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Brindisi vs Caserta Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record6-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.1/10
Above normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#15
Record2-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game82.6
ItalySerie A2Round 16· PalaPentassuglia
Other2026-27
Meetings · Brindisi v Caserta
20 Dec 2026
BRI v KAS
upcoming
27 Dec 2016
BRI100
KAS72
24 Apr 2016
BRI73
KAS55
01 Feb 2015
BRI60
KAS72
09 Mar 2014
BRI64
KAS53
09 Dec 2012
BRI82
KAS74
20 Nov 2010
BRI64
KAS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Caserta win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
62avg 70
H14/05
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
66-59
66
59
+7
61avg 70
A27/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
84-81
84
81
+3
35avg 70
H04/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
96-78
96
78
+18
92avg 70
A11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
75avg 70
H17/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
63-70
63
70
-7
66avg 70
A21/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
W
83-70
83
70
+13
85avg 70
H25/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
63-70
63
70
-7
no box
A31/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
80-74
80
74
+6
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
14-24
23-21
10-17
15-18
17-14
16-13
18-14
29-21
19-18
21-21
15-21
18-19
31-16
28-18
19-25
27-20
24-22
18-20
12-23
17-18
20-18
15-13
11-21
27-19
24-18
17-23
15-10
24-18
15-18
16-13
8-21
23-20
15-9
29-23
13-22
22-19
19-18
20-14
20-27
150.8Avg total
76.6Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.473.9151.3+3.667%
Season at home (4)82.077.5159.5+4.575%
Season away (5)73.871.0144.8+2.860%
Last 10 (10)76.674.2150.8+2.460%
Last 5 (5)74.072.4146.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.078.0159.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (17)77.877.8155.6-0.141%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)76.574.1150.6+2.458%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
no box
H07/05
Lega A
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
69avg 73
A27/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
H04/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
77-83
77
83
-6
66avg 73
A11/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
96-89
96
89
+7
90avg 73
H18/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
77-70
77
70
+7
68avg 73
H25/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
75-95
75
95
-20
no box
A01/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H08/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
L
70-78
70
78
-8
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-8
15-26
17-23
24-22
18-19
19-23
21-11
19-17
18-27
19-17
21-19
15-18
24-26
14-16
21-26
22-15
24-23
15-23
21-16
17-21
21-27
16-25
35-20
24-17
26-17
15-18
16-22
20-13
19-20
16-18
19-29
21-28
25-22
22-22
16-22
13-16
22-21
14-15
14-20
20-22
158.7Avg total
77.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.182.6160.8-4.525%
Season at home (4)82.581.0163.5+1.550%
Season away (4)73.884.2158.0-10.50%
Last 10 (10)77.781.0158.7-3.330%
Last 5 (5)78.882.8161.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.782.9158.6-7.212%
vs Similar (14)78.079.6157.6-1.643%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
BrindisiCaserta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/05
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A27/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H04/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H17/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A21/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H25/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A31/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H07/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A11/11
Serie A2
78.4Avg total
42.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.677.8+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.435.478.8+7.979%-
Last 30 away (16)37.439.677.0-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)42.236.278.4+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)41.235.076.2+6.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.037.078.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (17)40.938.379.2+2.659%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.236.875.9+2.450%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A30/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H07/05
Lega A
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A27/09
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H04/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A11/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H18/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A01/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H08/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A11/11
Serie A2
79.4Avg total
38.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.340.878.2-3.520%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.940.979.8-2.127%-
Last 30 away (15)35.840.776.5-4.913%-
Last 10 (10)38.141.379.4-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.080.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.440.878.2-3.319%-
vs Similar (14)37.240.978.1-3.721%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.017.0
54.8%
51.5%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.7
34.1%
34.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.313.0
79.8%
70.9%13.0
They take 53.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.6
54.7%
51.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
34.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.513.9
71.3%
70.9%13.9
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
WWLWLLWWWL
Caserta
LLLWWLLLWL
#6
League position
#15
-1.8
Net rating
-1.8
93.5
Offensive rating
103.9
95.3
Defensive rating
105.6
53.3%
Effective FG%
52.9%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
13.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.1%
3-point %
33.9%
56.3%
Assist %
46.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 103.9Defence95.3 · 105.6Shooting53.3% · 52.9%3-point %34.1% · 33.9%Ball care13.6% · 15.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Brindisi   ■ Caserta
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brindisi wins
4
Caserta wins
DateGameScore
23/04/17Caserta v Brindisi86-82
27/12/16Brindisi v Caserta100-72
24/04/16Brindisi v Caserta73-55
27/12/15Caserta v Brindisi80-75
01/02/15Brindisi v Caserta60-72
19/10/14Caserta v Brindisi69-78
09/03/14Brindisi v Caserta64-53
24/11/13Caserta v Brindisi65-69
07/04/13Caserta v Brindisi78-63
09/12/12Brindisi v Caserta82-74
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ALibertas Livorno81-78
07/11/26HForli80-74
31/10/26AMestre63-70
25/10/26HAvellino Basket83-70
21/10/26ASebastiani Rieti63-70
17/10/26HBasket Torino81-85
11/10/26AMontecatini96-78
04/10/26HUrania Milano84-81
27/09/26AJuVi Cremona66-59
14/05/26HVerona69-77
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APistoia70-78
08/11/26HAvellino Basket76-82
01/11/26ASassari75-95
25/10/26HMestre77-70
18/10/26HJuVi Cremona96-89
11/10/26APesaro77-83
04/10/26HFortitudo Bologna81-83
27/09/26ASebastiani Rieti73-81
07/05/17HSassari77-70
30/04/17AAvellino75-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game77.482.073.8
Allowed / game73.977.571.0
Point differential+3.6+4.5+2.8
Avg total151.3159.5144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Caserta
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL25%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game78.182.573.8
Allowed / game82.681.084.2
Point differential-4.5+1.5-10.5
Avg total160.8163.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia95456%77.469.6+7.9
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Urania Milano91811%75.783.1-7.4
20 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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