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Canberra Capitals W vs Southside W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 75-82
26-20 18-24 16-20 15-18
Position#5
Record8-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game78.1
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
vs
Southside W 🏆
Australia
Position#4
Record9-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game79.6
AustraliaNBL WRound 16· AIS Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Canberra Capitals W v Southside W
03 Feb 2026
CANB75
SOUT82
12 Dec 2025
CANB97
SOUT71
25 Jan 2025
CANB94
SOUT79
04 Dec 2024
CANB78
SOUT89
08 Nov 2023
CANB79
SOUT104
21 Jan 2023
CANB81
SOUT97
18 Dec 2022
CANB72
SOUT92
17 Feb 2022
CANB20
SOUT0
05 Feb 2022
CANB94
SOUT69
13 Dec 2020
CANB82
SOUT101
04 Mar 2020
CANB71
SOUT68
15 Dec 2019
CANB65
SOUT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southside W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
77-73
77
73
+4
76avg 63
H20/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
49-75
49
75
-26
32avg 63
A23/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
61-91
61
91
-30
43avg 63
H27/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
77-74
77
74
+3
69avg 63
H04/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
72-84
72
84
-12
70avg 63
A10/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
69-78
69
78
-9
no box
A18/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
67-61
67
61
+6
60avg 63
A20/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
66avg 63
A23/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
73-77
73
77
-4
59avg 63
H25/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
62-78
62
78
-16
53avg 63
A31/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
15-19
17-15
24-20
14-21
15-13
12-23
8-18
9-26
16-24
21-17
15-24
22-14
16-24
22-18
17-18
14-22
20-31
21-16
17-15
19-22
17-17
28-24
5-15
15-11
21-13
16-17
15-20
23-22
21-24
13-20
15-23
15-11
18-28
19-18
21-20
22-26
11-17
15-20
14-15
145.9Avg total
67.9Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.578.1149.6-6.638%
Season at home (9)77.178.8155.9-1.756%
Season away (12)67.377.6144.9-10.225%
Last 10 (10)67.978.0145.9-10.130%
Last 5 (5)68.676.6145.2-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.683.0154.6-11.429%
vs Similar (14)77.676.2153.8+1.457%
vs Weaker (2)90.073.0163.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Southside W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southside WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#3
L
60-70
60
70
-10
50avg 77
H21/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
84avg 77
H28/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
113-94
113
94
+19
118avg 77
A30/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
94-52
94
52
+42
100avg 77
H03/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
84-90
84
90
-6
81avg 77
H11/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
82-58
82
58
+24
no box
H17/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
88-98
88
98
-10
83avg 77
A21/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
75-78
75
78
-3
73avg 77
A24/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
79-111
79
111
-32
72avg 77
H27/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
80avg 77
H31/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
15-18
20-19
12-15
18-15
23-23
17-15
27-19
26-19
34-24
26-25
27-26
32-6
23-12
23-16
16-18
23-26
15-24
20-18
26-22
22-20
22-21
19-9
19-8
18-20
27-26
20-25
23-27
16-25
20-18
16-12
23-23
19-22
13-34
16-33
31-22
17-20
25-18
13-24
27-15
164.2Avg total
84.2Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.779.6159.3+0.143%
Season at home (12)81.075.2156.2+5.858%
Season away (9)78.085.6163.6-7.622%
Last 10 (10)84.280.0164.2+4.250%
Last 5 (5)81.284.4165.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.886.8163.6-10.18%
vs Similar (6)76.880.3157.2-3.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.873.5155.3+8.367%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +3.6+3.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +3.6+3.6
Canberra Capitals WSouthside W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H20/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A23/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H27/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A10/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A20/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A23/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H25/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A31/01
NBL W
74.8Avg total
34.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.879.4-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.240.180.3+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.141.578.5-4.427%-
Last 10 (10)34.440.474.8-6.010%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.274.6-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.443.380.7-5.921%-
vs Similar (14)38.938.677.5+0.250%-
vs Weaker (2)45.538.083.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Southside W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southside WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H21/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H28/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A30/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
55-18
55
18
+37
H03/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H11/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H17/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A21/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A24/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
32-56
32
56
-24
H27/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H31/01
NBL W
83.0Avg total
42.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.081.1-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.039.679.6+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)40.242.682.9-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.983.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.884.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.544.882.2-7.225%-
vs Similar (6)38.040.378.3-2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.837.781.4+6.167%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.321.5
43.6%
47.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.36.0
36.8%
32.8%18.0
🏀 Free throws15.09.6
64.0%
73.3%9.6
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Southside Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Southside W: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.524.0
59.3%
47.8%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.6
34.1%
32.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.110.1
66.9%
73.3%10.1
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Canberra Capitals W
LLLWLLWLLW
Southside W
WLLLWLWWWL
#5
League position
#4
-7.8
Net rating
+5.7
87.9
Offensive rating
102.1
95.8
Defensive rating
96.4
46.5%
Effective FG%
56.2%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.7%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.8%
3-point %
34.1%
64.0%
Assist %
72.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence87.9 · 102.1Defence95.8 · 96.4Shooting46.5% · 56.2%3-point %36.8% · 34.1%Ball care17.3% · 18.7%Off. rebounds30.0% · 29.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Canberra Capitals W   ■ Southside W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Canberra Capitals W wins
6
Southside W wins
DateGameScore
12/12/25Canberra Capitals W v Southside W97-71
18/10/25Southside W v Canberra Capitals W71-80
25/01/25Canberra Capitals W v Southside W94-79
04/12/24Canberra Capitals W v Southside W78-89
17/11/24Southside W v Canberra Capitals W98-77
06/01/24Southside W v Canberra Capitals W65-75
02/12/23Southside W v Canberra Capitals W81-64
08/11/23Canberra Capitals W v Southside W79-104
21/01/23Canberra Capitals W v Southside W81-97
28/12/22Southside W v Canberra Capitals W76-54
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26ATownsville W62-78
25/01/26HBendigo W73-77
23/01/26ABendigo W72-89
20/01/26AAdelaide Lightning W67-61
18/01/26ATownsville W69-78
10/01/26ASydney W72-84
04/01/26HPerth Lynx W77-74
27/12/25HSydney W61-91
23/12/25APerth Lynx W49-75
20/12/25HGeelong Venom W77-73
Southside Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HAdelaide Lightning W82-77
27/01/26HPerth Lynx W79-111
24/01/26ATownsville W75-78
21/01/26ABendigo W88-98
17/01/26HAdelaide Lightning W82-58
11/01/26HTownsville W84-90
03/01/26HGeelong Venom W94-52
30/12/25ASydney W113-94
28/12/25HAdelaide Lightning W85-72
21/12/25HBendigo W60-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %38%56%25%
Points / game71.577.167.3
Allowed / game78.178.877.6
Point differential-6.6-1.7-10.2
Avg total149.6155.9144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southside W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeWLWLW58%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %43%58%22%
Points / game79.781.078.0
Allowed / game79.675.285.6
Point differential+0.1+5.8-7.6
Avg total159.3156.2163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%42%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W2218482%85.072.0+13.0
2 Perth Lynx W2217577%83.674.0+9.6
3 Bendigo W2216673%77.171.5+5.5
4 Southside W2191243%79.779.6+0.1
5 Canberra Capitals W2181338%71.578.1-6.6
6 Geelong Venom W2271532%76.981.2-4.3
7 Adelaide Lightning W2261627%74.282.3-8.1
8 Sydney W2261627%75.485.0-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra Capitals W2618161575
Southside W2024201882
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