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Capo d'Orlando vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 59-62
14-15 16-19 15-15 14-13
Position#8
Record14-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game77.2
Capo d'Orlando
Italy
vs
Reggiana 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record13-11
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game82.0
ItalyLega ARound 25
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Capo d'Orlando v Reggiana
11 Feb 2018
KDO70
REG81
02 Apr 2017
KDO59
REG62
25 Oct 2015
KDO68
REG62
28 Mar 2015
KDO67
REG73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capo d'Orlando winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Reggiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A22/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
90-82 OT
90
82
+8
H29/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
92-91
92
91
+1
A05/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#4
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A16/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#14
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A26/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H05/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A12/03
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H19/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A26/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
20-18
12-23
23-22
26-25
18-15
16-20
17-17
12-25
27-14
27-29
26-23
15-17
18-20
16-18
14-16
16-14
17-21
18-15
10-13
23-11
25-12
12-24
19-26
17-24
18-11
19-14
17-18
18-22
17-17
17-23
34-20
15-17
21-19
21-17
17-18
20-20
16-23
22-20
14-11
152.6Avg total
76.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.877.2155.0+0.658%
Season at home (12)78.470.8149.2+7.683%
Season away (12)77.283.6160.8-6.333%
Last 10 (10)76.276.4152.6-0.260%
Last 5 (5)76.473.4149.8+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.081.5154.5-8.520%
vs Similar ◀ (19)78.474.3152.6+4.168%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A29/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H06/02
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A12/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#7
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H16/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A18/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#4
L
75-87
75
87
-12
H26/02
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A06/03
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
H12/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A19/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
103-70
103
70
+33
H27/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
25-16
16-27
14-21
23-19
25-20
20-19
30-26
12-24
25-11
20-17
17-21
14-16
21-17
15-18
13-10
26-18
19-27
19-14
20-28
25-17
19-23
10-19
21-28
24-26
24-21
14-26
21-25
15-20
21-21
20-13
22-24
27-23
17-22
29-15
18-21
36-17
16-18
30-16
21-19
164.5Avg total
83.2Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.782.0164.7+0.754%
Season at home (12)86.281.1167.3+5.267%
Season away (12)79.282.9162.1-3.842%
Last 10 (10)83.281.3164.5+1.950%
Last 5 (5)88.285.2173.4+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.784.0163.7-4.343%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.481.1162.5+0.447%
vs Weaker (4)87.884.0171.8+3.875%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.6-2.6
Capo d'OrlandoReggiana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H29/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A05/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A16/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#14
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A26/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H05/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A12/03
Lega A
Caserta
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H19/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A26/03
Lega A
75.0Avg total
37.8Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.475.2+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.135.273.3+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)37.439.777.1-2.327%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.275.0+0.620%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.273.2+2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.140.478.5-2.340%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.836.073.8+1.853%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A29/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H06/02
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A12/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#7
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H16/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A18/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H26/02
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A06/03
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H12/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A19/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H27/03
Lega A
82.5Avg total
43.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.381.4+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.238.080.2+4.280%-
Last 30 away (15)40.142.582.7-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)43.139.482.5+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.686.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.141.983.0-0.757%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.839.679.4+0.253%-
vs Weaker (4)48.842.291.0+6.575%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.0
51.6%
51.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.6
37.7%
35.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.115.1
83.4%
74.0%15.1
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.6
51.2%
51.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.69.7
41.1%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.513.5
73.0%
74.0%13.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Capo d'Orlando
LWWWWLLWWL
Reggiana
WWLLLLWWWL
#8
League position
#6
-1.3
Net rating
-0.3
101.9
Offensive rating
109.2
103.2
Defensive rating
109.4
53.6%
Effective FG%
55.2%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
24.0%
Turnover %
20.0%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.7%
3-point %
41.1%
47.7%
Assist %
64.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 109.2Defence103.2 · 109.4Shooting53.6% · 55.2%3-point %37.7% · 41.1%Ball care24.0% · 20.0%Off. rebounds26.7% · 29.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Capo d'Orlando   ■ Reggiana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Capo d'Orlando wins
5
Reggiana wins
DateGameScore
16/02/17Reggiana v Capo d'Orlando63-61
05/12/16Reggiana v Capo d'Orlando80-70
07/02/16Reggiana v Capo d'Orlando75-66
25/10/15Capo d'Orlando v Reggiana68-62
28/03/15Capo d'Orlando v Reggiana67-73
06/12/14Reggiana v Capo d'Orlando77-65
Capo d'Orlandolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/17AVarese72-74
19/03/17HCaserta74-71
12/03/17ACremona86-82
05/03/17HBrescia71-67
26/02/17ACantu79-73
16/02/17AReggiana61-63
12/02/17HTrento63-71
05/02/17ATorino92-91
29/01/17HVenezia90-82 OT
22/01/17AOlimpia Milano74-90
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/17HBrescia103-70
19/03/17APesaro91-81
12/03/17HAvellino89-90 OT
06/03/17ACantu83-98
26/02/17HTrento75-87
18/02/17AOlimpia Milano84-87
16/02/17HCapo d'Orlando63-61
12/02/17AVenezia74-73
06/02/17HBrindisi98-84
29/01/17ASassari72-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game77.878.477.2
Allowed / game77.270.883.6
Point differential+0.6+7.6-6.3
Avg total155.0149.2160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)100% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Reggiana
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayLLWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %54%67%42%
Points / game82.786.279.2
Allowed / game82.081.182.9
Point differential+0.7+5.2-3.8
Avg total164.7167.3162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)33% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2420483%86.979.0+7.9
2 Venezia2416867%81.077.4+3.6
3 Avellino2415962%79.676.0+3.6
4 Trento24141058%77.173.5+3.5
5 Capo d'Orlando24141058%77.877.2+0.6
6 Sassari24131154%76.773.9+2.8
7 Reggiana24131154%82.782.0+0.7
8 Brindisi24121250%84.282.4+1.8
9 Torino24121250%81.384.3-3.0
10 Pistoia24111346%76.077.2-1.2
11 Brescia24101442%79.881.4-1.6
12 Varese24101442%77.080.2-3.2
13 Cantu24101442%78.181.5-3.4
14 Caserta2491538%78.682.3-3.7
15 Cremona2571828%77.779.8-2.0
16 Pesaro2571828%73.979.8-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Capo d'Orlando1416151459
Reggiana1519151362
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