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Perth vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 106-69
30-25 24-18 38-13 14-13
Position#5
Record15-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game86.8
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Cairns Taipans
Australia
Position#9
Record7-18
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game95.9
AustraliaNBLRound 18· RAC Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Perth v Cairns Taipans
05 Feb 2027
PERT v CAIR
upcoming
08 Nov 2026
PERT v CAIR
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
PERT98
CAIR84
22 Jan 2026
PERT106
CAIR69
25 Jan 2025
PERT116
CAIR125
10 Feb 2024
PERT117
CAIR88
16 Nov 2023
PERT88
CAIR80
03 Feb 2023
PERT71
CAIR84
16 Apr 2022
PERT106
CAIR87
05 Dec 2021
PERT90
CAIR67
20 Feb 2017
PERT74
CAIR66
20 Jan 2017
PERT84
CAIR78
08 Oct 2016
PERT84
CAIR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
94-95
94
95
-1
86avg 86
H07/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
79-108
79
108
-29
59avg 86
H12/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
86-62
86
62
+24
74avg 86
A14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
66avg 86
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
94-85
94
85
+9
82avg 86
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
84-95
84
95
-11
71avg 86
A28/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
95-75
95
75
+20
85avg 86
A01/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 86
A04/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
107-97
107
97
+10
104avg 86
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
H16/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
25-18
28-20
16-35
25-26
17-18
21-32
16-32
22-13
27-21
16-15
21-13
22-17
18-9
20-31
16-20
19-18
25-24
27-22
23-21
29-20
20-26
9-29
26-20
25-16
15-28
31-11
24-20
28-23
20-22
32-29
19-17
32-26
26-24
21-25
28-22
18-13
26-24
21-21
27-29
177.8Avg total
90.6Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)89.986.8176.7+3.160%
Season at home (11)87.988.6176.5-0.745%
Season away (14)91.585.4176.9+6.171%
Last 10 (10)90.687.2177.8+3.460%
Last 5 (5)95.489.0184.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.5101.0176.5-25.50%
vs Similar (12)95.894.9190.8+0.942%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.684.1176.7+8.681%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
93-76
93
76
+17
84avg 79
A06/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
68-81
68
81
-13
62avg 79
H13/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
99-95
99
95
+4
102avg 79
H19/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
77-119
77
119
-42
69avg 79
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
73-93
73
93
-20
63avg 79
A24/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
96-111
96
111
-15
94avg 79
H31/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
78-96
78
96
-18
70avg 79
A03/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
93-92
93
92
+1
96avg 79
A07/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
84avg 79
H12/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
86-104
86
104
-18
no box
H17/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
29-14
24-24
20-18
21-13
18-24
15-23
14-21
19-23
29-20
21-29
30-23
23-28
18-29
19-34
17-28
21-23
21-27
19-23
12-20
28-21
24-27
26-35
18-28
18-22
31-23
15-27
14-24
29-22
14-23
33-30
17-17
28-16
19-19
21-27
20-21
21-26
30-29
17-25
18-24
180.1Avg total
85.1Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)82.995.9178.8-13.028%
Season at home (14)84.596.5181.0-12.021%
Season away (11)80.895.1175.9-14.336%
Last 10 (10)85.195.0180.1-9.940%
Last 5 (5)88.297.2185.4-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)85.097.0182.1-12.029%
vs Similar (6)88.592.5181.0-4.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -4.4-4.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -4.4-4.4
PerthCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H07/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H12/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A28/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A01/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A04/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H16/01
NBL
87.2Avg total
46.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.045.392.2+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.145.091.1+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)47.845.593.2+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)46.440.887.2+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)47.844.492.2+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.547.090.5-3.50%-
vs Similar (12)50.447.998.3+2.558%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.843.187.9+1.862%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A06/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H13/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H19/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A24/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H31/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A03/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H12/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H17/01
NBL
91.0Avg total
46.1Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.847.791.5-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.247.491.6-3.144%-
Last 30 away (14)43.448.091.4-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)46.144.991.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.445.694.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)43.247.891.0-4.538%-
vs Similar (6)46.247.393.5-1.233%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.322.7
51.2%
54.6%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.7
35.3%
33.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.015.8
71.8%
74.8%15.8
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.4
55.7%
54.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.1
36.5%
33.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.116.4
74.2%
74.8%16.4
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WWWWLWLWLL
Cairns Taipans
LWWLLLLWLW
#5
League position
#9
+5.0
Net rating
-10.8
112.4
Offensive rating
108.2
107.4
Defensive rating
119.0
51.9%
Effective FG%
55.3%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
13.8%
Turnover %
17.8%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.3%
3-point %
36.5%
54.3%
Assist %
66.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 108.2Defence107.4 · 119.0Shooting51.9% · 55.3%3-point %35.3% · 36.5%Ball care13.8% · 17.8%Off. rebounds33.2% · 23.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Perth   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Perth wins
3
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
22/10/25Cairns Taipans v Perth78-110
10/10/25Cairns Taipans v Perth77-80
25/01/25Perth v Cairns Taipans116-125 OT
14/12/24Cairns Taipans v Perth92-128
10/10/24Cairns Taipans v Perth87-90
10/02/24Perth v Cairns Taipans117-88
26/12/23Cairns Taipans v Perth102-105
16/11/23Perth v Cairns Taipans88-80
12/02/23Cairns Taipans v Perth91-78
03/02/23Perth v Cairns Taipans71-84
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26HIllawarra Hawks92-87
10/01/26ASouth East Melbourne107-97
04/01/26ANew Zealand Breakers99-91
01/01/26ABrisbane Bullets95-75
28/12/25AAdelaide84-95
21/12/25ATasmania JackJumpers94-85
18/12/25HSouth East Melbourne76-77
14/12/25ABrisbane Bullets86-62
12/12/25HSydney79-108
07/12/25HAdelaide94-95
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HNew Zealand Breakers86-104
12/01/26HBrisbane Bullets88-83
07/01/26AMelbourne United93-92
03/01/26AIllawarra Hawks78-96
31/12/25HSouth East Melbourne96-111
24/12/25AAdelaide73-93
21/12/25ASydney77-119
19/12/25HNew Zealand Breakers99-95
13/12/25HTasmania JackJumpers68-81
06/12/25AIllawarra Hawks93-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeWLLLW45%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %60%45%71%
Points / game89.987.991.5
Allowed / game86.888.685.4
Point differential+3.1-0.7+6.1
Avg total176.7176.5176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%18%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)20% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL28%
HomeLWLWL21%
AwayWLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %28%21%36%
Points / game82.984.580.8
Allowed / game95.996.595.1
Point differential-13.0-12.0-14.3
Avg total178.8181.0175.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide2519676%91.786.1+5.6
2 South East Melbourne2618869%100.192.2+8.0
3 Sydney2617965%95.786.1+9.6
4 Melbourne United27171063%93.487.9+5.5
5 Perth25151060%89.986.8+3.1
6 Tasmania JackJumpers27121544%85.685.4+0.2
7 New Zealand Breakers26101638%89.791.3-1.6
8 Illawarra Hawks2481633%90.296.9-6.7
9 Cairns Taipans2571828%82.995.9-13.0
10 Brisbane Bullets2762122%84.095.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth30243814106
Cairns Taipans2518131369
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