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Capo d'Orlando vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 90-82 (OT)
26-25 18-15 16-20 17-17 13-5
Position#8
Record8-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#1
Record12-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game79.8
ItalyLega ARound 17
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Capo d'Orlando v Venezia
02 Jan 2018
KDO59
VEN91
29 Jan 2017
KDO90
VEN82
24 Jan 2016
KDO55
VEN53
11 Jan 2015
KDO67
VEN54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Capo d'Orlando winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Capo d'OrlandoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H13/11
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A20/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H27/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A05/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
79-64
79
64
+15
H11/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H17/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
65-94
65
94
-29
A27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H02/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A08/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A22/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
10-10
25-20
23-28
19-25
18-22
22-11
27-33
21-19
18-15
18-13
19-24
20-17
14-27
14-17
22-19
19-22
22-10
21-22
17-10
13-17
16-24
19-13
24-11
17-30
15-17
20-24
13-23
19-11
18-26
26-12
23-33
17-16
19-14
15-17
17-23
19-27
20-18
12-23
23-22
153.8Avg total
75.5Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.677.6155.2-0.150%
Season at home (8)80.469.9150.2+10.588%
Season away (8)74.885.4160.1-10.612%
Last 10 (10)75.578.3153.8-2.850%
Last 5 (5)73.080.2153.2-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)69.579.7149.2-10.217%
vs Similar (18)78.272.1150.2+6.172%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H18/12
Lega A
Khimik
#43
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H20/12
Champions League
Varese
#10
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A27/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H01/01
Lega A
Maccabi Rishon
#34
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A04/01
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
108-106 OT
108
106
+2
A07/01
Lega A
Kataja
#31
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H10/01
Champions League
Saratov
#21
L
67-102
67
102
-35
A18/01
Champions League
Cantu
#14
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H22/01
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#27
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H24/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
18-15
23-14
16-17
19-18
19-17
13-16
22-8
24-12
14-11
19-14
16-23
17-21
17-20
16-24
21-19
19-25
14-16
18-19
10-19
15-19
30-28
18-24
27-19
20-24
8-9
24-20
26-15
12-25
15-16
25-29
15-32
16-23
27-15
27-13
23-21
26-18
26-20
24-26
13-14
156.9Avg total
79.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.579.8163.3+3.775%
Season at home (9)80.775.8156.4+4.978%
Season away (7)87.185.0172.1+2.171%
Last 10 (10)79.177.8156.9+1.370%
Last 5 (5)87.085.2172.2+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)64.272.5136.8-8.250%
vs Similar (15)79.979.4159.3+0.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.175.1158.2+8.082%
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
Capo d'OrlandoVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Capo d'OrlandoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/11
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A20/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A05/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H11/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H17/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H02/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A08/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/01
Lega A
74.0Avg total
35.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.074.7+0.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.733.971.6+3.973%-
Last 30 away (15)37.740.177.8-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)35.538.574.0-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)34.640.074.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.438.274.6-1.850%-
vs Similar (18)38.636.274.8+2.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H18/12
Lega A
Khimik
#43
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H20/12
Champions League
Varese
#10
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A27/12
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H01/01
Lega A
Maccabi Rishon
#34
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A04/01
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A07/01
Lega A
Kataja
#31
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H10/01
Champions League
Saratov
#21
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A18/01
Champions League
Cantu
#14
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/01
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#27
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H24/01
Champions League
75.3Avg total
37.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.037.374.3-0.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.436.774.1+0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)36.538.174.6-1.621%-
Last 10 (10)37.737.675.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.478.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.036.569.5-3.525%-
vs Similar (15)36.837.874.6-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.737.075.7+1.745%-
This opponent (Capo d'Orlando) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Capo d'Orlandotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Capo d'Orlando: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.416.4
47.7%
51.1%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.88.0
36.7%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.213.9
80.8%
74.0%13.9
They take 56.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.717.1
46.6%
51.1%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.9
39.9%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws15.311.8
77.1%
74.0%11.8
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Capo d'Orlando
LLWLWWLWLW
Venezia
WWLWWLLWWW
#8
League position
#1
-6.4
Net rating
+6.2
98.9
Offensive rating
108.7
105.3
Defensive rating
102.5
50.5%
Effective FG%
52.3%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
22.9%
Turnover %
18.1%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.7%
3-point %
39.9%
61.5%
Assist %
55.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 108.7Defence105.3 · 102.5Shooting50.5% · 52.3%3-point %36.7% · 39.9%Ball care22.9% · 18.1%Off. rebounds30.4% · 31.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Capo d'Orlando   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Capo d'Orlando wins
3
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
09/10/16Venezia v Capo d'Orlando84-69
24/01/16Capo d'Orlando v Venezia55-53
11/10/15Venezia v Capo d'Orlando77-76 OT
10/05/15Venezia v Capo d'Orlando90-67
11/01/15Capo d'Orlando v Venezia67-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/17AOlimpia Milano74-90
08/01/17APesaro68-70
02/01/17HBrindisi86-82
27/12/16AAvellino65-94
17/12/16HSassari72-65
11/12/16HPistoia79-64
05/12/16AReggiana70-80
27/11/16HVarese76-71
20/11/16ACaserta86-91
13/11/16HCremona79-76
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/17HCSM Oradea89-78
22/01/17HCantu93-72
18/01/17ASaratov67-102
10/01/17HKataja78-68
07/01/17ABrindisi108-106 OT
04/01/17AMaccabi Rishon61-79
01/01/17HSassari71-84
27/12/16AVarese73-60
20/12/16HKhimik73-59
18/12/16HBrescia78-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Capo d'Orlando
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%88%12%
Points / game77.680.474.8
Allowed / game77.669.985.4
Point differential-0.1+10.5-10.6
Avg total155.2150.2160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Venezia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %75%78%71%
Points / game83.580.787.1
Allowed / game79.875.885.0
Point differential+3.7+4.9+2.1
Avg total163.3156.4172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %19%11%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1614288%89.179.3+9.8
2 Venezia1612475%83.579.8+3.7
3 Avellino1611569%80.675.3+5.2
4 Sassari169756%78.874.6+4.1
5 Reggiana169756%81.281.4-0.2
6 Brescia168850%82.980.8+2.2
7 Capo d'Orlando168850%77.677.6-0.1
8 Torino168850%82.284.2-2.1
9 Pistoia168850%75.277.3-2.1
10 Caserta168850%82.285.2-3.0
11 Trento167944%75.674.2+1.4
12 Brindisi167944%82.982.9+0.0
13 Cantu1661038%77.582.9-5.4
14 Pesaro1651131%74.579.2-4.8
15 Cremona1641225%75.679.1-3.6
16 Varese1641225%75.780.9-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Capo d'Orlando261816171390
Venezia25152017582
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