18-16
31-22
27-21
31-17
22-16
21-13
25-22
13-21
12-19
18-15
22-26
13-16
18-11
13-7
12-14
21-23
16-19
21-28
21-23
25-15
17-22
14-18
20-13
15-22
24-11
16-27
15-17
153.5Avg total
77.7Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.479.7160.1+0.747%
Season at home (9)84.374.7159.0+9.767%
Season away (10)76.884.2161.0-7.430%
Last 10 (10)77.775.8153.5+1.950%
Last 5 (5)69.273.4142.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.283.4158.6-8.125%
vs Similar (21)79.374.2153.6+5.162%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#35
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A04/01
Champions League
Trento
#4
W
79-69 OT
79
69
+10
H08/01
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#42
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H11/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A17/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A22/01
Lega A
Juventus
#17
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H25/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H30/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A05/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H12/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H17/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
16-18
22-16
16-23
13-18
17-14
14-13
21-20
13-20
13-8
10-17
17-15
17-28
18-16
18-8
25-14
20-21
17-17
21-22
21-24
21-20
19-20
15-14
19-10
30-15
17-21
16-15
17-17
22-14
13-13
6-16
18-24
16-21
25-15
17-11
21-15
22-13
16-26
16-17
14-13
140.9Avg total
72.7Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.373.8153.1+5.568%
Season at home (10)82.873.2156.0+9.680%
Season away (9)75.474.4149.9+1.056%
Last 10 (10)72.768.2140.9+4.560%
Last 5 (5)72.066.0138.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.571.0147.5+5.550%
vs Similar (9)73.071.7144.7+1.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)78.470.5148.9+7.978%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
BresciaAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H27/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H08/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H22/01
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A29/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A17/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A18/02
Italian Cup
75.5Avg total
39.0Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.677.1-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.935.976.8+5.179%-
Last 30 away (16)36.441.077.4-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)39.036.575.5+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)34.835.870.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.142.479.5-5.225%-
vs Similar (21)38.937.276.1+1.757%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#35
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A04/01
Champions League
Trento
#4
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H08/01
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#42
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H11/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A17/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A22/01
Lega A
Juventus
#17
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H30/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A05/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H17/02
Italian Cup
72.3Avg total
36.9Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.036.073.0+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.034.872.8+3.256%-
Last 30 away (14)35.937.473.3-1.436%-
Last 10 (10)36.935.472.3+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.675.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (9)33.834.868.6-1.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.935.974.8+3.156%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.2
51.0%
51.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.5
37.4%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.314.0
76.5%
74.0%14.0
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.2
51.7%
51.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.9
37.9%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.112.0
74.5%
74.0%12.0
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWLWLWWWLL
Avellino
LWLWWLWLWW
#11
League position
#3
+5.0
Net rating
+8.4
107.3
Offensive rating
105.8
102.3
Defensive rating
97.4
52.9%
Effective FG%
53.9%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
18.8%
Turnover %
19.7%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.4%
3-point %
37.9%
63.8%
Assist %
59.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 105.8Defence102.3 · 97.4Shooting52.9% · 53.9%3-point %37.4% · 37.9%Ball care18.8% · 19.7%Off. rebounds28.4% · 28.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Brescia   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brescia wins
1
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
30/10/16Avellino v Brescia92-79
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/17ASassari70-77
17/02/17AVenezia76-68
12/02/17AOlimpia Milano79-93
05/02/17HSassari56-48
29/01/17ACantu65-81
22/01/17HPesaro99-68
08/01/17HPistoia97-79
02/01/17ATorino91-86
27/12/16HTrento74-80
18/12/16AVenezia70-78
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/17HSassari68-69
12/02/17HPesaro79-62
05/02/17APistoia59-67
30/01/17HOlimpia Milano80-68
25/01/17HJuventus74-64
22/01/17ATorino79-84
17/01/17ATenerife78-66
11/01/17HMornar Bar53-60
08/01/17HTrento79-69 OT
04/01/17AOostende78-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL47%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%67%30%
Points / game80.484.376.8
Allowed / game79.774.784.2
Point differential+0.7+9.7-7.4
Avg total160.1159.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW68%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%80%56%
Points / game79.382.875.4
Allowed / game73.873.274.4
Point differential+5.5+9.6+1.0
Avg total153.1156.0149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%60%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1916384%88.679.5+9.2
2 Avellino1913668%79.373.8+5.5
3 Venezia1912763%81.579.3+2.2
4 Sassari1911858%77.473.0+4.4
5 Reggiana1911858%81.381.2+0.1
6 Trento1910953%74.971.9+3.1
7 Capo d'Orlando1910953%78.278.2+0.0
8 Pistoia1910953%75.476.1-0.7
9 Brescia1991047%80.479.7+0.7
10 Brindisi1991047%82.982.5+0.5
11 Caserta1991047%81.084.3-3.3
12 Torino1991047%81.885.4-3.6
13 Cantu1971237%76.881.6-4.8
14 Pesaro1961332%73.578.2-4.7
15 Cremona1951426%76.879.2-2.4
16 Varese1951426%75.681.7-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2421252191
Avellino2027211987
← all games of the day
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