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Butler vs Villanova Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#200
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#96
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game65.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Butler v Villanova
15 Jan 2027
BUTL v VILL
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
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VILL85
01 Jan 2025
BUTL65
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27 Jan 2024
BUTL88
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13 Jan 2023
BUTL79
VILL71
05 Mar 2022
BUTL59
VILL78
28 Feb 2021
BUTL73
VILL61
05 Feb 2020
BUTL79
VILL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Butler win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Villanova win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ButlerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#225
W
93-89
93
89
+4
A18/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
59-76
59
76
-17
H04/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A07/03
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H11/03
NCAA
Lafayette
#202
W
96-60
96
60
+36
H03/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#269
W
99-65
99
65
+34
H05/11
NCAA
Boise State
#1
L
81-100
81
100
-19
A08/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
54-45
39-44
47-28
33-47
28-42
45-40
36-32
23-44
39-32
42-39
42-40
39-51
54-34
42-26
52-29
47-36
31-51
50-49
42-34
22-42
159.2Avg total
80.7Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.075.2160.2+9.850%
Season at home (3)86.367.0153.3+19.367%
Season away (1)81.0100.0181.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)80.778.5159.2+2.250%
Last 5 (5)84.278.4162.6+5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.484.8154.1-15.40%
vs Similar (17)79.177.6156.6+1.553%
vs Weaker (5)87.869.8157.6+18.080%
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#208
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H26/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
57-89
57
89
-32
A01/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
76-57
76
57
+19
A05/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H20/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#37
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H01/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#411
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H07/11
NCAA
La Salle
#294
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H11/11
NCAA
Rider
#342
W
99-62
99
62
+37
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-28
40-45
23-48
34-41
26-24
50-33
44-32
47-46
31-35
33-43
39-37
37-49
35-31
37-43
44-28
51-38
36-31
44-28
42-23
57-39
151.4Avg total
79.2Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.565.2151.8+21.275%
Season at home (4)86.565.2151.8+21.275%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.272.2151.4+7.060%
Last 5 (5)84.469.4153.8+15.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.880.8147.5-14.00%
vs Similar (6)70.071.8141.8-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)81.569.5151.0+12.090%
This opponent (Butler) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: +2.5+2.5
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.8+5.81st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: +2.5+2.5
ButlerVillanova
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ButlerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#225
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A18/02
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H21/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H04/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A07/03
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H11/03
NCAA
Lafayette
#202
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H03/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#269
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Boise State
#1
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A08/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#58
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H13/11
NCAA
79.2Avg total
42.5Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.135.572.6+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.933.572.5+5.463%-
Last 30 away (11)33.938.972.8-5.036%-
Last 10 (10)42.536.779.2+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.681.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.540.273.8-6.825%-
vs Similar (17)36.634.571.2+2.159%-
vs Weaker (5)44.431.275.6+13.280%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#208
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H26/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A01/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H07/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H20/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#37
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H01/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#411
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H07/11
NCAA
La Salle
#294
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Rider
#342
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H15/11
NCAA
67.9Avg total
36.2Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.132.068.2+4.173%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.329.967.2+7.479%-
Last 30 away (11)34.135.769.8-1.664%-
Last 10 (10)36.231.767.9+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.230.069.2+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.237.869.0-6.550%-
vs Similar (6)33.231.564.7+1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.031.169.0+6.980%-
This opponent (Butler) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Butler wins
8
Villanova wins
DateGameScore
26/02/26Villanova v Butler82-73
03/01/26Butler v Villanova67-85
01/03/25Villanova v Butler80-70
01/01/25Butler v Villanova65-73
20/02/24Villanova v Butler72-62
27/01/24Butler v Villanova88-81 OT
15/02/23Villanova v Butler62-50
14/01/23Butler v Villanova79-71
05/03/22Butler v Villanova59-78
16/01/22Villanova v Butler82-42
Butlerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HPittsburgh64-76
08/11/26ABoise State81-100
05/11/26HFairleigh Dickinson99-65
03/11/26HLafayette96-60
11/03/26HProvidence81-91
07/03/26ADePaul81-71
04/03/26HCreighton59-76
26/02/26AVillanova73-82
21/02/26HXavier80-75
18/02/26AGeorgetown93-89
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HRider99-62
11/11/26HLa Salle80-59
07/11/26HHoly Cross95-66
01/11/26HNotre Dame72-74
20/03/26HUtah State76-86
13/03/26HGeorgetown64-78
07/03/26HXavier91-78
05/03/26ADePaul76-57
01/03/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)57-89
26/02/26HButler82-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Butler
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game85.086.381.0
Allowed / game75.267.0100.0
Point differential+9.8+19.3-19.0
Avg total160.2153.3181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Villanova
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game86.586.5-
Allowed / game65.265.2-
Point differential+21.2+21.2-
Avg total151.8151.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xavier440100%88.555.8+32.8
2 St. John's (N.Y.)330100%90.762.3+28.3
3 Uconn440100%84.558.0+26.5
4 DePaul440100%77.058.0+19.0
5 Georgetown440100%83.572.0+11.5
6 Villanova43175%86.565.2+21.2
7 Providence43175%71.557.8+13.8
8 Seton Hall43175%69.261.5+7.8
9 Marquette32167%80.353.0+27.3
10 Creighton32167%80.368.3+12.0
11 Butler42250%85.075.2+9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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