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Capo d'Orlando vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 74-71
15-17 21-19 21-17 17-18
Position#8
Record13-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game77.6
Capo d'Orlando 🏆
Italy
vs
Caserta
Italy
Position#13
Record9-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game83.7
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Capo d'Orlando v Caserta
19 Mar 2017
KDO74
KAS71
28 Feb 2016
KDO65
KAS59
16 Nov 2014
KDO68
KAS64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capo d'Orlando winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caserta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H02/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A08/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A22/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
90-82 OT
90
82
+8
H29/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
92-91
92
91
+1
A05/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#4
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A16/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#14
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A26/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H05/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A12/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
18-26
26-12
23-33
17-16
19-14
15-17
17-23
19-27
20-18
12-23
23-22
26-25
18-15
16-20
17-17
12-25
27-14
27-29
26-23
15-17
18-20
16-18
14-16
16-14
17-21
18-15
10-13
23-11
25-12
12-24
19-26
17-24
18-11
19-14
17-18
18-22
17-17
17-23
34-20
154.1Avg total
77.0Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.377.6155.9+0.659%
Season at home (11)78.870.8149.6+8.082%
Season away (11)77.784.5162.2-6.736%
Last 10 (10)77.077.1154.1-0.160%
Last 5 (5)72.071.2143.2+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.182.5154.5-10.418%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.574.2152.7+4.372%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A27/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H01/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
A08/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
A22/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H29/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H05/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A13/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H26/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H12/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
26-27
14-15
16-29
23-22
20-26
23-18
16-20
17-20
17-23
26-31
17-21
22-21
15-24
23-18
16-13
21-28
22-19
19-19
18-20
14-20
16-22
16-15
33-18
22-29
18-11
11-18
13-19
20-17
15-20
19-17
20-24
13-23
19-17
22-12
12-24
10-21
19-12
28-24
22-28
160.2Avg total
75.9Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.983.7163.6-3.841%
Season at home (11)81.179.4160.5+1.755%
Season away (11)78.788.0166.7-9.327%
Last 10 (10)75.984.3160.2-8.420%
Last 5 (5)72.478.2150.6-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.987.5165.5-9.68%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.379.7158.0-1.459%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -3.3-3.3
Capo d'OrlandoCaserta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H02/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A08/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H29/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A05/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#4
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A16/02
Italian Cup
Cantu
#14
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A26/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H05/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A12/03
Lega A
73.9Avg total
37.9Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.675.5+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.235.173.4+3.171%-
Last 30 away (16)37.839.777.4-1.931%-
Last 10 (10)37.936.073.9+1.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.833.870.6+3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.540.478.8-1.945%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.936.073.9+1.956%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H01/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A08/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H29/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H05/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H12/03
Lega A
79.6Avg total
36.5Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.141.678.8-4.520%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.140.678.7-2.527%-
Last 30 away (15)36.142.778.8-6.513%-
Last 10 (10)36.543.179.6-6.60%-
Last 5 (5)33.238.471.6-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.544.582.0-7.115%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.939.476.3-2.524%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.6
51.7%
51.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.4
37.5%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.013.6
80.0%
74.0%13.6
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.317.9
49.3%
51.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.0
31.6%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.514.9
69.3%
74.0%14.9
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Capo d'Orlando
WWWLLWWLLW
Caserta
LLLLWLWLLL
#8
League position
#13
-4.5
Net rating
-10.9
102.6
Offensive rating
94.9
107.0
Defensive rating
105.8
53.4%
Effective FG%
48.5%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
23.7%
Turnover %
20.1%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.5%
3-point %
31.6%
53.3%
Assist %
56.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 94.9Defence107.0 · 105.8Shooting53.4% · 48.5%3-point %37.5% · 31.6%Ball care23.7% · 20.1%Off. rebounds29.4% · 25.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Capo d'Orlando   ■ Caserta
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Capo d'Orlando wins
2
Caserta wins
DateGameScore
20/11/16Caserta v Capo d'Orlando91-86
28/02/16Capo d'Orlando v Caserta65-59
08/11/15Caserta v Capo d'Orlando78-66
08/03/15Caserta v Capo d'Orlando70-83
16/11/14Capo d'Orlando v Caserta68-64
Capo d'Orlandolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/17ACremona86-82
05/03/17HBrescia71-67
26/02/17ACantu79-73
16/02/17AReggiana61-63
12/02/17HTrento63-71
05/02/17ATorino92-91
29/01/17HVenezia90-82 OT
22/01/17AOlimpia Milano74-90
08/01/17APesaro68-70
02/01/17HBrindisi86-82
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/17HCantu79-85
04/03/17ATrento66-76
26/02/17HOlimpia Milano74-78
13/02/17APistoia64-77
05/02/17HCremona79-75
29/01/17HVarese80-86
22/01/17AReggiana86-85 OT
08/01/17ASassari77-95
01/01/17HAvellino82-86
27/12/16ABrindisi72-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW59%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLLWWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%82%36%
Points / game78.378.877.7
Allowed / game77.670.884.5
Point differential+0.6+8.0-6.7
Avg total155.9149.6162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %9%9%9%
Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL41%
HomeLLWLL55%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%55%27%
Points / game79.981.178.7
Allowed / game83.779.488.0
Point differential-3.8+1.7-9.3
Avg total163.6160.5166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2219386%87.578.8+8.7
2 Avellino2315865%79.875.2+4.7
3 Venezia2214864%81.578.6+2.9
4 Capo d'Orlando2213959%78.377.6+0.6
5 Trento23131057%76.272.8+3.4
6 Sassari23121152%76.673.8+2.8
7 Reggiana23121152%81.882.5-0.7
8 Brindisi22111150%84.082.7+1.3
9 Torino22111150%81.584.5-2.9
10 Brescia22101245%80.380.1+0.1
11 Pistoia23101343%75.677.3-1.7
12 Cantu2291341%78.081.4-3.5
13 Caserta2291341%79.983.7-3.8
14 Varese2281436%76.780.7-4.0
15 Pesaro2371630%73.679.4-5.8
16 Cremona2261627%78.080.3-2.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Capo d'Orlando1521211774
Caserta1719171871
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