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Varese vs Capo d'Orlando Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 74-72
20-20 23-16 20-22 11-14
Position#10
Record9-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game80.6
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Capo d'Orlando
Italy
Position#8
Record14-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game77.3
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Varese v Capo d'Orlando
10 Dec 2017
VAR82
KDO58
26 Mar 2017
VAR74
KDO72
14 Feb 2016
VAR81
KDO82
26 Apr 2015
VAR80
KDO73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Capo d'Orlando winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Usak Sportif
#33
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H18/01
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H22/01
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
L
53-78
53
78
-25
A24/01
Champions League
Caserta
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A29/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
H05/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
58-80
58
80
-22
A12/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H27/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H12/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A19/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
21-20
24-19
16-21
24-25
18-17
19-20
15-21
12-21
10-18
25-25
6-14
28-21
19-22
19-19
20-18
21-25
19-29
24-19
18-25
18-17
16-21
9-21
15-21
15-11
20-14
21-22
19-23
24-28
16-21
23-11
19-15
23-22
19-29
25-18
26-9
21-23
21-11
25-20
20-24
157.4Avg total
77.7Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.180.6157.7-3.539%
Season at home (12)79.879.9159.7-0.242%
Season away (11)74.381.4155.6-7.136%
Last 10 (10)77.779.7157.4-2.060%
Last 5 (5)79.076.2155.2+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)71.781.8153.5-10.119%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.777.4154.1-0.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A08/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A22/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
90-82 OT
90
82
+8
H29/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
92-91
92
91
+1
A05/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#4
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A16/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#14
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A26/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H05/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A12/03
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H19/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
19-14
15-17
17-23
19-27
20-18
12-23
23-22
26-25
18-15
16-20
17-17
12-25
27-14
27-29
26-23
15-17
18-20
16-18
14-16
16-14
17-21
18-15
10-13
23-11
25-12
12-24
19-26
17-24
18-11
19-14
17-18
18-22
17-17
17-23
34-20
15-17
21-19
21-17
17-18
151.8Avg total
75.8Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.177.3155.4+0.761%
Season at home (12)78.470.8149.2+7.683%
Season away (11)77.784.5162.2-6.736%
Last 10 (10)75.876.0151.8-0.260%
Last 5 (5)74.271.2145.4+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.081.5154.5-8.520%
vs Similar ◀ (19)78.374.0152.3+4.374%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
VareseCapo d'Orlando
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Usak Sportif
#33
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H18/01
Champions League
Sassari
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H22/01
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A24/01
Champions League
Caserta
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H05/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A12/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H27/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H12/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A19/03
Lega A
80.1Avg total
38.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.241.578.7-4.227%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.141.279.3-3.131%-
Last 30 away (14)36.241.878.0-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)38.941.280.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.478.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.043.378.3-8.36%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.839.479.1+0.450%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A08/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H29/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A05/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A16/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#14
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A26/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H05/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A12/03
Lega A
Caserta
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H19/03
Lega A
73.7Avg total
37.8Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.475.2+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.135.273.3+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)37.539.777.1-2.227%-
Last 10 (10)37.835.973.7+1.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.433.671.0+3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.140.478.5-2.340%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.836.073.8+1.853%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.920.5
48.9%
51.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.1
35.7%
35.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.912.8
71.5%
74.0%12.8
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.6
51.5%
51.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.2
36.9%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.714.4
81.4%
74.0%14.4
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWWWLLWLLW
Capo d'Orlando
WWWWLLWWLL
#10
League position
#8
-2.9
Net rating
-4.9
104.3
Offensive rating
101.2
107.2
Defensive rating
106.1
50.5%
Effective FG%
53.0%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
17.8%
Turnover %
24.0%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.7%
3-point %
36.9%
47.6%
Assist %
51.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 101.2Defence107.2 · 106.1Shooting50.5% · 53.0%3-point %35.7% · 36.9%Ball care17.8% · 24.0%Off. rebounds29.4% · 27.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Capo d'Orlando
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Varese wins
3
Capo d'Orlando wins
DateGameScore
27/11/16Capo d'Orlando v Varese76-71
14/02/16Varese v Capo d'Orlando81-82
01/11/15Capo d'Orlando v Varese62-66
26/04/15Varese v Capo d'Orlando80-73
29/12/14Capo d'Orlando v Varese84-71
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/17ABrescia87-78
12/03/17HPesaro93-78
05/03/17AAvellino82-75
27/02/17HPistoia75-70
12/02/17ABrindisi58-80
05/02/17HOlimpia Milano82-98
29/01/17ACaserta86-80
24/01/17AOldenburg53-78
22/01/17HSassari76-83
18/01/17HUsak Sportif85-77
Capo d'Orlandolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/17HCaserta74-71
12/03/17ACremona86-82
05/03/17HBrescia71-67
26/02/17ACantu79-73
16/02/17AReggiana61-63
12/02/17HTrento63-71
05/02/17ATorino92-91
29/01/17HVenezia90-82 OT
22/01/17AOlimpia Milano74-90
08/01/17APesaro68-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW39%
HomeLLLWW42%
AwayLWLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %39%42%36%
Points / game77.179.874.3
Allowed / game80.679.981.4
Point differential-3.5-0.2-7.1
Avg total157.7159.7155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW61%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLWWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%83%36%
Points / game78.178.477.7
Allowed / game77.370.884.5
Point differential+0.7+7.6-6.7
Avg total155.4149.2162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)100% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %9%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2320387%87.478.7+8.7
2 Venezia2416867%81.077.4+3.6
3 Avellino2315865%79.875.2+4.7
4 Capo d'Orlando2314961%78.177.3+0.7
5 Trento23131057%76.272.8+3.4
6 Sassari24131154%76.773.9+2.8
7 Reggiana23121152%81.882.5-0.7
8 Brindisi23111248%83.782.7+1.0
9 Torino23111248%81.084.7-3.6
10 Brescia23101343%80.280.4-0.3
11 Pistoia23101343%75.677.3-1.7
12 Cantu23101343%78.281.2-3.0
13 Varese2391439%77.180.6-3.5
14 Caserta2491538%78.682.3-3.7
15 Pesaro2371630%73.679.4-5.8
16 Cremona2461825%77.980.5-2.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2023201174
Capo d'Orlando2016221472
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