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Avellino vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 79-69 (OT)
13-18 17-14 14-13 21-20 14-4
Position#3
Record10-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#4
Record6-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game75.7
ItalyLega ARound 15
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Avellino v Trento
03 Nov 2018
AVE110
TRE72
15 May 2018
AVE80
TRE59
13 May 2018
AVE77
TRE79
09 May 2018
AVE78
TRE74
08 Jan 2017
AVE79
TRE69
20 Feb 2016
AVE71
TRE69
01 Nov 2015
AVE79
TRE66
30 Nov 2014
AVE84
TRE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Juventus
#17
W
85-75
85
75
+10
no box
A29/11
Champions League
Venezia
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
107avg 110
H04/12
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
85-61
85
61
+24
no box
H07/12
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
74-75
74
75
-1
98avg 110
A12/12
Lega A
Strasbourg
#9
L
57-63
57
63
-6
no box
A14/12
Champions League
Cremona
#16
W
86-73
86
73
+13
110avg 110
A18/12
Lega A
Cibona
#37
W
75-57
75
57
+18
no box
H21/12
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
94-65
94
65
+29
127avg 110
H27/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
86-82
86
82
+4
106avg 110
A01/01
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
A04/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
18-19
19-22
27-10
14-21
21-13
14-23
29-23
21-15
16-18
22-10
26-18
17-28
20-10
20-9
17-28
12-15
8-21
17-14
20-13
16-21
19-18
26-16
25-18
25-17
16-12
23-21
11-7
30-17
17-15
24-20
23-13
22-23
26-20
18-23
20-16
24-16
16-18
22-16
16-23
150.2Avg total
79.8Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.875.1155.9+5.671%
Season at home (7)84.376.1160.4+8.171%
Season away (7)77.374.1151.4+3.171%
Last 10 (10)79.870.4150.2+9.470%
Last 5 (5)83.870.0153.8+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.583.0156.5-9.50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)76.276.0152.2+0.245%
vs Weaker (16)81.072.0153.0+9.088%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
106avg 101
H30/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
67-84
67
84
-17
91avg 101
A06/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
70-74
70
74
-4
94avg 101
H14/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
78-84 OT
78
84
-6
no box
A20/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
78-73
78
73
+5
111avg 101
A27/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-92
74
92
-18
97avg 101
H04/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
66-69
66
69
-3
92avg 101
A10/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
103avg 101
H18/12
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
80-74
80
74
+6
104avg 101
A27/12
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
68-77
68
77
-9
90avg 101
H02/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
30-22
16-16
16-24
17-23
19-18
13-22
18-21
17-15
12-19
23-17
18-23
14-13
22-20
16-22
21-18
23-22
19-15
14-19
22-17
16-17
15-27
18-23
25-25
27-14
14-15
10-22
15-18
24-13
22-21
17-21
21-13
18-25
20-20
18-11
24-18
16-21
14-23
19-12
19-21
152.4Avg total
74.5Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.575.7151.2-0.243%
Season at home (7)78.778.3157.0+0.443%
Season away (7)72.373.1145.4-0.943%
Last 10 (10)74.577.9152.4-3.430%
Last 5 (5)74.476.0150.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.775.7144.3-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)75.975.2151.1+0.747%
vs Weaker (12)77.676.9154.5+0.750%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
AvellinoTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A29/11
Champions League
Venezia
#1
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H04/12
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H07/12
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A12/12
Lega A
Strasbourg
#9
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A14/12
Champions League
Cremona
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A18/12
Lega A
Cibona
#37
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H21/12
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H27/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A01/01
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A04/01
Champions League
74.0Avg total
37.9Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.374.8+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.736.675.3+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)36.437.974.3-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)37.936.174.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.477.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.541.074.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.037.971.9-3.918%-
vs Weaker (16)40.336.176.4+4.269%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H14/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A20/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A27/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H04/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A10/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H18/12
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A27/12
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H02/01
Lega A
76.2Avg total
37.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.975.3+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.737.175.9+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)38.136.774.8+1.456%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.576.2-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.276.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.037.373.3-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.135.373.4+2.967%-
vs Weaker (12)39.338.878.2+0.558%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.0
53.1%
51.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.1
38.5%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
74.0%13.5
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.621.4
49.1%
51.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.25.6
27.7%
35.7%16.8
🏀 Free throws20.815.0
72.1%
74.0%15.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WWWWWLLWLW
Trento
LWWLLWLLLL
#3
League position
#4
+9.8
Net rating
-1.7
111.2
Offensive rating
100.0
101.4
Defensive rating
101.7
55.2%
Effective FG%
46.7%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
18.3%
Turnover %
18.5%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.5%
3-point %
27.7%
58.7%
Assist %
44.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 100.0Defence101.4 · 101.7Shooting55.2% · 46.7%3-point %38.5% · 27.7%Ball care18.3% · 18.5%Off. rebounds31.5% · 31.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Avellino   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Avellino wins
1
Trento wins
DateGameScore
20/02/16Avellino v Trento71-69
13/02/16Trento v Avellino68-80
01/11/15Avellino v Trento79-66
22/03/15Trento v Avellino92-85
30/11/14Avellino v Trento84-72
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/17AOostende78-73
01/01/17ACaserta86-82
27/12/16HCapo d'Orlando94-65
21/12/16HCibona75-57
18/12/16ACremona86-73
14/12/16AStrasbourg57-63
12/12/16ACantu74-75
07/12/16HMega Bemax85-61
04/12/16HVenezia78-80
29/11/16AJuventus85-75
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/17HCantu68-77
27/12/16ABrescia80-74
18/12/16HVarese84-68
10/12/16ASassari66-69
04/12/16HOlimpia Milano74-92
27/11/16APesaro78-73
20/11/16APistoia78-84 OT
14/11/16HTorino70-74
06/11/16ACaserta67-84
30/10/16HReggiana80-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW71%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game80.884.377.3
Allowed / game75.176.174.1
Point differential+5.6+8.1+3.1
Avg total155.9160.4151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Trento
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeLLLWL43%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game75.578.772.3
Allowed / game75.778.373.1
Point differential-0.2+0.4-0.9
Avg total151.2157.0145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1412286%89.379.7+9.6
2 Venezia1511473%82.980.3+2.5
3 Avellino1410471%80.875.1+5.6
4 Reggiana159660%81.081.1-0.1
5 Sassari158753%78.574.5+3.9
6 Capo d'Orlando158753%77.876.8+1.0
7 Brindisi157847%85.282.8+2.4
8 Brescia157847%81.981.6+0.3
9 Torino157847%82.184.6-2.5
10 Pistoia157847%75.978.5-2.6
11 Caserta157847%82.085.3-3.3
12 Trento146843%75.575.7-0.2
13 Cantu146843%77.882.1-4.3
14 Pesaro1551033%74.977.9-3.0
15 Cremona1541127%76.780.1-3.5
16 Varese1541127%75.780.8-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Avellino131714211479
Trento18141320469
← all games of the day
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