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Brescia vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 99-68
31-17 22-16 21-13 25-22
Position#11
Record7-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game81.6
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record5-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game77.9
ItalyLega ARound 16
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Brescia v Pesaro
01 Oct 2023
BRE81
PES79
18 Feb 2023
BRE74
PES57
29 Oct 2022
BRE97
PES98
20 Jan 2022
BRE110
PES78
10 May 2021
BRE86
PES84
24 Nov 2019
BRE101
PES74
04 Nov 2018
BRE84
PES81
21 Jan 2018
BRE88
PES70
22 Jan 2017
BRE99
PES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
H05/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A13/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A19/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H27/11
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A04/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H11/12
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A18/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H27/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
91-86
91
86
+5
A02/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
97-79
97
79
+18
H08/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
24-18
20-16
16-19
23-22
19-23
23-18
26-20
12-24
30-18
17-15
15-11
25-25
23-21
23-20
22-22
27-29
22-17
13-23
21-20
21-20
25-21
18-12
31-13
24-21
15-18
14-23
17-16
25-18
20-20
11-18
18-24
20-20
20-20
21-20
30-26
21-20
18-16
31-22
27-21
166.4Avg total
85.7Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.981.6163.5+0.347%
Season at home (7)86.379.4165.7+6.957%
Season away (8)78.083.5161.5-5.538%
Last 10 (10)85.780.7166.4+5.060%
Last 5 (5)85.477.8163.2+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.887.7165.5-9.817%
vs Similar ◀ (19)79.674.9154.6+4.763%
vs Weaker (5)88.277.2165.4+11.060%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H06/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H13/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A20/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H27/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A04/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
H11/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A18/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H27/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A02/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H08/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
24-22
16-22
27-20
13-17
17-21
24-20
29-29
26-23
13-25
21-8
20-31
22-23
15-19
19-14
17-22
29-22
12-23
15-13
17-13
21-19
20-14
22-26
24-28
10-15
26-21
20-26
31-20
7-13
16-13
19-16
15-17
23-16
24-34
18-25
19-13
16-17
14-19
17-15
23-17
158.7Avg total
78.7Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.977.9152.9-3.033%
Season at home (8)74.274.4148.6-0.138%
Season away (7)75.782.0157.7-6.329%
Last 10 (10)78.780.0158.7-1.340%
Last 5 (5)78.879.8158.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.282.0160.2-3.825%
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.675.7152.3+0.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
BresciaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H05/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A13/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A19/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H27/11
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A04/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/12
Lega A
Venezia
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H27/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H08/01
Lega A
84.8Avg total
43.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.379.9-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.337.579.8+4.973%-
Last 30 away (15)36.943.180.1-6.220%-
Last 10 (10)43.241.684.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.880.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.245.083.2-6.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.437.677.0+1.758%-
vs Weaker (5)42.444.887.2-2.440%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H13/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A20/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H27/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A04/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H27/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A02/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H08/01
Lega A
75.5Avg total
36.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.377.0+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.836.374.1+1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)39.740.680.4-0.929%-
Last 10 (10)36.539.075.5-2.520%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.271.6-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.339.677.9-1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.937.576.4+1.433%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.9
53.3%
51.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.9
39.4%
35.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.115.0
74.6%
74.0%15.0
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.3
51.3%
51.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.7
33.9%
35.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws14.610.6
72.6%
74.0%10.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWLLWLWWWL
Pesaro
WLLWLWLLLW
#11
League position
#15
+3.5
Net rating
-4.2
111.0
Offensive rating
99.8
107.6
Defensive rating
103.9
55.4%
Effective FG%
51.1%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
19.5%
Turnover %
18.7%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.4%
3-point %
33.9%
60.1%
Assist %
41.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 99.8Defence107.6 · 103.9Shooting55.4% · 51.1%3-point %39.4% · 33.9%Ball care19.5% · 18.7%Off. rebounds28.9% · 24.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Brescia   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brescia wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
02/10/16Pesaro v Brescia76-63
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/17HPistoia97-79
02/01/17ATorino91-86
27/12/16HTrento74-80
18/12/16AVenezia70-78
11/12/16HCremona95-66
04/12/16ACaserta83-89
27/11/16HReggiana93-88
19/11/16AVarese74-68
13/11/16ABrindisi91-83
05/11/16HCapo d'Orlando89-90 OT
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/17HCapo d'Orlando70-68
02/01/17AOlimpia Milano84-88
27/12/16HPistoia57-59
18/12/16ACaserta87-82
11/12/16HBrindisi96-102 OT
04/12/16ACremona73-71
27/11/16HTrento73-78
20/11/16AReggiana80-87
13/11/16HVarese83-87
06/11/16HVenezia84-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW47%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayWWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%57%38%
Points / game81.986.378.0
Allowed / game81.679.483.5
Point differential+0.3+6.9-5.5
Avg total163.5165.7161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%38%29%
Points / game74.974.275.7
Allowed / game77.974.482.0
Point differential-3.0-0.1-6.3
Avg total152.9148.6157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)20% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1513287%89.079.7+9.3
2 Avellino1511473%80.774.7+5.9
3 Venezia1511473%82.980.3+2.5
4 Reggiana159660%81.081.1-0.1
5 Sassari158753%78.574.5+3.9
6 Capo d'Orlando158753%77.876.8+1.0
7 Brescia157847%81.981.6+0.3
8 Torino157847%82.184.6-2.5
9 Pistoia157847%75.978.5-2.6
10 Caserta157847%82.085.3-3.3
11 Trento167944%75.674.2+1.4
12 Brindisi167944%82.982.9+0.0
13 Cantu156940%77.982.3-4.4
14 Pesaro1551033%74.977.9-3.0
15 Cremona1541127%76.780.1-3.5
16 Varese1541127%75.780.8-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia3122212599
Pesaro1716132268
← all games of the day
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