Cairns Taipans host Sydney on 13 November 2026 in the NBL, with the model designating Sydney as the favourite at 85% to win over Cairns' 15% chance, a reflection of Sydney's 8-3 record, 99.0 points per game and 89.1 allowed per game compared with Cairns' 7-6 record, 93.0 points per game and 97.0 allowed per game. Sydney's season has seen a 3-1 road record, 93.2 points per game and 86.5 allowed per game, while Cairns' home record stands at 3-2, 93.6 points per game and 96.4 allowed per game; the last five games for each side show Sydney winning four of five and Cairns winning three of five, with recent results including a 100-92 win over Perth and a 95-107 loss to Illawarra Hawks for Cairns, and a 110-99 win over South East Melbourne and a 71-68 win over Tasmania JackJumpers for Sydney. Historically, the teams have met ten times, with Sydney winning eight and the most recent encounter ending 111-90 in Sydney's favour. Pythia projects a 88-100 score and 188 total points, with a 6.5 point line for Cairns and a 31% chance of covering, while the 194.0 total line carries a 35% over probability and a 3% chance of overtime. The next game will see Sydney extend its dominance over Cairns.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (13) | 93.0 | 97.0 | 190.0 | -4.0 | 54% |
| Season at home (5) | 93.6 | 96.4 | 190.0 | -2.8 | 60% |
| Season away (8) | 92.6 | 97.4 | 190.0 | -4.8 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 95.7 | 98.0 | 193.7 | -2.3 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 97.0 | 96.2 | 193.2 | +0.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (20) | 86.3 | 100.2 | 186.6 | -13.9 | 25% |
| vs Similar (10) | 92.2 | 92.7 | 184.9 | -0.5 | 70% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (11) | 99.0 | 89.1 | 188.1 | +9.9 | 73% |
| Season at home (7) | 102.3 | 90.6 | 192.9 | +11.7 | 71% |
| Season away (4) | 93.2 | 86.5 | 179.8 | +6.8 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 97.8 | 89.0 | 186.8 | +8.8 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 96.6 | 89.0 | 185.6 | +7.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (1) | 95.0 | 105.0 | 200.0 | -10.0 | 0% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (29) | 103.6 | 89.4 | 193.0 | +14.1 | 83% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 97 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 47.5 | 48.1 | 95.6 | -0.6 | 57% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 49.1 | 45.7 | 94.8 | +3.4 | 77% | 38% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 46.3 | 49.9 | 96.2 | -3.6 | 41% | 47% |
| Last 10 (10) | 50.5 | 49.8 | 100.3 | +0.7 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 53.0 | 49.6 | 102.6 | +3.4 | 80% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (20) | 46.5 | 48.5 | 95.0 | -2.0 | 55% | 40% |
| vs Similar (10) | 49.4 | 47.2 | 96.6 | +2.2 | 60% | 50% |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 97 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 53.3 | 45.8 | 99.1 | +7.5 | 80% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 55.0 | 46.6 | 101.6 | +8.4 | 89% | 67% |
| Last 30 away (12) | 50.8 | 44.6 | 95.3 | +6.2 | 67% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 51.4 | 44.0 | 95.4 | +7.4 | 80% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 49.8 | 43.2 | 93.0 | +6.6 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (1) | 51.0 | 56.0 | 107.0 | -5.0 | 0% | 100% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (29) | 53.4 | 45.4 | 98.8 | +7.9 | 83% | 66% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cairns Taipans under 97.5 | 80.7% | 1.46 | 1.47 | 1.44 | - | - | - | +17.1pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans under 96.5 | 78.0% | 1.49 | 1.54 | 1.50 | 1.44 | - | - | +17.0pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans under 98.5 | 83.1% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +16.9pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans under 100.5 | 87.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +15.4pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans under 99.5 | 85.3% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +15.4pp | Won |
| Sydney +1 | 86.3% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +15.2pp | Lost |
| Cairns Taipans under 95.5 | 75.1% | 1.55 | 1.60 | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | +14.8pp | Won |
| Sydney -5 | 74.3% | 1.53 | 1.57 | 1.52 | 1.50 | - | - | +14.7pp | Lost |
| Sydney -1.5 | 83.4% | 1.32 | 1.36 | 1.33 | 1.32 | 1.28 | - | +14.4pp | Lost |
| Cairns Taipans under 94.5 | 72.0% | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 | - | - | - | +14.4pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans under 101.5 | 89.1% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +14.3pp | Won |
| Sydney -2.5 | 80.5% | 1.37 | 1.43 | 1.38 | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | +14.1pp | Lost |
| Sydney -4.5 | 75.1% | 1.49 | 1.53 | 1.50 | 1.48 | 1.48 | 1.48 | +14.1pp | Lost |
| Sydney +1.5 | 86.5% | 1.25 | 1.28 | 1.26 | 1.20 | - | - | +14.0pp | Lost |
| Sydney -6 | 71.1% | 1.63 | 1.66 | 1.63 | 1.63 | 1.60 | - | +14.0pp | Lost |
| Sydney -5.5 | 72.0% | 1.58 | 1.62 | 1.60 | 1.58 | 1.58 | 1.57 | +13.4pp | Lost |
| Sydney -3.5 | 78.1% | 1.43 | 1.50 | 1.44 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 | +13.4pp | Lost |
| Sydney win | 85.1% | 1.28 | 1.33 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.28 | +13.3pp | Lost |
| Cairns Taipans under 103.5 | 92.0% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +13.2pp | Won |
| Under 199 | 73.3% | 1.50 | 1.55 | 1.44 | - | - | - | +13.0pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans under 102.5 | 90.6% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +12.9pp | Won |
| Under 198 | 71.2% | 1.54 | 1.60 | 1.49 | - | - | - | +12.8pp | Won |
| Under 200 | 75.2% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans under 104.5 | 93.2% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| Under 201 | 77.1% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +12.5pp | Won |
| Under 200.5 | 75.7% | 1.44 | 1.48 | 1.44 | 1.39 | - | - | +12.2pp | Won |
| Under 203.5 | 80.9% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +12.1pp | Won |
| Sydney +3.5 | 89.9% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +12.1pp | Won |
| Sydney -4 | 77.4% | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | +12.1pp | Lost |
| Sydney (regulation) | 83.2% | 1.29 | 1.31 | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | +11.9pp | Lost |
| Under 198.5 | 71.8% | 1.52 | 1.57 | 1.54 | 1.48 | 1.47 | - | +11.7pp | Won |
| Under 201.5 | 77.5% | 1.40 | 1.43 | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | +11.6pp | Won |
| Under 199.5 | 73.8% | 1.46 | 1.52 | 1.47 | 1.44 | 1.43 | - | +11.6pp | Won |
| Sydney -3 | 80.0% | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +11.2pp | Lost |
| Cairns Taipans under 105.5 | 94.3% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +11.2pp | Won |
| Sydney -2 | 82.9% | 1.31 | 1.33 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +10.8pp | Lost |
| Cairns Taipans under 106.5 | 95.2% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +10.8pp | Won |
| Sydney +2.5 | 88.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +10.8pp | Won |
| Under 208.5 | 87.9% | 1.21 | 1.21 | - | - | - | - | +10.4pp | Won |
| Sydney -1 | 84.8% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +9.8pp | Lost |
| Cairns Taipans under 108.5 | 96.6% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +9.4pp | Won |
| Sydney +8.5 | 95.4% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans under 107.5 | 95.9% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +9.3pp | Won |
| Under 213.5 | 92.7% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans under 110.5 | 97.6% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +8.6pp | Won |
| Sydney under 111.5 | 86.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans under 109.5 | 97.1% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| Under 218.5 | 95.8% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Sydney +7.5 | 94.6% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Sydney under 113.5 | 90.2% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Won |
| Sydney under 110.5 | 84.0% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Won |
| Sydney +13.5 | 98.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans under 112.5 | 98.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans under 113.5 | 98.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans under 114.5 | 98.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Sydney under 120.5 | 97.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Sydney under 119.5 | 97.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Sydney under 121.5 | 98.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Sydney under 108.5 | 78.7% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Sydney +12.5 | 97.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Sydney under 117.5 | 95.4% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Sydney under 115.5 | 93.2% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Sydney +6.5 | 93.7% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Sydney over 89.5 | 86.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Lost |
| Sydney +11.5 | 97.2% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Sydney under 109.5 | 81.5% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Sydney over 83.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Lost |
| Sydney over 82.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Lost |
| Sydney over 85.5 | 93.3% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Lost |
| Sydney over 79.5 | 98.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Sydney over 81.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Sydney over 87.5 | 90.3% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Lost |
| Sydney over 80.5 | 97.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Sydney under 106.5 | 72.5% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +6.4pp | Won |
| Sydney over 88.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Lost |
| Sydney over 84.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Lost |
| Sydney over 86.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Lost |
| Sydney under 107.5 | 75.7% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Sydney under 125.5 | 99.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Won |
| Sydney over 91.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Lost |
| Sydney +18.5 | 99.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Sydney over 90.5 | 84.2% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 97.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Sydney +17.5 | 99.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Sydney +16.5 | 98.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Sydney over 93.5 | 76.0% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Lost |
| Sydney over 92.5 | 79.0% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Lost |
| Sydney over 94.5 | 72.8% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Lost |
| Cairns Taipans over 72.5 | 94.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans over 73.5 | 93.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans +32.5 | 95.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans +31.5 | 95.2% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.5pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans over 74.5 | 91.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans +27.5 | 91.2% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Over 168.5 | 89.7% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Lost |
| Cairns Taipans +26.5 | 89.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -0.4pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans over 76.5 | 88.3% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -0.7pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans +23.5 | 84.7% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -2.4pp | Won |
| Over 173.5 | 83.0% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -2.5pp | Lost |
| Cairns Taipans over 78.5 | 84.0% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -3.2pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans +22.5 | 82.7% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -4.0pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans over 80.5 | 78.6% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -5.2pp | Won |
| Over 178.5 | 74.0% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -5.2pp | Lost |
| Cairns Taipans over 81.5 | 75.6% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -5.8pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans +21.5 | 80.4% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -6.2pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans +18.5 | 72.4% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -6.4pp | Won |
| Cairns Taipans over 82.5 | 72.4% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -6.5pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.7 | 21.2 | 56.4% | 42.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 36.4 | 12.8 | 34.2% | 38.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 13.2 | 10.3 | 74.0% | 10.3 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 44.1 | 25.5 | 56.4% | 51.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.8 | 10.2 | 34.2% | 30.6 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.5 | 15.7 | 74.0% | 15.7 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20/09/26 | Sydney v Cairns Taipans | 111-90 |
| 01/02/26 | Cairns Taipans v Sydney | 92-106 |
| 21/12/25 | Sydney v Cairns Taipans | 119-77 |
| 28/09/25 | Sydney v Cairns Taipans | 74-77 |
| 12/01/25 | Sydney v Cairns Taipans | 91-87 |
| 29/11/24 | Cairns Taipans v Sydney | 75-81 |
| 13/10/24 | Sydney v Cairns Taipans | 99-73 |
| 29/12/23 | Sydney v Cairns Taipans | 101-82 |
| 07/12/23 | Cairns Taipans v Sydney | 83-86 |
| 28/10/23 | Cairns Taipans v Sydney | 87-80 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | Perth | 100-92 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Illawarra Hawks | 95-107 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Melbourne United | 97-113 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Brisbane Bullets | 107-85 |
| 25/10/26 | H | New Zealand Breakers | 86-84 |
| 17/10/26 | A | South East Melbourne | 83-115 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Illawarra Hawks | 110-100 |
| 08/10/26 | H | Brisbane Bullets | 97-91 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Melbourne United | 107-95 |
| 30/09/26 | A | New Zealand Breakers | 75-98 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | South East Melbourne | 110-99 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Tasmania JackJumpers | 71-68 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Perth | 99-91 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Melbourne United | 95-105 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Illawarra Hawks | 108-82 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Perth | 102-81 |
| 14/10/26 | H | New Zealand Breakers | 101-102 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Adelaide | 78-84 |
| 30/09/26 | H | Brisbane Bullets | 93-78 |
| 27/09/26 | H | Illawarra Hawks | 121-100 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLLW | 54% |
| Home | WWWLL | 60% |
| Away | WWLWW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 5 | 8 |
| Win % | 54% | 60% | 50% |
| Points / game | 93.0 | 93.6 | 92.6 |
| Allowed / game | 97.0 | 96.4 | 97.4 |
| Point differential | -4.0 | -2.8 | -4.8 |
| Avg total | 190.0 | 190.0 | 190.0 |
| Over 192.5 | 46% | 40% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 23% | 0% | 38% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 73% |
| Home | WLLWW | 71% |
| Away | WLWW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 11 | 7 | 4 |
| Win % | 73% | 71% | 75% |
| Points / game | 99.0 | 102.3 | 93.2 |
| Allowed / game | 89.1 | 90.6 | 86.5 |
| Point differential | +9.9 | +11.7 | +6.8 |
| Avg total | 188.1 | 192.9 | 179.8 |
| Over 192.5 | 45% | 57% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 55% | 71% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 0% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 99.0 | 89.1 | +9.9 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 67% | 93.9 | 90.2 | +3.7 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 98.0 | 91.7 | +6.3 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 92.9 | 92.5 | +0.5 | |
| 5 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 93.0 | 97.0 | -4.0 | |
| 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50% | 94.4 | 97.6 | -3.2 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 46% | 94.5 | 98.8 | -4.3 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 38% | 89.8 | 89.9 | -0.2 | |
| 9 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 36% | 97.3 | 104.3 | -7.0 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 98.2 | 97.8 | +0.4 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 20 | 31 | 21 | 84 | |
| 29 | 24 | 14 | 15 | 82 |
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