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Cairns Taipans vs Perth Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Projected 95-96
Projected total 190.7
Scheduled
Position#4
Record8-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game95.9
Cairns Taipans
Australia
Vs
46%
54%
■ CAIR 46%■ PERT 54%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.8/10
Above normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Perth
Australia
Position#6
Record7-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game97.8
AustraliaNBLRound 10· Cairns Convention Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cairns Taipans v Perth
20 Dec 2026
CAIR v PERT
upcoming
20 Nov 2026
CAIR v PERT
upcoming
22 Oct 2025
CAIR78
PERT110
10 Oct 2025
CAIR77
PERT80
14 Dec 2024
CAIR92
PERT128
10 Oct 2024
CAIR87
PERT90
26 Dec 2023
CAIR102
PERT105
12 Feb 2023
CAIR91
PERT78
20 Dec 2022
CAIR83
PERT105
10 Oct 2022
CAIR76
PERT105
31 Dec 2021
CAIR78
PERT84
17 Feb 2017
CAIR69
PERT91
05 Feb 2017
CAIR85
PERT77
16 Jan 2017
CAIR80
PERT78
Sections
Game preview & prediction

The NBL clash on 20 November 2026 between the Cairns Taipans and Perth is a razor-thin contest, with no clear favourite as the teams sit 4th and 6th respectively. Cairns, 8-6 overall, averages 92.4 points and concedes 95.9, while Perth, 7-6 overall, scores 95.7 and allows 97.8. At home, Cairns is 4-2, 92.0 to 94.0, and has won three of its last five, including a 100-92 victory over Perth on 8 November. Perth's road record is 0-2, 92.5 to 105.5, and it has won two of its last five, with recent wins over Illawarra and Tasmania. In head-to-head, Perth leads 8-2, most recently defeating Cairns 100-92 on 8 November. Pythia projects a 54% chance for Perth and a 46% chance for Cairns, with a final score of 95-96 and a total of 190.7 points, and a 5% chance of overtime. The model favours Perth, reflecting its marginal edge in recent form and head-to-head history. The game will hinge on whether Cairns can keep its defence tighter than its opponents' average, a challenge highlighted by the close projected margin.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Taipans win
46.0%fair 2.18
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Perth win
54.0%fair 1.85
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#3
W
107-95
107
95
+12
99avg 79
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
97-91
97
91
+6
93avg 79
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
110-100
110
100
+10
109avg 79
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
83-115
83
115
-32
72avg 79
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 79
H25/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
107-85
107
85
+22
98avg 79
A29/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
97-113
97
113
-16
91avg 79
H31/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
95-107
95
107
-12
no box
H05/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
100-92
100
92
+8
no box
A08/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
H13/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
29-32
25-35
35-14
23-17
24-33
27-22
23-19
28-27
29-23
29-27
24-23
35-27
19-35
9-27
20-26
16-25
23-21
21-16
26-22
23-21
34-21
21-19
29-24
33-26
21-25
19-34
24-28
35-32
27-29
20-26
13-20
31-27
22-21
24-17
23-27
12-29
20-24
31-14
21-15
193.0Avg total
96.6Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)92.495.9188.3-3.657%
Season at home (6)92.094.0186.0-2.067%
Season away (8)92.697.4190.0-4.850%
Last 10 (10)96.696.4193.0+0.270%
Last 5 (5)96.695.8192.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)87.2100.3187.4-13.130%
vs Similar ◀ (10)92.292.7184.9-0.570%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
92-88
92
88
+4
88avg 82
H02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
100-84
100
84
+16
75avg 82
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
81-102
81
102
-21
73avg 82
A17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
103-102
103
102
+1
95avg 82
H23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
91-99
91
99
-8
81avg 82
H28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
98-105
98
105
-7
84avg 82
H31/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
104-109
104
109
-5
no box
A04/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
no box
H08/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
98-92
98
92
+6
no box
H12/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
111-100 OT
111
100
+11
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
22-22
22-21
22-21
21-22
20-16
29-28
30-18
21-31
22-21
20-24
18-26
25-26
21-22
31-31
26-23
17-33
25-26
28-21
21-19
19-24
25-27
25-27
29-27
22-37
21-26
25-18
36-28
27-31
21-22
17-24
27-23
19-21
24-27
26-16
29-28
26-30
24-18
19-18
23-26
195.1Avg total
97.0Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)95.797.8193.5-2.154%
Season at home (11)96.396.4192.6-0.164%
Season away (2)92.5105.5198.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)97.098.1195.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)100.6101.2201.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)90.998.7189.6-7.929%
vs Similar ◀ (14)93.092.3185.3+0.757%
vs Weaker (9)99.987.2187.1+12.789%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 183.5
Over 183.5
65.7%
Under 183.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 188.5
Over 188.5
54.1%
Under 188.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 193.5
Over 193.5
42.2%
Under 193.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Cairns Taipans total 91.5
Over 91.5
61.8%
Under 91.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cairns Taipans total 95.5
Over 95.5
46.6%
Under 95.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cairns Taipans total 99.5
Over 99.5
32.1%
Under 99.5
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Perth total 89.5
Over 89.5
72.9%
Under 89.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Perth total 93.5
Over 93.5
58.8%
Under 93.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Perth total 97.5
Over 97.5
43.5%
Under 97.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Cairns Taipans -3
CAIR -3
36.9%
PERT +3
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
CAIR
No market prices yet.
PERT
No market prices yet.
Spread Cairns Taipans 0
CAIR 0
46.0%
PERT 0
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
CAIR
No market prices yet.
PERT
No market prices yet.
Spread Cairns Taipans +3
CAIR +3
55.1%
PERT -3
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
CAIR
No market prices yet.
PERT
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.2+2.2
Cairns TaipansPerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H25/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A29/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H31/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H05/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A08/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H13/11
NBL
101.1Avg total
50.2Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.348.695.9-1.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.546.995.5+1.669%-
Last 30 away (17)46.349.996.2-3.641%-
Last 10 (10)50.250.9101.1-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)51.651.0102.6+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)46.249.395.5-3.150%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)49.447.296.6+2.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H31/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A04/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H08/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H12/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H14/11
NBL
95.4Avg total
44.8Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.247.994.0-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (20)46.045.891.8+0.250%-
Last 30 away (10)46.552.198.6-5.630%-
Last 10 (10)44.850.695.4-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)45.652.698.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.150.494.6-6.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.248.995.1-2.643%-
vs Weaker (9)47.744.392.0+3.367%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.2
57.8%
56.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.412.8
35.2%
34.2%38.4
🏀 Free throws13.210.3
78.0%
74.0%10.3
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.3
53.7%
56.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
34.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws16.614.0
84.3%
74.0%14.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cairns Taipans
WWLLWWLWWW
Perth
WWLLLLWLWW
#4
League position
#6
-3.9
Net rating
-8.1
96.3
Offensive rating
97.4
100.2
Defensive rating
105.5
55.3%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
13.8%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.2%
3-point %
34.9%
65.3%
Assist %
64.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 97.4Defence100.2 · 105.5Shooting55.3% · 53.1%3-point %35.2% · 34.9%Ball care13.8% · 13.7%Free throws0.18 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Cairns Taipans   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cairns Taipans wins
8
Perth wins
DateGameScore
08/11/26Perth v Cairns Taipans92-100
06/02/26Perth v Cairns Taipans98-84
22/01/26Perth v Cairns Taipans106-69
22/10/25Cairns Taipans v Perth78-110
10/10/25Cairns Taipans v Perth77-80
25/01/25Perth v Cairns Taipans116-125 OT
14/12/24Cairns Taipans v Perth92-128
10/10/24Cairns Taipans v Perth87-90
10/02/24Perth v Cairns Taipans117-88
26/12/23Cairns Taipans v Perth102-105
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSydney84-82
08/11/26APerth100-92
05/11/26HIllawarra Hawks95-107
31/10/26HMelbourne United97-113
29/10/26ABrisbane Bullets107-85
25/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers86-84
17/10/26ASouth East Melbourne83-115
11/10/26AIllawarra Hawks110-100
08/10/26HBrisbane Bullets97-91
03/10/26AMelbourne United107-95
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HIllawarra Hawks111-100 OT
12/11/26HTasmania JackJumpers98-92
08/11/26HCairns Taipans92-100
04/11/26ABrisbane Bullets104-109
31/10/26HIllawarra Hawks98-105
28/10/26HSydney91-99
23/10/26HMelbourne United103-102
17/10/26ASydney81-102
10/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers100-84
02/10/26HSouth East Melbourne92-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Taipans
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game92.492.092.6
Allowed / game95.994.097.4
Point differential-3.6-2.0-4.8
Avg total188.3186.0190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%0%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeLLLWW64%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %54%64%0%
Points / game95.796.392.5
Allowed / game97.896.4105.5
Point differential-2.1-0.1-13.0
Avg total193.5192.6198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %8%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney139469%98.689.7+8.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers139469%94.790.4+4.3
3 Melbourne United148657%98.391.9+6.4
4 Cairns Taipans148657%92.495.9-3.6
5 Adelaide137654%92.992.5+0.5
6 Perth137654%95.797.8-2.1
7 Brisbane Bullets146843%94.499.2-4.9
8 New Zealand Breakers145936%90.691.4-0.8
9 Illawarra Hawks1551033%97.5104.7-7.3
10 South East Melbourne134931%97.998.1-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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