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Avellino vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 80-68
30-15 17-21 16-15 17-17
Position#3
Record11-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#2
Record14-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game79.3
ItalyLega ARound 17
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Avellino v Olimpia Milano
24 May 2019
AVE v MIL
upcoming
22 May 2019
AVE v MIL
upcoming
30 Dec 2018
AVE85
MIL81
25 Mar 2018
AVE75
MIL82
30 Jan 2017
AVE80
MIL68
25 Sep 2016
AVE72
MIL90
21 Feb 2016
AVE76
MIL82
19 Oct 2015
AVE60
MIL83
03 Nov 2014
AVE73
MIL69
01 May 2014
AVE92
MIL94
15 Oct 2012
AVE80
MIL58
22 Apr 2012
AVE77
MIL90
03 Apr 2011
AVE76
MIL84
13 Dec 2009
AVE66
MIL73
22 Nov 2008
AVE68
MIL61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A18/12
Lega A
Cibona
#37
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H21/12
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
94-65
94
65
+29
H27/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A01/01
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A04/01
Champions League
Trento
#4
W
79-69 OT
79
69
+10
H08/01
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#42
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H11/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A17/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A22/01
Lega A
Juventus
#17
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H25/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
19-18
26-16
25-18
25-17
16-12
23-21
11-7
30-17
17-15
24-20
23-13
22-23
26-20
18-23
20-16
24-16
16-18
22-16
16-23
13-18
17-14
14-13
21-20
13-20
13-8
10-17
17-15
17-28
18-16
18-8
25-14
20-21
17-17
21-22
21-24
21-20
19-20
15-14
19-10
147.5Avg total
78.2Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.675.3155.9+5.269%
Season at home (8)83.675.2158.9+8.475%
Season away (8)77.575.4152.9+2.162%
Last 10 (10)78.269.3147.5+8.980%
Last 5 (5)72.668.6141.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.571.0147.5+5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.873.8149.6+2.056%
vs Weaker (19)79.171.6150.6+7.579%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
L
87-91
87
91
-4
A27/12
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H29/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H02/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A06/01
Euroleague
Cantu
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A10/01
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
64-101
64
101
-37
A13/01
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H19/01
Euroleague
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H22/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
99-83
99
83
+16
H25/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A27/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-9
21-36
26-27
21-19
16-21
17-15
23-20
14-22
16-23
34-24
25-18
13-19
19-18
21-23
18-22
21-23
24-25
17-20
28-10
16-24
9-27
16-29
21-22
18-23
23-21
26-18
22-21
21-27
27-19
18-20
23-12
22-23
15-21
26-20
26-20
32-22
18-22
31-24
24-23
16-25
170.0Avg total
84.3Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)89.179.3168.4+9.888%
Season at home (8)91.677.9169.5+13.8100%
Season away (8)86.580.8167.2+5.875%
Last 10 (10)84.385.7170.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)86.887.8174.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)81.688.2169.9-6.621%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.985.5171.4+0.450%
vs Weaker (8)91.280.9172.1+10.488%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -3.3-3.3
AvellinoOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A18/12
Lega A
Cibona
#37
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H21/12
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H27/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A01/01
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A04/01
Champions League
Trento
#4
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H08/01
Lega A
Mornar Bar
#42
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H11/01
Champions League
Tenerife
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A17/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A22/01
Lega A
Juventus
#17
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/01
Champions League
73.8Avg total
37.9Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.036.673.7+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.835.373.1+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)36.338.074.3-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)37.935.973.8+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)33.636.470.0-2.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.837.069.8-4.222%-
vs Weaker (19)39.436.075.4+3.458%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A27/12
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H29/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H02/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A06/01
Euroleague
Cantu
#14
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A10/01
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
25-56
25
56
-31
A13/01
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H19/01
Euroleague
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H22/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H25/01
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A27/01
Euroleague
84.8Avg total
41.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.185.5-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.441.485.8+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)40.344.885.1-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.584.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.286.0-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.642.682.3-3.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.144.486.5-2.250%-
vs Weaker (8)47.442.690.0+4.875%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.7
53.9%
51.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.3
38.4%
35.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.413.4
69.1%
74.0%13.4
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.623.1
55.5%
51.1%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.97.6
36.4%
35.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.114.5
72.1%
74.0%14.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WLWLWWWWWW
Olimpia Milano
LWWWLWLWLL
#3
League position
#2
+8.2
Net rating
-1.8
111.6
Offensive rating
110.3
103.4
Defensive rating
112.2
55.5%
Effective FG%
55.2%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
20.2%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.4%
3-point %
36.4%
59.0%
Assist %
61.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 110.3Defence103.4 · 112.2Shooting55.5% · 55.2%3-point %38.4% · 36.4%Ball care18.7% · 20.2%Off. rebounds32.6% · 34.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Avellino   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Avellino wins
8
Olimpia Milano wins
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/17HJuventus74-64
22/01/17ATorino79-84
17/01/17ATenerife78-66
11/01/17HMornar Bar53-60
08/01/17HTrento79-69 OT
04/01/17AOostende78-73
01/01/17ACaserta86-82
27/12/16HCapo d'Orlando94-65
21/12/16HCibona75-57
18/12/16ACremona86-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/17AReal Madrid89-94
25/01/17HOlympiacos99-83
22/01/17HCapo d'Orlando90-74
19/01/17HGalatasaray92-87
13/01/17ACSKA Moscow64-101
10/01/17ACantu85-79
06/01/17AFenerbahce79-86
02/01/17HPesaro88-84
29/12/16HZalgiris Kaunas70-78
27/12/16AReggiana87-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayWLWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%75%62%
Points / game80.683.677.5
Allowed / game75.375.275.4
Point differential+5.2+8.4+2.1
Avg total155.9158.9152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game89.191.686.5
Allowed / game79.377.980.8
Point differential+9.8+13.8+5.8
Avg total168.4169.5167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1614288%89.179.3+9.8
2 Venezia1712571%83.480.4+3.0
3 Avellino1611569%80.675.3+5.2
4 Sassari1710759%78.974.5+4.5
5 Capo d'Orlando179853%78.377.9+0.4
6 Reggiana179853%80.781.5-0.8
7 Torino179853%81.283.1-1.9
8 Trento178947%75.873.3+2.5
9 Brescia178947%81.980.8+1.1
10 Brindisi178947%83.183.0+0.1
11 Pistoia178947%75.877.8-2.1
12 Caserta178947%82.185.3-3.2
13 Cantu1771041%77.781.9-4.2
14 Pesaro1751229%73.978.5-4.5
15 Varese1751229%76.380.9-4.6
16 Cremona1741324%74.679.1-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino3017161780
Olimpia Milano1521151768
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