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Cantu vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 97-76
31-20 23-22 22-18 21-16
Position#15
Record6-17
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game89.3
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record11-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game87.1
ItalyLega ARound 24· PalaFitLineDesio
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Cantu v Trieste
17 Jan 2027
KAN v TRI
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
KAN97
TRI76
06 Jun 2024
KAN73
TRI83
04 Jun 2024
KAN65
TRI72
17 Feb 2024
KAN96
TRI92
16 Dec 2020
KAN73
TRI67
13 Apr 2020
KAN v TRI
upcoming
24 Mar 2019
KAN66
TRI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Tortona
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
72avg 75
H04/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 75
A11/01
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
71-76
71
76
-5
no box
H18/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
79-78
79
78
+1
78avg 75
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
77avg 75
H31/01
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
87-89
87
89
-2
78avg 75
A07/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
108-91
108
91
+17
90avg 75
H15/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
86-88
86
88
-2
86avg 75
A09/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
94-77
94
77
+17
88avg 75
H15/03
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
73-100
73
100
-27
66avg 75
A22/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
17-27
18-16
17-23
14-26
27-18
15-18
23-22
21-20
20-16
15-17
15-23
19-20
12-25
25-13
23-20
16-25
22-25
28-19
15-17
25-27
22-15
21-23
19-24
19-24
39-22
28-22
22-23
20-33
21-14
22-19
23-22
20-16
21-17
26-25
27-19
22-27
16-28
17-18
18-27
169.1Avg total
83.7Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.589.3172.8-5.726%
Season at home (11)84.284.1168.3+0.145%
Season away (12)82.994.0176.9-11.18%
Last 10 (10)83.785.4169.1-1.730%
Last 5 (5)89.689.0178.6+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)81.990.0171.9-8.121%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.985.1170.0-0.250%
vs Weaker (4)86.068.2154.2+17.8100%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
73avg 77
H01/02
Lega A
Nymburk
#30
L
85-91
85
91
-6
74avg 77
H04/02
Champions League
Tortona
#6
L
99-104
99
104
-5
93avg 77
A08/02
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#3
L
70-94
70
94
-24
60avg 77
H11/02
Champions League
Basket Napoli
#11
W
110-84
110
84
+26
112avg 77
H14/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
61-97
61
97
-36
49avg 77
A07/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#30
L
76-82
76
82
-6
68avg 77
A11/03
Champions League
Trento
#9
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 77
H14/03
Lega A
Tenerife
#12
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 77
H17/03
Champions League
Venezia
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
70avg 77
H22/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
23-19
20-19
26-22
25-23
21-25
21-23
18-20
23-19
32-22
24-39
20-24
19-21
18-28
13-22
20-23
38-23
32-22
20-22
20-17
21-24
7-24
12-31
21-18
19-18
23-19
10-27
24-18
24-21
21-18
18-20
21-19
20-27
17-10
18-25
27-14
14-27
21-27
30-12
13-18
169.5Avg total
82.9Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.287.1171.3-3.050%
Season at home (12)85.880.5166.3+5.375%
Season away (10)82.295.1177.3-12.920%
Last 10 (10)82.986.6169.5-3.740%
Last 5 (5)76.283.4159.6-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.785.4165.1-5.743%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.784.5170.2+1.153%
vs Weaker (1)115.090.0205.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.7+1.7
CantuTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H04/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A11/01
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H18/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H31/01
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A07/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H15/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A09/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H15/03
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A22/03
Lega A
86.4Avg total
42.0Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.683.7-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.341.083.3+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)37.846.384.1-8.57%-
Last 10 (10)42.044.486.4-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.044.689.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.748.689.4-7.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.842.582.2-2.825%-
vs Weaker (4)38.529.568.0+9.075%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H01/02
Lega A
Nymburk
#30
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H04/02
Champions League
Tortona
#6
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A08/02
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H11/02
Champions League
Basket Napoli
#11
W
70-45
70
45
+25
H14/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A07/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#30
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A11/03
Champions League
Trento
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H14/03
Lega A
Tenerife
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/03
Champions League
Venezia
#5
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H22/03
Lega A
86.6Avg total
43.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.184.6+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.842.384.1-0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)43.441.985.3+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.386.6+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.443.080.4-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.143.683.7-3.421%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.940.684.5+3.367%-
vs Weaker (1)56.044.0100.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.920.5
60.5%
54.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.2
35.4%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.415.0
70.1%
76.1%15.0
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.7
57.1%
54.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.1
30.8%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.516.2
79.0%
76.1%16.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LWLWLLWLLL
Trieste
LWWLLWLLLW
#15
League position
#10
-3.5
Net rating
-4.2
105.1
Offensive rating
93.8
108.6
Defensive rating
98.0
57.3%
Effective FG%
52.1%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
14.1%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.4%
3-point %
30.8%
65.7%
Assist %
53.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 93.8Defence108.6 · 98.0Shooting57.3% · 52.1%3-point %35.4% · 30.8%Ball care14.1% · 16.1%Off. rebounds21.7% · -Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Cantu   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cantu wins
6
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
11/01/26Trieste v Cantu84-79
12/06/24Trieste v Cantu83-72
10/06/24Trieste v Cantu73-74
06/06/24Cantu v Trieste73-83
04/06/24Cantu v Trieste65-72
17/02/24Cantu v Trieste96-92
07/03/21Trieste v Cantu82-79
16/12/20Cantu v Trieste73-67
22/12/19Trieste v Cantu86-96
24/03/19Cantu v Trieste66-88
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26ATortona73-100
15/03/26HBasket Napoli94-77
09/03/26AOlimpia Milano86-88
15/02/26HTrento108-91
07/02/26ACremona87-89
31/01/26HVenezia81-86
25/01/26AReggiana79-78
18/01/26HBrescia71-76
11/01/26ATrieste79-84
04/01/26HTortona79-85
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26HVenezia78-84
17/03/26HTenerife82-76
14/03/26HTrento84-78
11/03/26ANymburk76-82
07/03/26AReggiana61-97
14/02/26HBasket Napoli110-84
11/02/26HGran Canaria70-94
08/02/26ATortona99-104
04/02/26HNymburk85-91
01/02/26HTreviso84-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL26%
HomeLLLWW45%
AwayLWLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %26%45%8%
Points / game83.584.282.9
Allowed / game89.384.194.0
Point differential-5.7+0.1-11.1
Avg total172.8168.3176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)40% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %50%75%20%
Points / game84.285.882.2
Allowed / game87.180.595.1
Point differential-3.0+5.3-12.9
Avg total171.3166.3177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2319483%83.375.6+7.7
2 Brescia2217577%88.183.1+5.0
3 Venezia2316770%91.186.3+4.8
4 Olimpia Milano2416867%85.879.7+6.1
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona2315865%88.486.2+2.2
7 Trieste22111150%84.287.1-3.0
8 Trento24111346%83.581.8+1.8
9 Varese24111346%83.587.0-3.5
10 Reggiana22101245%82.080.6+1.3
11 Udine2391439%82.383.1-0.8
12 Cremona2491538%82.585.2-2.7
13 Basket Napoli2381535%83.786.5-2.8
14 Sassari2481633%86.889.9-3.1
15 Cantu2361726%83.589.3-5.7
16 Treviso2351822%83.190.8-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu3123222197
Trieste2022181676
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