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Tortona vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 100-73
27-22 28-16 18-17 27-18
Position#6
Record14-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game86.3
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record6-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game88.8
ItalyLega ARound 23· Cittadella dello Sport
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Tortona v Cantu
11 Apr 2027
TOR v KAN
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
TOR100
KAN73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
67avg 80
A21/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
79avg 80
H28/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
85-79
85
79
+6
87avg 80
A04/01
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
86-92
86
92
-6
76avg 80
A11/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
H17/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
82-76
82
76
+6
69avg 80
A24/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
79-80
79
80
-1
71avg 80
H31/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
104-99
104
99
+5
96avg 80
H08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
89-82
89
82
+7
87avg 80
A15/02
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
85-78
85
78
+7
78avg 80
H08/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
23-16
19-14
12-21
14-17
22-14
23-19
22-17
19-27
27-17
16-18
23-17
23-24
23-18
17-24
23-26
27-25
23-24
11-22
17-16
17-21
28-15
19-20
18-20
18-16
23-18
19-26
19-20
19-23
22-32
39-24
24-20
23-17
19-16
22-27
25-22
21-15
20-23
18-18
26-22
165.6Avg total
84.5Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.986.3174.2+1.667%
Season at home (11)93.489.1182.5+4.373%
Season away (10)81.983.3165.2-1.460%
Last 10 (10)84.581.1165.6+3.470%
Last 5 (5)87.883.0170.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.386.6163.9-9.314%
vs Similar (10)86.487.1173.5-0.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.588.3179.8+3.277%
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#11
L
86-98
86
98
-12
72avg 75
A28/12
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
72avg 75
H04/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 75
A11/01
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
71-76
71
76
-5
no box
H18/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
79-78
79
78
+1
78avg 75
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
81-86
81
86
-5
77avg 75
H31/01
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
87-89
87
89
-2
78avg 75
A07/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
108-91
108
91
+17
90avg 75
H15/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
86-88
86
88
-2
86avg 75
A09/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
94-77
94
77
+17
88avg 75
H15/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
19-30
17-21
29-26
27-19
17-27
18-16
17-23
14-26
27-18
15-18
23-22
21-20
20-16
15-17
15-23
19-20
12-25
25-13
23-20
16-25
22-25
28-19
15-17
25-27
22-15
21-23
19-24
19-24
39-22
28-22
22-23
20-33
21-14
22-19
23-22
20-16
21-17
26-25
27-19
170.2Avg total
85.0Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.088.8172.8-4.827%
Season at home (11)84.284.1168.3+0.145%
Season away (11)83.893.5177.3-9.69%
Last 10 (10)85.085.2170.2-0.230%
Last 5 (5)91.286.2177.4+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)82.689.2171.8-6.623%
vs Similar (12)84.985.1170.0-0.250%
vs Weaker (5)82.469.4151.8+13.080%
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.6-0.6
TortonaCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#12
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H28/12
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A04/01
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A11/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H17/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A24/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H31/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A15/02
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H08/03
Lega A
83.1Avg total
43.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.585.7+0.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.943.187.0+0.967%-
Last 30 away (15)42.541.984.3+0.660%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.883.1+3.590%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.281.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.044.086.0-2.057%-
vs Similar (10)42.443.085.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.541.285.7+3.277%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#11
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A28/12
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H04/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A11/01
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H18/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A25/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H31/01
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A07/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H15/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A09/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H15/03
Lega A
86.2Avg total
42.2Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.182.8-3.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.341.083.3+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)37.145.282.3-8.17%-
Last 10 (10)42.244.086.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.688.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.948.289.1-7.215%-
vs Similar (12)39.842.582.2-2.825%-
vs Weaker (5)36.431.467.8+5.060%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.7
54.7%
54.1%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.9
32.6%
34.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws23.218.0
77.6%
76.1%18.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.020.9
61.5%
54.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.3
35.2%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.815.5
71.1%
76.1%15.5
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WWWLWLLWWW
Cantu
WLWLLWLLLL
#6
League position
#15
+5.8
Net rating
-0.5
106.5
Offensive rating
107.9
100.7
Defensive rating
108.4
52.3%
Effective FG%
57.7%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
12.6%
Turnover %
14.1%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.6%
3-point %
35.2%
58.2%
Assist %
63.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 107.9Defence100.7 · 108.4Shooting52.3% · 57.7%3-point %32.6% · 35.2%Ball care12.6% · 14.1%Off. rebounds32.9% · 22.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Tortona   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tortona wins
0
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Cantu v Tortona79-85
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HCremona85-78
15/02/26ASassari89-82
08/02/26HTrieste104-99
31/01/26HUdine79-80
24/01/26ABasket Napoli82-76
17/01/26HOlimpia Milano78-87
11/01/26ABrescia86-92
04/01/26ACantu85-79
28/12/25HReggiana81-67
21/12/25ACremona76-71
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HBasket Napoli94-77
09/03/26AOlimpia Milano86-88
15/02/26HTrento108-91
07/02/26ACremona87-89
31/01/26HVenezia81-86
25/01/26AReggiana79-78
18/01/26HBrescia71-76
11/01/26ATrieste79-84
04/01/26HTortona79-85
28/12/25ABasket Napoli86-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLLWW73%
AwayWWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%73%60%
Points / game87.993.481.9
Allowed / game86.389.183.3
Point differential+1.6+4.3-1.4
Avg total174.2182.5165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)75% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Cantu
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW27%
HomeLLLWW45%
AwayLLWLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%45%9%
Points / game84.084.283.8
Allowed / game88.884.193.5
Point differential-4.8+0.1-9.6
Avg total172.8168.3177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)40% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2219386%83.975.2+8.6
2 Brescia2116576%88.383.4+4.9
3 Venezia2216673%91.385.4+5.9
4 Olimpia Milano2316770%85.979.4+6.5
5 Tortona2114767%87.986.3+1.6
6 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
7 Trieste22111150%84.287.1-3.0
8 Trento22101245%82.881.4+1.4
9 Varese22101245%83.386.3-3.0
10 Reggiana2191243%81.981.1+0.7
11 Udine2281436%82.183.1-1.0
12 Cremona2281436%81.784.9-3.1
13 Sassari2381535%86.189.1-3.0
14 Basket Napoli2171433%82.887.0-4.1
15 Cantu2261627%84.088.8-4.8
16 Treviso2131814%81.390.0-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona27281827100
Cantu2216171873
← all games of the day
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