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Llaneros vs Toros de Aragua Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 May 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 95-90
17-17 28-21 18-21 32-31
Position#16
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#18
Record2-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game85.9
VenezuelaSuperliga· Domo Olímpico Hugo Chávez
Other2024
Meetings · Llaneros v Toros de Aragua
15 Apr 2025
LLAN80
TORO88
07 Apr 2025
LLAN75
TORO77
10 Jul 2024
LLAN v TORO
upcoming
31 May 2024
LLAN95
TORO90
14 May 2023
LLAN92
TORO88
11 Apr 2023
LLAN79
TORO59
15 Aug 2022
LLAN98
TORO60
14 Jul 2022
LLAN53
TORO50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Llaneros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros de Aragua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LlanerosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLlaneros
Date
Competition
Toros de Aragua
#18
W
76-72
76
72
+4
67avg 66
A02/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
89-72
89
72
+17
87avg 66
A07/05
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
80-88
80
88
-8
68avg 66
A10/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
61-63
61
63
-2
56avg 66
A11/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
71avg 66
A14/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
89-96
89
96
-7
81avg 66
H17/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
67-71 OT
67
71
-4
43avg 66
H19/05
Superliga
Broncos
#10
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 66
H21/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
61-75
61
75
-14
55avg 66
A24/05
Superliga
Broncos
#10
L
83-104
83
104
-21
69avg 66
A29/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
20-24
9-16
23-16
24-15
27-15
23-21
15-21
18-25
31-17
14-22
17-24
15-22
17-19
17-13
12-9
14-18
21-20
23-28
23-25
23-13
22-26
19-27
25-30
20-15
19-16
16-16
8-16
23-27
18-12
17-16
14-19
18-16
16-19
11-23
16-17
21-24
18-25
24-23
20-32
156.5Avg total
75.9Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.980.6156.5-4.720%
Season at home (3)76.080.3156.3-4.30%
Season away (7)75.980.7156.6-4.929%
Last 10 (10)75.980.6156.5-4.720%
Last 5 (5)74.484.0158.4-9.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)76.489.2165.6-12.86%
vs Similar (5)76.279.6155.8-3.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.677.3164.9+10.3100%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Pioneros
#7
L
74-78
74
78
-4
63avg 63
A06/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
58-97
58
97
-39
39avg 63
A09/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
74avg 63
H11/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
75-92
75
92
-17
55avg 63
A13/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
59-72
59
72
-13
49avg 63
A15/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
75-87
75
87
-12
62avg 63
H18/05
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
81-91
81
91
-10
70avg 63
A20/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
77-89
77
89
-12
70avg 63
H22/05
Superliga
Broncos
#10
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
74avg 63
A25/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
70-86
70
86
-16
50avg 63
A28/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
16-24
17-20
11-15
11-19
10-21
20-31
17-26
13-23
24-20
18-15
14-11
17-26
21-23
18-25
19-18
19-17
7-29
13-11
20-15
20-20
10-23
21-21
24-23
18-31
14-22
27-16
22-22
22-21
14-22
20-26
21-20
25-21
10-24
14-19
31-16
21-17
16-33
14-17
19-19
161.2Avg total
74.3Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.585.9161.4-10.417%
Season at home (5)79.883.8163.6-4.040%
Season away (7)72.487.4159.9-15.00%
Last 10 (10)74.386.9161.2-12.610%
Last 5 (5)78.689.8168.4-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)76.187.9164.0-11.812%
vs Similar (2)75.079.0154.0-4.050%
vs Weaker (2)85.583.5169.0+2.050%
This opponent (Llaneros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -9.9-9.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -9.9-9.9Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
LlanerosToros de Aragua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LlanerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toros de Aragua
#18
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A02/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A07/05
Superliga
Spartans
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A10/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A11/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A14/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H17/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H19/05
Superliga
Broncos
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H21/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A24/05
Superliga
Broncos
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A29/05
Superliga
79.3Avg total
40.9Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.582.3-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.340.379.7-1.050%-
Last 30 away (18)41.842.384.1-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.479.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.678.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.444.183.5-4.733%-
vs Similar (5)41.836.878.6+5.080%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.738.181.9+5.671%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pioneros
#7
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A06/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A09/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H11/05
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A13/05
Superliga
Frontinos
#13
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A15/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#8
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H18/05
Superliga
Spartans
#9
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A20/05
Superliga
Pioneros
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H22/05
Superliga
Broncos
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A25/05
Superliga
Gladiadores
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A28/05
Superliga
79.3Avg total
33.8Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.444.882.2-7.520%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.944.983.8-5.921%-
Last 30 away (16)36.044.880.8-8.819%-
Last 10 (10)33.845.579.3-11.710%-
Last 5 (5)34.046.880.8-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.745.081.7-8.319%-
vs Similar (2)33.544.077.5-10.50%-
vs Weaker (2)50.044.094.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Llaneros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Llanerostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Llaneros: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.220.6
47.7%
50.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.66.4
26.0%
32.2%19.2
🏀 Free throws19.414.1
72.7%
68.8%14.1
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.819.6
44.7%
50.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.7
28.5%
32.2%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.210.8
66.7%
68.8%10.8
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Llaneros
LLLLLLLLWW
Toros de Aragua
LLLLLLLWLL
#16
League position
#18
-7.0
Net rating
-16.3
94.8
Offensive rating
93.0
101.8
Defensive rating
109.3
44.5%
Effective FG%
44.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
19.9%
Turnover %
18.9%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
26.0%
3-point %
28.5%
55.2%
Assist %
48.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence94.8 · 93.0Defence101.8 · 109.3Shooting44.5% · 44.0%3-point %26.0% · 28.5%Ball care19.9% · 18.9%Off. rebounds30.8% · 30.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Llaneros   ■ Toros de Aragua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Llaneros wins
1
Toros de Aragua wins
Llaneroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/05/24ABroncos83-104
24/05/24ABrillantes61-75
21/05/24HBroncos72-74
19/05/24HFrontinos67-71 OT
17/05/24HTrotamundos89-96
14/05/24AGladiadores81-91
11/05/24APioneros61-63
10/05/24ASpartans80-88
07/05/24AFrontinos89-72
02/05/24AToros de Aragua76-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/24AGladiadores70-86
25/05/24ABroncos90-96 OT
22/05/24HPioneros77-89
20/05/24ASpartans81-91
18/05/24HBrillantes75-87
15/05/24AFrontinos59-72
13/05/24ATrotamundos75-92
11/05/24HTrotamundos84-81 OT
09/05/24ABrillantes58-97
06/05/24APioneros74-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Llaneros
Superliga 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %20%0%29%
Points / game75.976.075.9
Allowed / game80.680.380.7
Point differential-4.7-4.3-4.9
Avg total156.5156.3156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%33%0%
Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %17%40%0%
Points / game75.579.872.4
Allowed / game85.983.887.4
Point differential-10.4-4.0-15.0
Avg total161.4163.6159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %17%20%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores1312192%88.577.7+10.8
2 Trotamundos1310377%84.578.8+5.7
3 Marinos118373%79.271.5+7.7
4 Cocodrilos118373%79.273.0+6.2
5 Piratas de La Guaira127558%72.567.2+5.2
6 Pioneros127558%78.479.7-1.2
7 Guaiqueries95456%71.471.2+0.2
8 Heroes de Falcon95456%66.065.8+0.2
9 Brillantes116555%82.276.5+5.7
10 Broncos105550%81.981.3+0.6
11 Gaiteros del Zulia126650%75.580.8-5.2
12 Spartans114736%84.483.9+0.5
13 Centauros114736%78.878.5+0.4
14 Frontinos103730%71.281.4-10.2
15 Panteras113827%72.576.7-4.2
16 Diablos123925%72.982.5-9.6
17 Llaneros102820%75.980.6-4.7
18 Toros de Aragua1221017%75.585.9-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Llaneros1728183295
Toros de Aragua1721213190
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