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Brescia vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 102-94
29-18 21-29 25-18 27-29
Position#4
Record9-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game80.4
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record3-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game87.0
ItalyLega ARound 11· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Brescia v Varese
14 Dec 2025
BRE102
VAR94
29 Sep 2024
BRE118
VAR94
26 Nov 2023
BRE116
VAR73
08 Oct 2022
BRE88
VAR83
01 May 2022
BRE102
VAR71
10 Feb 2021
BRE98
VAR83
01 Sep 2020
BRE89
VAR88
10 Nov 2019
BRE91
VAR74
20 Jan 2019
BRE78
VAR73
14 May 2018
BRE77
VAR75
12 May 2018
BRE68
VAR61
23 Oct 2017
BRE73
VAR67
19 Mar 2017
BRE78
VAR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Udine
#13
W
81-72
81
72
+9
78avg 82
A19/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
104-94
104
94
+10
95avg 82
H26/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
71avg 82
A02/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
98-92
98
92
+6
92avg 82
H05/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
98-75
98
75
+23
100avg 82
H09/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 82
A16/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
83-72
83
72
+11
no box
H21/11
Lega A
UT Martin
#72
L
50-75
50
75
-25
no box
A26/11
NCAA
Reggiana
#7
W
93-87
93
87
+6
89avg 82
A06/12
Lega A
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
53-92
53
92
-39
no box
A10/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
28-16
21-14
16-19
29-27
28-11
28-26
19-30
19-19
17-31
20-13
19-14
27-20
29-21
24-27
18-24
32-26
21-18
18-16
27-15
23-15
21-18
12-16
29-23
23-21
14-19
22-14
24-18
0-0
18-43
0-0
32-32
25-29
26-17
20-20
22-21
0-0
21-50
0-0
32-42
162.8Avg total
82.0Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.180.4169.5+8.790%
Season at home (5)91.079.2170.2+11.8100%
Season away (5)87.281.6168.8+5.680%
Last 10 (10)82.080.8162.8+1.270%
Last 5 (5)72.879.6152.4-6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.287.2156.5-18.025%
vs Similar (16)84.082.9166.9+1.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)94.380.6174.9+13.8100%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
W
105-102
105
102
+3
100avg 74
A05/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
61-94
61
94
-33
46avg 74
H11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
79-103
79
103
-24
68avg 74
A19/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
74-85
74
85
-11
71avg 74
H25/10
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 74
A02/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
77avg 74
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
81avg 74
A09/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
91-82
91
82
+9
86avg 74
H16/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
59-66
59
66
-7
44avg 74
H23/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
79avg 74
A08/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
27-25
28-29
23-24
17-28
15-22
20-24
9-20
22-28
22-28
18-20
17-27
22-17
18-24
18-21
16-23
23-25
16-21
18-19
18-21
23-16
12-23
19-14
23-30
23-23
25-17
24-31
15-19
18-21
25-19
27-17
21-25
17-21
10-18
9-13
23-14
22-17
17-22
18-24
30-16
166.5Avg total
79.5Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.587.0166.5-7.530%
Season at home (5)72.482.0154.4-9.620%
Season away (5)86.692.0178.6-5.440%
Last 10 (10)79.587.0166.5-7.530%
Last 5 (5)80.280.0160.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)80.492.8173.2-12.425%
vs Similar (10)87.886.7174.5+1.160%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
BresciaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#13
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A19/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H26/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A02/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H05/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H09/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A16/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H21/11
Lega A
UT Martin
#72
L
18-43
18
43
-25
A26/11
NCAA
Reggiana
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A06/12
Lega A
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
21-50
21
50
-29
A10/12
NCAA
84.1Avg total
41.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.142.685.8+0.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.941.887.7+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)40.743.484.1-2.756%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.484.1-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)34.242.476.6-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.845.280.0-10.525%-
vs Similar (16)43.143.186.2+0.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)48.140.488.6+7.789%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A05/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A19/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H25/10
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A02/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H04/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A09/11
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H16/11
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H23/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/12
Lega A
84.0Avg total
40.1Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.543.385.8-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.340.480.7-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)44.746.290.9-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)40.143.984.0-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.477.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)41.945.387.2-3.435%-
vs Similar (10)43.739.383.0+4.470%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.3
52.3%
54.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.79.2
40.5%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.519.2
81.7%
76.1%19.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.0
51.7%
54.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.210.0
31.1%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.712.6
75.4%
76.1%12.6
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWLWWWWLWW
Varese
WLWLLLLLLW
#4
League position
#8
+8.6
Net rating
-9.3
117.5
Offensive rating
99.2
108.9
Defensive rating
108.6
55.4%
Effective FG%
49.3%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
16.3%
Turnover %
19.0%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.5%
3-point %
31.1%
59.0%
Assist %
63.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.5 · 99.2Defence108.9 · 108.6Shooting55.4% · 49.3%3-point %40.5% · 31.1%Ball care16.3% · 19.0%Off. rebounds28.8% · 26.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Brescia   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Brescia wins
3
Varese wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Varese v Brescia77-118
29/09/24Brescia v Varese118-94
30/03/24Varese v Brescia92-95
26/11/23Brescia v Varese116-73
28/01/23Varese v Brescia80-72
08/10/22Brescia v Varese88-83
01/05/22Brescia v Varese102-71
26/09/21Varese v Brescia75-72
10/02/21Brescia v Varese98-83
27/09/20Varese v Brescia94-89 OT
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/25ANorthern Kentucky53-92
06/12/25AReggiana93-87
26/11/25AUT Martin50-75
21/11/25HCremona83-72
16/11/25ABasket Napoli85-72
09/11/25HTrieste98-75
05/11/25HOlimpia Milano98-92
02/11/25ATrapani75-77
26/10/25HCantu104-94
19/10/25AUdine81-72
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/25ACremona87-79
23/11/25HUdine59-66
16/11/25HCantu91-82
09/11/25ATortona87-90
04/11/25HVirtus Bologna77-83
02/11/25AVenezia75-86
25/10/25HTrento74-85
19/10/25AReggiana79-103
11/10/25HOlimpia Milano61-94
05/10/25ASassari105-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game89.191.087.2
Allowed / game80.479.281.6
Point differential+8.7+11.8+5.6
Avg total169.5170.2168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW30%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game79.572.486.6
Allowed / game87.082.092.0
Point differential-7.5-9.6-5.4
Avg total166.5154.4178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1110191%91.484.1+7.3
2 Virtus Bologna109190%89.379.6+9.7
3 Brescia109190%89.180.4+8.7
4 Venezia118373%92.886.3+6.5
5 Tortona117464%91.091.1-0.1
6 Olimpia Milano106460%87.077.9+9.1
7 Trieste116555%86.790.7-4.0
8 Cremona105550%86.583.9+2.6
9 Trento115645%86.783.5+3.3
10 Basket Napoli104640%83.686.4-2.8
11 Varese103730%79.587.0-7.5
12 Cantu103730%82.892.1-9.3
13 Udine113827%79.581.8-2.3
14 Sassari113827%84.489.4-5.0
15 Reggiana112918%81.386.5-5.3
16 Treviso101910%83.494.4-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia29212527102
Varese1829182994
← all games of the day
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