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Reggiana vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 89-90 (OT)
15-20 21-21 20-13 22-24 11-12
Position#6
Record11-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#3
Record13-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game75.0
ItalyLega ARound 22
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Reggiana v Avellino
18 Nov 2018
REG75
AVE91
20 Jan 2018
REG89
AVE86
17 May 2017
REG79
AVE80
12 Mar 2017
REG89
AVE90
30 May 2016
REG85
AVE80
26 May 2016
REG82
AVE72
20 May 2016
REG86
AVE78
18 May 2016
REG83
AVE69
19 Feb 2016
REG87
AVE94
11 Oct 2015
REG87
AVE68
08 Mar 2015
REG96
AVE72
11 Jan 2014
REG96
AVE73
23 Dec 2012
REG91
AVE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reggiana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#7
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A02/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H08/01
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
H22/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A29/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H06/02
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A12/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#7
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H16/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A18/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#4
L
75-87
75
87
-12
H26/02
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A06/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
18-26
12-17
21-22
6-25
26-24
17-23
17-11
21-22
24-15
18-23
13-16
17-18
25-16
16-27
14-21
23-19
25-20
20-19
30-26
12-24
25-11
20-17
17-21
14-16
21-17
15-18
13-10
26-18
19-27
19-14
20-28
25-17
19-23
10-19
21-28
24-26
24-21
14-26
21-25
159.7Avg total
77.1Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.082.2163.3-1.252%
Season at home (10)84.381.3165.6+3.070%
Season away (11)78.183.1161.2-5.036%
Last 10 (10)77.182.6159.7-5.530%
Last 5 (5)75.881.2157.0-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.284.1163.3-4.940%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.581.2160.7-1.747%
vs Weaker (3)86.785.0171.7+1.767%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A22/01
Lega A
Juventus
#17
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H25/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H30/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A05/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H12/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H17/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#11
L
87-91
87
91
-4
A26/02
Lega A
Venezia
#14
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A01/03
Champions League
Varese
#10
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#14
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H08/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
17-17
21-22
21-24
21-20
19-20
15-14
19-10
30-15
17-21
16-15
17-17
22-14
13-13
6-16
18-24
16-21
25-15
17-11
21-15
22-13
16-26
16-17
14-13
20-24
27-21
21-25
19-21
18-12
12-10
15-18
4-13
28-24
21-16
11-23
15-19
14-21
13-19
22-16
19-16
143.0Avg total
71.8Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.575.0154.5+4.562%
Season at home (11)82.174.0156.1+8.173%
Season away (10)76.676.1152.7+0.550%
Last 10 (10)71.871.2143.0+0.630%
Last 5 (5)69.473.4142.8-4.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.571.0147.5+5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (8)73.172.0145.1+1.150%
vs Weaker (19)76.571.1147.6+5.558%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
ReggianaAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A02/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H08/01
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A29/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H06/02
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A12/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#7
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H16/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A18/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H26/02
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A06/03
Lega A
81.9Avg total
41.4Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.681.5+0.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.037.679.6+4.486%-
Last 30 away (16)39.943.283.1-3.338%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.581.9+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.081.8+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.142.483.5-1.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.239.879.0-0.653%-
vs Weaker (3)50.341.391.7+9.0100%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A22/01
Lega A
Juventus
#17
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H30/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A05/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H17/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A26/02
Lega A
Venezia
#14
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A01/03
Champions League
Varese
#10
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#14
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H08/03
Champions League
75.4Avg total
39.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.536.373.7+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.035.373.3+2.756%-
Last 30 away (14)36.937.474.2-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)39.136.375.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.275.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.434.168.5+0.250%-
vs Weaker (19)39.136.575.6+2.663%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.9
48.2%
51.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.8
35.3%
35.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.915.2
76.4%
74.0%15.2
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.6
52.2%
51.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.2
39.2%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws15.310.9
71.2%
74.0%10.9
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Reggiana
LLLWWWLLLL
Avellino
LLLLLWLWWL
#6
League position
#3
-9.6
Net rating
+6.2
100.5
Offensive rating
105.6
110.1
Defensive rating
99.5
49.9%
Effective FG%
55.0%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
21.3%
Turnover %
20.8%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.3%
3-point %
39.2%
60.7%
Assist %
54.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 105.6Defence110.1 · 99.5Shooting49.9% · 55.0%3-point %35.3% · 39.2%Ball care21.3% · 20.8%Off. rebounds28.4% · 29.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Reggiana   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Reggiana wins
5
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
13/11/16Avellino v Reggiana81-86
24/09/16Avellino v Reggiana74-72
30/05/16Reggiana v Avellino85-80
28/05/16Avellino v Reggiana83-74
26/05/16Reggiana v Avellino82-72
24/05/16Avellino v Reggiana97-54
22/05/16Avellino v Reggiana89-75
20/05/16Reggiana v Avellino86-78
18/05/16Reggiana v Avellino83-69
19/02/16Reggiana v Avellino87-94
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/17ACantu83-98
26/02/17HTrento75-87
18/02/17AOlimpia Milano84-87
16/02/17HCapo d'Orlando63-61
12/02/17AVenezia74-73
06/02/17HBrindisi98-84
29/01/17ASassari72-82
22/01/17HCaserta85-86 OT
08/01/17HCremona66-83
02/01/17APistoia71-85
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/17HVenezia68-72
05/03/17HVarese75-82
01/03/17AVenezia49-53
26/02/17ABrescia87-91
17/02/17HSassari68-69
12/02/17HPesaro79-62
05/02/17APistoia59-67
30/01/17HOlimpia Milano80-68
25/01/17HJuventus74-64
22/01/17ATorino79-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Reggiana
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL52%
HomeWLLWL70%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%70%36%
Points / game81.084.378.1
Allowed / game82.281.383.1
Point differential-1.2+3.0-5.0
Avg total163.3165.6161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL62%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%73%50%
Points / game79.582.176.6
Allowed / game75.074.076.1
Point differential+4.5+8.1+0.5
Avg total154.5156.1152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%55%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %10%9%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2118386%87.879.0+8.8
2 Avellino2113862%79.575.0+4.5
3 Venezia2113862%81.779.0+2.7
4 Sassari2112957%77.273.2+4.0
5 Trento2112957%75.671.8+3.8
6 Capo d'Orlando2112957%77.977.4+0.5
7 Reggiana21111052%81.082.2-1.2
8 Brindisi22111150%84.082.7+1.3
9 Pistoia21101148%75.176.3-1.2
10 Torino21101148%81.885.3-3.5
11 Brescia22101245%80.380.1+0.1
12 Caserta2191243%80.083.6-3.7
13 Cantu2181338%77.681.5-3.9
14 Varese2171433%75.980.9-5.0
15 Pesaro2171433%73.078.2-5.1
16 Cremona2161529%77.880.0-2.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Reggiana152120221189
Avellino202113241290
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