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Brescia vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 97-79
21-20 18-16 31-22 27-21
Position#11
Record6-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game81.8
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#7
Record7-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game77.2
ItalyLega ARound 15
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Brescia v Pistoia
29 Dec 2024
BRE90
PIS83
14 May 2024
BRE97
PIS75
12 May 2024
BRE79
PIS70
28 Jan 2024
BRE109
PIS90
08 Dec 2019
BRE86
PIS74
31 Mar 2019
BRE87
PIS79
14 Jan 2018
BRE76
PIS72
08 Jan 2017
BRE97
PIS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
79-92
79
92
-13
102avg 110
A30/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
no box
H05/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
91-83
91
83
+8
120avg 110
A13/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
74-68
74
68
+6
100avg 110
A19/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
93-88
93
88
+5
123avg 110
H27/11
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
83-89
83
89
-6
109avg 110
A04/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
95-66
95
66
+29
135avg 110
H11/12
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
70-78
70
78
-8
98avg 110
A18/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
74-80
74
80
-6
104avg 110
H27/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
91-86
91
86
+5
125avg 110
A02/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
11-22
19-21
28-24
18-25
24-18
20-16
16-19
23-22
19-23
23-18
26-20
12-24
30-18
17-15
15-11
25-25
23-21
23-20
22-22
27-29
22-17
13-23
21-20
21-20
25-21
18-12
31-13
24-21
15-18
14-23
17-16
25-18
20-20
11-18
18-24
20-20
20-20
21-20
30-26
165.9Avg total
83.9Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.881.8162.6-1.043%
Season at home (6)84.579.5164.0+5.050%
Season away (8)78.083.5161.5-5.538%
Last 10 (10)83.982.0165.9+1.950%
Last 5 (5)82.679.8162.4+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.887.7165.5-9.817%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.774.7153.4+3.961%
vs Weaker (6)85.274.8160.0+10.367%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
W
97-64
97
64
+33
no box
H30/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
68-69
68
69
-1
96avg 102
H05/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
62-74
62
74
-12
no box
A13/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
no box
H20/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
70-104
70
104
-34
91avg 102
A27/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
89-73
89
73
+16
125avg 102
H04/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
64-79
64
79
-15
84avg 102
A11/12
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
94-87 OT
94
87
+7
no box
H19/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
59-57
59
57
+2
87avg 102
A27/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
85-71
85
71
+14
117avg 102
H02/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
22-14
28-15
27-21
16-18
20-15
16-15
16-21
19-16
18-12
12-19
13-27
13-14
20-22
22-16
18-21
18-21
22-31
16-27
14-25
20-22
25-16
19-22
25-13
22-19
10-22
22-21
10-17
20-19
16-24
15-21
29-16
13-7
13-16
16-19
17-15
20-20
26-18
17-12
22-21
152.8Avg total
77.2Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.777.2152.9-1.550%
Season at home (7)86.674.7161.3+11.986%
Season away (7)64.979.7144.6-14.914%
Last 10 (10)77.275.6152.8+1.660%
Last 5 (5)78.273.4151.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.189.1166.2-12.012%
vs Similar ◀ (19)75.776.4152.1-0.642%
vs Weaker (2)76.572.0148.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
BresciaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A30/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H05/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A13/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A19/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H27/11
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A04/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/12
Lega A
Venezia
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H27/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A02/01
Lega A
85.2Avg total
42.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.079.8-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.736.979.5+5.873%-
Last 30 away (15)36.943.180.1-6.220%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.785.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.884.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.245.083.2-6.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.437.777.1+1.756%-
vs Weaker (6)42.741.884.5+0.850%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H30/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H05/11
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A13/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H20/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A27/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H04/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A11/12
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H19/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A27/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H02/01
Lega A
73.3Avg total
37.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.740.176.8-3.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.438.676.9-0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)35.241.476.7-6.225%-
Last 10 (10)37.336.073.3+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.673.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.646.883.4-10.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.238.275.4-1.047%-
vs Weaker (2)31.033.064.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.3
51.2%
51.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.1
37.3%
35.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.815.9
72.9%
74.0%15.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.922.6
48.2%
51.1%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.05.7
27.1%
35.7%17.1
🏀 Free throws12.19.3
76.9%
74.0%9.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WLLWLWWWLL
Pistoia
WWWLWLWLLW
#11
League position
#7
-1.2
Net rating
-3.3
107.9
Offensive rating
94.4
109.1
Defensive rating
97.7
53.1%
Effective FG%
45.9%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
19.1%
Turnover %
19.7%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.18
37.3%
3-point %
27.1%
58.8%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 94.4Defence109.1 · 97.7Shooting53.1% · 45.9%3-point %37.3% · 27.1%Ball care19.1% · 19.7%Off. rebounds28.4% · 30.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Brescia   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brescia wins
0
Pistoia wins
No previous meetings.
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/17ATorino91-86
27/12/16HTrento74-80
18/12/16AVenezia70-78
11/12/16HCremona95-66
04/12/16ACaserta83-89
27/11/16HReggiana93-88
19/11/16AVarese74-68
13/11/16ABrindisi91-83
05/11/16HCapo d'Orlando89-90 OT
30/10/16AAvellino79-92
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/17HReggiana85-71
27/12/16APesaro59-57
19/12/16HCantu94-87 OT
11/12/16ACapo d'Orlando64-79
04/12/16HTorino89-73
27/11/16AOlimpia Milano70-104
20/11/16HTrento84-78 OT
13/11/16AVenezia62-74
05/11/16HSassari68-69
30/10/16HVarese97-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %43%50%38%
Points / game80.884.578.0
Allowed / game81.879.583.5
Point differential-1.0+5.0-5.5
Avg total162.6164.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %7%17%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%86%14%
Points / game75.786.664.9
Allowed / game77.274.779.7
Point differential-1.5+11.9-14.9
Avg total152.9161.3144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1412286%89.379.7+9.6
2 Venezia1511473%82.980.3+2.5
3 Avellino1410471%80.875.1+5.6
4 Reggiana149564%82.181.0+1.1
5 Capo d'Orlando148657%78.577.3+1.2
6 Sassari158753%78.574.5+3.9
7 Pistoia147750%75.777.2-1.5
8 Brindisi157847%85.282.8+2.4
9 Torino157847%82.184.6-2.5
10 Caserta157847%82.085.3-3.3
11 Trento146843%75.575.7-0.2
12 Brescia146843%80.881.8-1.0
13 Cantu146843%77.882.1-4.3
14 Pesaro1441029%75.378.6-3.4
15 Varese1541127%75.780.8-5.1
16 Cremona1431121%76.281.1-4.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2118312797
Pistoia2016222179
← all games of the day
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