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Brescia vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 78-87
23-21 11-21 20-25 24-20
Position#11
Record10-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#10
Record8-14
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game80.7
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Brescia v Varese
14 Dec 2025
BRE102
VAR94
29 Sep 2024
BRE118
VAR94
26 Nov 2023
BRE116
VAR73
08 Oct 2022
BRE88
VAR83
01 May 2022
BRE102
VAR71
10 Feb 2021
BRE98
VAR83
01 Sep 2020
BRE89
VAR88
10 Nov 2019
BRE91
VAR74
20 Jan 2019
BRE78
VAR73
14 May 2018
BRE77
VAR75
12 May 2018
BRE68
VAR61
23 Oct 2017
BRE73
VAR67
19 Mar 2017
BRE78
VAR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#7
W
97-79
97
79
+18
129avg 109
H08/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
99-68
99
68
+31
136avg 109
H22/01
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
65-81
65
81
-16
88avg 109
A29/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
56-48
56
48
+8
87avg 109
H05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
104avg 109
A12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
A17/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#2
L
70-77
70
77
-7
no box
A18/02
Italian Cup
Avellino
#3
W
91-87
91
87
+4
118avg 109
H26/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
67-71
67
71
-4
93avg 109
A05/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
81-91
81
91
-10
108avg 109
H11/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
18-16
31-22
27-21
31-17
22-16
21-13
25-22
13-21
12-19
18-15
22-26
13-16
18-11
13-7
12-14
21-23
16-19
21-28
21-23
25-15
17-22
14-18
20-13
15-22
24-11
16-27
15-17
24-20
21-27
25-21
21-19
24-17
11-18
14-19
18-17
21-23
19-19
24-24
17-25
154.4Avg total
78.1Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.380.1160.4+0.145%
Season at home (11)84.677.3161.9+7.464%
Season away (11)75.983.0158.9-7.127%
Last 10 (10)78.176.3154.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)77.078.8155.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.484.5161.9-7.130%
vs Similar ◀ (19)78.774.1152.8+4.758%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
74-61
74
61
+13
no box
A10/01
Champions League
Usak Sportif
#33
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H18/01
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
95avg 104
H22/01
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
L
53-78
53
78
-25
no box
A24/01
Champions League
Caserta
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
110avg 104
A29/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
109avg 104
H05/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
58-80
58
80
-22
84avg 104
A12/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
75-70
75
70
+5
108avg 104
H27/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
82-75
82
75
+7
108avg 104
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
93-78
93
78
+15
120avg 104
H12/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
17-17
22-10
11-7
24-17
21-20
24-19
16-21
24-25
18-17
19-20
15-21
12-21
10-18
25-25
6-14
28-21
19-22
19-19
20-18
21-25
19-29
24-19
18-25
18-17
16-21
9-21
15-21
15-11
20-14
21-22
19-23
24-28
16-21
23-11
19-15
23-22
19-29
25-18
26-9
154.4Avg total
76.4Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.780.7157.4-4.036%
Season at home (12)79.879.9159.7-0.242%
Season away (10)73.081.7154.7-8.730%
Last 10 (10)76.478.0154.4-1.660%
Last 5 (5)78.080.2158.2-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)71.781.8153.5-10.119%
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.178.7153.8-3.643%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
BresciaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H08/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H22/01
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A29/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A17/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A18/02
Italian Cup
Avellino
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A05/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H11/03
Lega A
75.8Avg total
38.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.578.5-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.437.979.2+3.571%-
Last 30 away (16)36.940.977.8-4.125%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.275.8+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.879.0+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.242.881.0-4.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.237.977.1+1.358%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/01
Champions League
Usak Sportif
#33
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H18/01
Champions League
Sassari
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H22/01
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A24/01
Champions League
Caserta
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H05/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A12/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H27/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H12/03
Lega A
81.0Avg total
38.8Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.841.778.5-5.023%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.141.279.3-3.131%-
Last 30 away (14)35.242.477.6-7.114%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.281.0-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.481.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.043.378.3-8.36%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.839.978.7-1.143%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.2
49.8%
51.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.6
36.8%
35.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.213.4
77.9%
74.0%13.4
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.220.8
48.1%
51.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.9
32.7%
35.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.513.3
71.9%
74.0%13.3
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLWLWLWLWW
Varese
WWWLLWLLWW
#11
League position
#10
+2.4
Net rating
-5.3
106.5
Offensive rating
101.1
104.0
Defensive rating
106.5
51.7%
Effective FG%
48.4%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.8%
3-point %
32.7%
62.5%
Assist %
46.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 101.1Defence104.0 · 106.5Shooting51.7% · 48.4%3-point %36.8% · 32.7%Ball care17.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds27.0% · 29.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Brescia   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Brescia wins
0
Varese wins
DateGameScore
19/11/16Varese v Brescia68-74
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/17HBrindisi81-91
05/03/17ACapo d'Orlando67-71
26/02/17HAvellino91-87
18/02/17ASassari70-77
17/02/17AVenezia76-68
12/02/17AOlimpia Milano79-93
05/02/17HSassari56-48
29/01/17ACantu65-81
22/01/17HPesaro99-68
08/01/17HPistoia97-79
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/17HPesaro93-78
05/03/17AAvellino82-75
27/02/17HPistoia75-70
12/02/17ABrindisi58-80
05/02/17HOlimpia Milano82-98
29/01/17ACaserta86-80
24/01/17AOldenburg53-78
22/01/17HSassari76-83
18/01/17HUsak Sportif85-77
10/01/17AHydroTruck Radom74-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL45%
HomeWWWWL64%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%64%27%
Points / game80.384.675.9
Allowed / game80.177.383.0
Point differential+0.1+7.4-7.1
Avg total160.4161.9158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Varese
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW36%
HomeLLLWW42%
AwayLLWLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %36%42%30%
Points / game76.779.873.0
Allowed / game80.779.981.7
Point differential-4.0-0.2-8.7
Avg total157.4159.7154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2320387%87.478.7+8.7
2 Avellino2315865%79.875.2+4.7
3 Venezia2315865%81.878.2+3.6
4 Capo d'Orlando2314961%78.177.3+0.7
5 Trento23131057%76.272.8+3.4
6 Sassari23121152%76.673.8+2.8
7 Reggiana23121152%81.882.5-0.7
8 Brindisi23111248%83.782.7+1.0
9 Torino23111248%81.084.7-3.6
10 Brescia22101245%80.380.1+0.1
11 Pistoia23101343%75.677.3-1.7
12 Cantu23101343%78.281.2-3.0
13 Caserta2391439%79.583.3-3.7
14 Varese2281436%76.780.7-4.0
15 Pesaro2371630%73.679.4-5.8
16 Cremona2361726%78.080.6-2.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2311202478
Varese2121252087
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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