PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brescia vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 104-93
25-18 29-24 21-31 29-20
Position#4
Record10-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game82.0
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#5
Record9-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game93.9
Allowed / game87.1
ItalyLega ARound 13· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Brescia v Venezia
28 Dec 2025
BRE104
VEN93
06 Apr 2025
BRE97
VEN89
14 Apr 2024
BRE90
VEN84
19 Apr 2023
BRE74
VEN79
29 Nov 2022
BRE60
VEN80
04 Dec 2021
BRE80
VEN69
13 Dec 2020
BRE71
VEN69
04 Jan 2020
BRE70
VEN64
12 Jan 2019
BRE72
VEN70
17 Dec 2017
BRE90
VEN71
15 Apr 2017
BRE79
VEN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
71avg 82
A02/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
98-92
98
92
+6
92avg 82
H05/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
98-75
98
75
+23
100avg 82
H09/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 82
A16/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
83-72
83
72
+11
no box
H21/11
Lega A
UT Martin
#72
L
50-75
50
75
-25
no box
A26/11
NCAA
Reggiana
#7
W
93-87
93
87
+6
89avg 82
A06/12
Lega A
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
53-92
53
92
-39
no box
A10/12
NCAA
Varese
#8
W
102-94
102
94
+8
103avg 82
H14/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
64avg 82
A22/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
17-31
20-13
19-14
27-20
29-21
24-27
18-24
32-26
21-18
18-16
27-15
23-15
21-18
12-16
29-23
23-21
14-19
22-14
24-18
0-0
18-43
0-0
32-32
25-29
26-17
20-20
22-21
0-0
21-50
0-0
32-42
29-18
21-29
25-18
27-29
21-18
17-23
15-25
23-20
163.5Avg total
81.3Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.182.0171.1+7.183%
Season at home (6)92.881.7174.5+11.2100%
Season away (6)85.382.3167.7+3.067%
Last 10 (10)81.382.2163.5-0.960%
Last 5 (5)74.886.8161.6-12.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.287.2156.5-18.025%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.982.2165.1+0.760%
vs Weaker (10)95.181.9177.0+13.2100%
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
65-93
65
93
-28
52avg 82
A12/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#7
W
89-79
89
79
+10
81avg 82
A16/11
Lega A
Manresa
#10
W
97-93
97
93
+4
94avg 82
H19/11
Eurocup
Tortona
#6
W
98-90
98
90
+8
99avg 82
A23/11
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
66-98
66
98
-32
48avg 82
A04/12
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
W
101-95
101
95
+6
94avg 82
H07/12
Lega A
Aris
#13
L
86-90
86
90
-4
82avg 82
A10/12
Eurocup
Trento
#9
L
90-96
90
96
-6
82avg 82
A13/12
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
94-85
94
85
+9
90avg 82
H17/12
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#11
W
106-96
106
96
+10
112avg 82
H21/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
24-23
14-27
14-24
12-28
34-19
22-10
21-22
27-29
27-16
18-24
25-24
22-22
30-25
22-17
24-26
12-21
14-26
18-20
22-31
36-26
25-25
23-14
17-30
22-33
21-23
20-14
23-20
17-20
33-17
17-33
23-26
15-14
14-28
32-16
33-27
30-29
23-19
27-18
26-30
180.7Avg total
89.2Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)93.987.1181.0+6.875%
Season at home (6)94.380.5174.8+13.8100%
Season away (6)93.593.7187.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)89.291.5180.7-2.360%
Last 5 (5)95.492.4187.8+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.588.1167.6-8.625%
vs Similar ◀ (8)93.293.5186.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (14)90.479.1169.5+11.279%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.2-3.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.2-3.2
BresciaVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A02/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H05/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H09/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A16/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H21/11
Lega A
UT Martin
#72
L
18-43
18
43
-25
A26/11
NCAA
Reggiana
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A06/12
Lega A
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
21-50
21
50
-29
A10/12
NCAA
Varese
#8
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H14/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A22/12
Lega A
83.9Avg total
40.4Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.485.1+0.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.141.687.7+4.471%-
Last 30 away (16)39.843.182.9-3.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.583.9-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.645.481.0-9.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.845.280.0-10.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.842.484.2-0.653%-
vs Weaker (10)48.341.189.4+7.290%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A12/11
Eurocup
Reggiana
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A16/11
Lega A
Manresa
#10
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H19/11
Eurocup
Tortona
#6
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A23/11
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A04/12
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
W
61-51
61
51
+10
H07/12
Lega A
Aris
#13
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A10/12
Eurocup
Trento
#9
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A13/12
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H17/12
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#11
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H21/12
Lega A
91.3Avg total
45.1Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.585.9+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.539.484.9+6.171%-
Last 30 away (16)41.645.286.8-3.619%-
Last 10 (10)45.146.291.3-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)47.246.894.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.842.581.2-3.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.045.990.9-0.938%-
vs Weaker (14)45.240.685.8+4.664%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.5
53.5%
54.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.9
37.9%
34.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws23.919.7
82.4%
76.1%19.7
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.4
56.9%
54.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.6
35.2%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.616.4
75.9%
76.1%16.4
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWLWLWWWWL
Venezia
WWLLWLWWWL
#4
League position
#5
+9.9
Net rating
-3.8
117.3
Offensive rating
111.7
107.4
Defensive rating
115.5
54.8%
Effective FG%
55.2%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
15.4%
Turnover %
16.8%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.9%
3-point %
35.2%
61.6%
Assist %
66.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 111.7Defence107.4 · 115.5Shooting54.8% · 55.2%3-point %37.9% · 35.2%Ball care15.4% · 16.8%Off. rebounds27.7% · 25.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Brescia   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brescia wins
5
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
06/04/25Brescia v Venezia97-89
22/12/24Venezia v Brescia89-90
14/04/24Brescia v Venezia90-84
23/12/23Venezia v Brescia86-71
19/04/23Brescia v Venezia74-79
08/03/23Venezia v Brescia90-64
10/12/22Venezia v Brescia82-79
29/11/22Brescia v Venezia60-80
30/01/22Venezia v Brescia82-93
04/12/21Brescia v Venezia80-69
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/25AVirtus Bologna76-86
14/12/25HVarese102-94
10/12/25ANorthern Kentucky53-92
06/12/25AReggiana93-87
26/11/25AUT Martin50-75
21/11/25HCremona83-72
16/11/25ABasket Napoli85-72
09/11/25HTrieste98-75
05/11/25HOlimpia Milano98-92
02/11/25ATrapani75-77
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HBasket Napoli106-96
17/12/25HBahcesehir Kol.94-85
13/12/25ATrento90-96
10/12/25AAris86-90
07/12/25HCantu101-95
04/12/25AHapoel Jerusalem66-98
23/11/25ATortona98-90
19/11/25HManresa97-93
16/11/25AReggiana89-79
12/11/25ACedevita Olimpija65-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game89.192.885.3
Allowed / game82.081.782.3
Point differential+7.1+11.2+3.0
Avg total171.1174.5167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Venezia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game93.994.393.5
Allowed / game87.180.593.7
Point differential+6.8+13.8-0.2
Avg total181.0174.8187.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1210283%86.878.8+8.0
2 Brescia1210283%89.182.0+7.1
3 Trapani1210283%90.285.6+4.7
4 Venezia129375%93.987.1+6.8
5 Olimpia Milano128467%86.577.6+8.9
6 Tortona128467%89.889.4+0.3
7 Trieste126650%85.290.2-4.9
8 Cremona125742%84.384.8-0.4
9 Basket Napoli125742%86.287.2-1.0
10 Trento135838%84.482.8+1.5
11 Udine135838%80.281.1-0.8
12 Sassari124833%85.888.4-2.6
13 Varese124833%81.186.8-5.7
14 Reggiana123925%80.985.0-4.1
15 Cantu123925%83.291.8-8.6
16 Treviso1221017%83.292.6-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia25292129104
Venezia1824312093
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.