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Perth vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 116-125 (OT)
18-22 29-34 35-17 18-27 16-25
Position#3
Record15-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game98.8
Allowed / game95.4
Perth
Australia
vs
Cairns Taipans 🏆
Australia
Position#10
Record6-19
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game95.0
AustraliaNBLRound 18· RAC Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Perth v Cairns Taipans
05 Feb 2027
PERT v CAIR
upcoming
08 Nov 2026
PERT v CAIR
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
PERT98
CAIR84
22 Jan 2026
PERT106
CAIR69
25 Jan 2025
PERT116
CAIR125
10 Feb 2024
PERT117
CAIR88
16 Nov 2023
PERT88
CAIR80
03 Feb 2023
PERT71
CAIR84
16 Apr 2022
PERT106
CAIR87
05 Dec 2021
PERT90
CAIR67
20 Feb 2017
PERT74
CAIR66
20 Jan 2017
PERT84
CAIR78
08 Oct 2016
PERT84
CAIR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
111-121
111
121
-10
100avg 88
H06/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
115-105
115
105
+10
110avg 88
A08/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
128-92
128
92
+36
122avg 88
A14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
88-120
88
120
-32
75avg 88
A22/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
116-92
116
92
+24
116avg 88
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
96-86
96
86
+10
83avg 88
A05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
105-73
105
73
+32
106avg 88
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
112-85
112
85
+27
98avg 88
A15/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
110-103
110
103
+7
101avg 88
H17/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
75avg 88
H22/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-29
23-26
38-33
20-33
29-32
25-28
25-22
36-23
22-28
32-29
39-18
35-17
28-37
20-26
15-26
25-31
26-26
29-16
23-21
38-29
30-24
25-20
19-28
22-14
29-22
35-20
28-18
13-13
27-27
38-15
20-24
27-19
22-24
30-17
24-32
34-30
23-21
20-25
25-25
25-28
205.0Avg total
107.4Scored
97.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)98.895.4194.3+3.460%
Season at home (12)100.096.8196.8+3.267%
Season away (13)97.894.2191.9+3.654%
Last 10 (10)107.497.6205.0+9.870%
Last 5 (5)103.289.2192.4+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)104.0115.3219.3-11.333%
vs Similar (13)87.894.8182.7-7.031%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)103.491.7195.1+11.779%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
92-128
92
128
-36
74avg 75
H14/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
104-107
104
107
-3
97avg 75
A20/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
66-76
66
76
-10
51avg 75
H26/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
68-92
68
92
-24
54avg 75
H31/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
108-105
108
105
+3
89avg 75
A03/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
87-91
87
91
-4
77avg 75
A12/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
102-113
102
113
-11
89avg 75
H14/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
111-80
111
80
+31
107avg 75
A17/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
75-99
75
99
-24
62avg 75
H19/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
100-94
100
94
+6
91avg 75
H23/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
29-32
18-39
17-35
30-29
24-27
26-25
24-26
13-25
16-21
22-13
15-17
15-21
22-26
17-25
14-20
19-24
26-32
40-21
23-28
19-17
19-22
24-25
25-27
28-33
31-25
19-24
24-31
31-24
31-21
20-20
29-15
12-38
25-22
21-22
17-17
31-17
23-20
17-27
29-30
189.8Avg total
91.3Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.495.0181.5-8.624%
Season at home (14)83.193.3176.4-10.221%
Season away (11)90.797.3188.0-6.527%
Last 10 (10)91.398.5189.8-7.230%
Last 5 (5)95.095.4190.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)86.397.6183.9-11.324%
vs Similar (9)86.190.6176.7-4.422%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -2.9-2.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -2.9-2.9
PerthCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H06/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A08/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A22/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
64-42
64
42
+22
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
65-42
65
42
+23
A15/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H17/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H22/01
NBL
103.5Avg total
54.3Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.448.198.4+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.848.499.2+2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)50.047.897.8+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)54.349.2103.5+5.150%-
Last 5 (5)55.843.098.8+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.357.0111.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (13)46.849.295.9-2.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)52.945.198.0+7.764%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H14/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A20/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H26/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H31/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A03/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H14/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
62-45
62
45
+17
A17/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
37-60
37
60
-23
H19/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H23/01
NBL
97.0Avg total
47.2Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.749.596.2-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.747.693.4-1.947%-
Last 30 away (13)48.051.899.8-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)47.249.897.0-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)50.047.897.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)46.549.596.0-3.038%-
vs Similar (9)47.149.396.4-2.244%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.324.0
55.4%
52.3%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.913.1
41.1%
35.1%39.3
🏀 Free throws24.118.7
77.6%
74.7%18.7
They take 75.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.9
50.0%
52.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.711.8
36.1%
35.1%35.4
🏀 Free throws23.717.3
73.0%
74.7%17.3
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
LWWWWWLWWL
Cairns Taipans
WLWLLWLLLL
#3
League position
#10
+10.6
Net rating
-8.3
128.0
Offensive rating
110.6
117.4
Defensive rating
118.9
58.0%
Effective FG%
51.9%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
11.8%
Turnover %
13.7%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
41.1%
3-point %
36.1%
54.4%
Assist %
54.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence128.0 · 110.6Defence117.4 · 118.9Shooting58.0% · 51.9%3-point %41.1% · 36.1%Ball care11.8% · 13.7%Off. rebounds32.4% · 24.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Perth   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Perth wins
2
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
14/12/24Cairns Taipans v Perth92-128
10/10/24Cairns Taipans v Perth87-90
10/02/24Perth v Cairns Taipans117-88
26/12/23Cairns Taipans v Perth102-105
16/11/23Perth v Cairns Taipans88-80
12/02/23Cairns Taipans v Perth91-78
03/02/23Perth v Cairns Taipans71-84
20/12/22Cairns Taipans v Perth83-105
10/10/22Cairns Taipans v Perth76-105
16/04/22Perth v Cairns Taipans106-87
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/25HMelbourne United93-99
17/01/25HAdelaide110-103
15/01/25ABrisbane Bullets112-85
12/01/25ATasmania JackJumpers105-73
05/01/25ANew Zealand Breakers96-86
28/12/24AAdelaide116-92
22/12/24AIllawarra Hawks88-120
14/12/24ACairns Taipans128-92
08/12/24AAdelaide115-105
06/12/24HIllawarra Hawks111-121
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25HIllawarra Hawks100-94
19/01/25HAdelaide75-99
17/01/25ABrisbane Bullets111-80
14/01/25HSouth East Melbourne102-113
12/01/25ASydney87-91
03/01/25AIllawarra Hawks108-105
31/12/24HNew Zealand Breakers68-92
26/12/24HMelbourne United66-76
20/12/24ABrisbane Bullets104-107
14/12/24HPerth92-128

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLWWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %60%67%54%
Points / game98.8100.097.8
Allowed / game95.496.894.2
Point differential+3.4+3.2+3.6
Avg total194.3196.8191.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%25%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW24%
HomeLLLLW21%
AwayLLWLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %24%21%27%
Points / game86.483.190.7
Allowed / game95.093.397.3
Point differential-8.6-10.2-6.5
Avg total181.5176.4188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%7%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks2617965%101.892.7+9.2
2 Melbourne United26161062%94.691.5+3.1
3 Perth25151060%98.895.4+3.4
4 Sydney27161159%91.087.3+3.7
5 South East Melbourne26151158%95.890.5+5.2
6 Adelaide25121348%94.096.4-2.4
7 Tasmania JackJumpers26121446%83.787.5-3.8
8 Brisbane Bullets26111542%92.797.5-4.8
9 New Zealand Breakers2691735%85.691.1-5.5
10 Cairns Taipans2561924%86.495.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Perth1829351816116
Cairns Taipans2234172725125
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