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Brescia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 98-92
27-20 29-21 24-27 18-24
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game81.2
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#2
Record4-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game71.2
ItalyLega ARound 6· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Brescia v Olimpia Milano
31 May 2026
BRE85
MIL79
29 May 2026
BRE72
MIL88
05 Nov 2025
BRE98
MIL92
28 Sep 2025
BRE76
MIL90
15 Mar 2025
BRE73
MIL79
15 Feb 2025
BRE69
MIL74
30 May 2024
BRE86
MIL96
30 Dec 2023
BRE72
MIL64
26 Mar 2023
BRE83
MIL74
20 Mar 2022
BRE82
MIL74
14 Mar 2021
BRE92
MIL99
07 Sep 2020
BRE79
MIL91
19 Jan 2020
BRE78
MIL72
20 Apr 2019
BRE92
MIL86
30 May 2018
BRE70
MIL76
28 May 2018
BRE74
MIL80
22 Apr 2018
BRE88
MIL85
23 Oct 2016
BRE80
MIL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
87-90
87
90
-3
82avg 81
A12/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
65-75
65
75
-10
56avg 81
A14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
74-96
74
96
-22
60avg 81
H17/06
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
88-75
88
75
+13
77avg 81
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
76-90
76
90
-14
66avg 81
H28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#14
W
102-100 OT
102
100
+2
71avg 81
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
72-63
72
63
+9
63avg 81
H11/10
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
81-72
81
72
+9
78avg 81
A19/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
104-94
104
94
+10
95avg 81
H26/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
71avg 81
A02/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
22-21
22-22
20-27
21-22
11-17
19-19
14-17
15-28
13-22
23-26
23-20
20-26
12-19
30-14
26-16
24-28
20-19
11-22
21-21
28-30
23-18
10-24
23-12
27-14
12-20
16-13
17-16
16-23
28-16
21-14
16-19
29-27
28-11
28-26
19-30
19-19
17-31
20-13
19-14
165.6Avg total
82.4Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.881.2168.0+5.680%
Season at home (2)88.078.5166.5+9.5100%
Season away (3)86.083.0169.0+3.067%
Last 10 (10)82.483.2165.6-0.850%
Last 5 (5)86.881.2168.0+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)76.090.0166.0-14.00%
vs Similar (19)82.182.2164.3-0.253%
vs Weaker (8)97.484.6182.0+12.8100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Monaco
#10
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 81
H09/10
Euroleague
Varese
#8
W
94-61
94
61
+33
100avg 81
A11/10
Lega A
Bayern
#14
L
53-64
53
64
-11
46avg 81
A14/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
89-78
89
78
+11
87avg 81
A16/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#16
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 81
A19/10
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
100-103
100
103
-3
90avg 81
H23/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#5
W
101-88
101
88
+13
102avg 81
H26/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#8
L
72-74
72
74
-2
61avg 81
A28/10
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
86-77
86
77
+9
85avg 81
H30/10
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
93-61
93
61
+32
100avg 81
A02/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
19-19
26-25
17-16
28-17
22-15
24-20
20-9
14-16
19-12
7-18
13-18
13-21
26-21
24-19
26-17
18-22
16-20
19-13
23-17
18-24
30-30
26-31
26-18
20-17
30-32
32-23
19-16
19-14
22-22
20-28
11-10
23-15
24-12
20-26
19-24
27-16
26-12
16-22
24-11
160.3Avg total
84.3Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.071.2158.2+15.880%
Season at home (2)86.081.0167.0+5.050%
Season away (3)87.764.7152.3+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.376.0160.3+8.360%
Last 5 (5)90.480.6171.0+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)94.590.5185.0+4.050%
vs Similar (16)80.477.1157.5+3.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)91.074.7165.7+16.382%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
BresciaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H17/06
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#14
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/10
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A19/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H26/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A02/11
Lega A
83.9Avg total
40.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.741.685.4+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.640.584.1+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)43.942.786.6+1.167%-
Last 10 (10)40.843.183.9-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.887.2+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)44.047.091.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (19)42.641.984.5+0.758%-
vs Weaker (8)48.141.089.1+7.188%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H09/10
Euroleague
Varese
#8
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A11/10
Lega A
Bayern
#14
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A14/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/10
Euroleague
Sassari
#16
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A19/10
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H23/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#5
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H26/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/10
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H30/10
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A02/11
Lega A
81.0Avg total
43.1Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.039.983.9+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.841.789.5+6.169%-
Last 30 away (17)41.238.579.7+2.659%-
Last 10 (10)43.137.981.0+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)47.838.886.6+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.548.091.5-4.50%-
vs Similar (16)42.237.980.2+4.369%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.940.887.7+6.173%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.0
51.5%
54.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.8
37.0%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.216.8
75.7%
76.1%16.8
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.2
52.3%
54.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.5
37.4%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.016.2
81.0%
76.1%16.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LWWWWLWLLL
Olimpia Milano
WWLWLWWLWL
#4
League position
#2
-2.3
Net rating
+10.6
112.1
Offensive rating
114.5
114.4
Defensive rating
103.9
53.0%
Effective FG%
53.9%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.4%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.0%
3-point %
37.4%
55.8%
Assist %
68.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 114.5Defence114.4 · 103.9Shooting53.0% · 53.9%3-point %37.0% · 37.4%Ball care15.0% · 16.4%Off. rebounds26.7% · 30.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Brescia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brescia wins
8
Olimpia Milano wins
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25ATrapani75-77
26/10/25HCantu104-94
19/10/25AUdine81-72
11/10/25HTrento72-63
05/10/25ATreviso102-100 OT
28/09/25HOlimpia Milano76-90
27/09/25ATrento88-75
17/06/25HVirtus Bologna74-96
14/06/25AVirtus Bologna65-75
12/06/25AVirtus Bologna87-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25AReggiana93-61
30/10/25HParis86-77
28/10/25ABarcelona72-74
26/10/25HVenezia101-88
23/10/25HValencia100-103
19/10/25ASassari76-72
16/10/25AZalgiris Kaunas89-78
14/10/25ABayern53-64
11/10/25AVarese94-61
09/10/25HMonaco79-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game86.888.086.0
Allowed / game81.278.583.0
Point differential+5.6+9.5+3.0
Avg total168.0166.5169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%50%100%
Points / game87.086.087.7
Allowed / game71.281.064.7
Point differential+15.8+5.0+23.0
Avg total158.2167.0152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna65183%88.580.8+7.7
2 Olimpia Milano54180%87.071.2+15.8
3 Brescia54180%86.881.2+5.6
4 Trapani54180%91.687.0+4.6
5 Tortona54180%90.286.2+4.0
6 Trento53260%85.878.4+7.4
7 Venezia53260%92.085.2+6.8
8 Cremona53260%83.879.2+4.6
9 Trieste53260%87.291.4-4.2
10 Reggiana52340%81.084.2-3.2
11 Basket Napoli52340%84.888.4-3.6
12 Cantu52340%80.091.0-11.0
13 Udine51420%79.280.2-1.0
14 Varese61517%78.592.2-13.7
15 Treviso5050%90.699.6-9.0
16 Sassari5050%78.087.6-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2729241898
Olimpia Milano2021272492
← all games of the day
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