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Cantu vs Trieste Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game88.4
Cantu
Italy
vs
Trieste
Italy
Position#10
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game85.2
ItalyLega ARound 16· PalaFitLineDesio
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Cantu v Trieste
17 Jan 2027
KAN v TRI
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
KAN97
TRI76
06 Jun 2024
KAN73
TRI83
04 Jun 2024
KAN65
TRI72
17 Feb 2024
KAN96
TRI92
16 Dec 2020
KAN73
TRI67
13 Apr 2020
KAN v TRI
upcoming
24 Mar 2019
KAN66
TRI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Cantu
3.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.1
73.8▼ 8.3
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.4
88.4▲ 2.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
51%▼ 7%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.7
14.2▼ 4.5
🔥 Form · Trieste
6.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.5
89.0▲ 5.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.5
85.2▼ 0.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
56%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.2
17.6▲ 0.4
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H04/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A13/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
100-96
100
96
+4
H19/04
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
83-95
83
95
-12
A25/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H03/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A26/09
Lega A
Udine
#12
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
H05/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
80-99
80
99
-19
H11/10
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A18/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A25/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
25-14
16-24
19-12
19-28
20-22
20-19
20-20
20-19
26-25
30-26
24-26
17-19
21-25
24-27
21-24
15-21
22-17
19-13
16-29
17-21
14-22
21-24
21-18
20-18
16-18
20-22
21-19
19-20
22-29
20-17
19-33
18-20
20-24
15-23
19-25
20-23
19-15
14-18
7-25
166.3Avg total
78.3Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.888.4162.2-14.60%
Season at home (2)82.092.0174.0-10.00%
Season away (3)68.386.0154.3-17.70%
Last 10 (10)78.388.0166.3-9.720%
Last 5 (5)73.888.4162.2-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)80.488.7169.1-8.312%
vs Similar (14)86.187.0173.1-0.943%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
92-90
92
90
+2
A16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A18/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
75-90
75
90
-15
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#9
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
92-72
92
72
+20
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#7
W
108-99
108
99
+9
H25/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
31-27
13-24
20-15
19-21
23-28
21-19
19-22
18-22
21-22
15-17
26-23
17-16
18-22
28-18
20-21
16-27
23-20
12-20
24-23
19-17
22-21
23-19
15-26
15-21
27-18
20-20
20-28
15-19
23-21
20-21
26-24
20-18
24-20
23-15
25-19
23-27
28-26
28-24
29-22
171.4Avg total
85.7Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.085.2174.2+3.840%
Season at home (3)94.086.0180.0+8.067%
Season away (2)81.584.0165.5-2.50%
Last 10 (10)85.785.7171.4+0.040%
Last 5 (5)89.085.2174.2+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.186.9167.0-6.925%
vs Similar (12)87.484.8172.2+2.758%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)88.078.5166.5+9.550%
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +0.1+0.1
CantuTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H04/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A13/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H19/04
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A25/04
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A26/09
Lega A
Udine
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H05/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#2
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H11/10
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A18/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A25/10
Lega A
81.8Avg total
39.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.445.286.6-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.443.286.6+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)39.547.186.6-7.713%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.881.8-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.079.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.546.787.2-6.219%-
vs Similar (14)42.543.485.9-0.943%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#7
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H25/10
Lega A
86.7Avg total
43.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.886.5-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.643.385.9-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)42.944.487.3-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.786.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.684.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.344.485.8-3.131%-
vs Similar (12)44.843.888.7+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)41.039.080.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.3
51.1%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.0
34.1%
34.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.814.5
66.5%
74.4%14.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.3
54.8%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
34.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.816.4
75.2%
74.4%16.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LLLLLLLWLW
Trieste
WWLLLLWLLW
#16
League position
#10
-10.7
Net rating
+0.2
90.1
Offensive rating
100.8
100.9
Defensive rating
100.6
51.1%
Effective FG%
53.6%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.8%
Turnover %
12.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.1%
3-point %
34.9%
61.2%
Assist %
56.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 100.8Defence100.9 · 100.6Shooting51.1% · 53.6%3-point %34.1% · 34.9%Ball care16.8% · 12.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Cantu   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cantu wins
6
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
18/10/26Trieste v Cantu92-72
29/03/26Cantu v Trieste97-76
11/01/26Trieste v Cantu84-79
12/06/24Trieste v Cantu83-72
10/06/24Trieste v Cantu73-74
06/06/24Cantu v Trieste73-83
04/06/24Cantu v Trieste65-72
17/02/24Cantu v Trieste96-92
07/03/21Trieste v Cantu82-79
16/12/20Cantu v Trieste73-67
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26AReggiana60-81
18/10/26ATrieste72-92
11/10/26HBasket Napoli80-99
05/10/26HUdine84-85 OT
26/09/26AVenezia73-85
03/05/26HTreviso72-80
25/04/26AUdine83-95
19/04/26HVarese100-96
13/04/26AVirtus Bologna79-89
04/04/26HSassari80-78
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HVerona108-99
18/10/26HCantu92-72
10/10/26AVarese84-85
04/10/26HVenezia82-87
27/09/26AOlimpia Milano79-83
25/05/26ABrescia75-90
23/05/26HBrescia83-77
21/05/26HBrescia80-84
18/05/26ABrescia82-90
16/05/26ABrescia92-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.882.068.3
Allowed / game88.492.086.0
Point differential-14.6-10.0-17.7
Avg total162.2174.0154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %20%50%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game89.094.081.5
Allowed / game85.286.084.0
Point differential+3.8+8.0-2.5
Avg total174.2180.0165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%97.484.2+13.2
2 Basket Napoli54180%93.287.2+6.0
3 Treviso54180%95.693.0+2.6
4 Olimpia Milano53260%90.682.2+8.4
5 Venezia53260%90.288.6+1.6
6 Trento53260%83.081.8+1.2
7 Verona53260%90.088.8+1.2
8 Maxima Roma53260%86.087.4-1.4
9 Varese53260%86.888.2-1.4
10 Trieste52340%89.085.2+3.8
11 Reggiana52340%85.284.4+0.8
12 Udine52340%79.880.8-1.0
13 BC Roma51420%99.697.8+1.8
14 Tortona51420%84.495.0-10.6
15 Scafati51420%78.490.0-11.6
16 Cantu5050%73.888.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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