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Varese vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 68-74
24-12 18-30 15-17 11-15
Position#10
Record3-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#11
Record2-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game84.3
ItalyLega ARound 8
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Varese v Brescia
14 Feb 2026
VAR98
BRE96
25 Jan 2025
VAR77
BRE118
30 Mar 2024
VAR92
BRE95
28 Jan 2023
VAR80
BRE72
26 Sep 2021
VAR75
BRE72
27 Sep 2020
VAR94
BRE89
13 Sep 2020
VAR102
BRE100
11 Mar 2020
VAR v BRE
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
VAR81
BRE80
16 May 2018
VAR64
BRE69
11 Feb 2018
VAR100
BRE72
19 Nov 2016
VAR68
BRE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
95avg 110
A16/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
W
83-82
83
82
+1
no box
H19/10
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
91-81 OT
91
81
+10
no box
H23/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
60-94
60
94
-34
no box
A25/10
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
L
64-97
64
97
-33
no box
A30/10
Lega A
PAOK
#22
L
70-75
70
75
-5
no box
H01/11
Champions League
Avellino
#3
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
no box
H06/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#23
L
66-91
66
91
-25
no box
A09/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
87-83
87
83
+4
114avg 110
A13/11
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
62-69
62
69
-7
no box
H16/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
17-22
19-18
19-17
16-25
23-19
22-14
22-24
15-22
18-18
19-16
24-20
17-24
14-29
17-14
12-27
14-20
14-22
15-28
21-27
12-17
23-21
20-14
15-23
19-16
16-20
18-17
15-15
19-27
19-28
16-13
12-23
17-13
21-17
20-24
29-29
19-18
18-14
11-21
14-16
156.1Avg total
73.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.381.6160.9-2.343%
Season at home (3)87.078.0165.0+9.067%
Season away (4)73.584.2157.8-10.825%
Last 10 (10)73.183.0156.1-9.930%
Last 5 (5)72.479.4151.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.178.3151.4-5.136%
vs Similar ◀ (16)82.979.9162.8+3.069%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
60-69
60
69
-9
no box
A19/06
A2 - Play Offs
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
no box
A21/06
A2 - Play Offs
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
W
83-59
83
59
+24
no box
H24/06
A2 - Play Offs
Pesaro
#15
L
63-76
63
76
-13
no box
A02/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
76-56
76
56
+20
101avg 105
H09/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
73-96
73
96
-23
98avg 105
A15/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
80-97
80
97
-17
103avg 105
H23/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
79-92
79
92
-13
102avg 105
A30/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
no box
H05/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
91-83
91
83
+8
120avg 105
A13/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
12-12
11-14
20-22
19-25
24-31
14-23
13-15
25-13
20-20
19-10
19-16
14-20
9-19
18-12
22-25
21-17
23-17
15-14
17-8
22-21
15-30
21-20
15-25
16-23
18-27
31-25
15-22
21-25
11-22
19-21
28-24
18-25
24-18
20-16
16-19
23-22
19-23
23-18
26-20
157.6Avg total
76.4Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.784.3163.0-5.629%
Season at home (3)81.781.0162.7+0.733%
Season away (4)76.586.8163.2-10.225%
Last 10 (10)76.481.2157.6-4.830%
Last 5 (5)82.491.6174.0-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.790.4169.1-11.714%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.472.9148.3+2.554%
vs Weaker (10)85.179.2164.3+5.960%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
VareseBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A16/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H19/10
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H23/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A25/10
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A30/10
Lega A
PAOK
#22
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H01/11
Champions League
Avellino
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H06/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#23
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A09/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A13/11
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H16/11
Champions League
76.1Avg total
34.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.178.5-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.437.878.2+2.559%-
Last 30 away (13)35.843.078.8-7.215%-
Last 10 (10)34.741.476.1-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.274.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.642.479.0-5.921%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.038.078.0+2.056%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A19/06
A2 - Play Offs
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A21/06
A2 - Play Offs
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H24/06
A2 - Play Offs
Pesaro
#15
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A02/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H09/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A15/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H23/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A30/10
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H05/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A13/11
Lega A
80.2Avg total
37.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.578.3-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.177.0+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)35.743.979.6-8.320%-
Last 10 (10)37.143.180.2-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)37.447.284.6-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.146.982.0-11.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.235.772.9+1.554%-
vs Weaker (10)40.442.382.7-1.940%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.4
48.5%
51.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.2
36.9%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.412.4
71.3%
74.0%12.4
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.717.3
44.8%
51.1%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.3
33.8%
35.7%25.0
🏀 Free throws20.816.0
76.8%
74.0%16.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/6 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLLLLLWWL
Brescia
WLLLLWLWLL
#10
League position
#11
-7.9
Net rating
-10.9
100.4
Offensive rating
98.5
108.3
Defensive rating
109.4
51.0%
Effective FG%
47.1%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
19.9%
Turnover %
18.7%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.9%
3-point %
33.8%
59.4%
Assist %
59.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 98.5Defence108.3 · 109.4Shooting51.0% · 47.1%3-point %36.9% · 33.8%Ball care19.9% · 18.7%Off. rebounds27.7% · 26.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
0
Brescia wins
No previous meetings.
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/16HHydroTruck Radom62-69
13/11/16APesaro87-83
09/11/16AVentspils66-91
06/11/16HAvellino77-79 OT
01/11/16HPAOK70-75
30/10/16APistoia64-97
25/10/16ANeptunas60-94
23/10/16HBrindisi91-81 OT
19/10/16HLyon-Villeurbanne83-82
16/10/16AOlimpia Milano71-79
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/16ABrindisi91-83
05/11/16HCapo d'Orlando89-90 OT
30/10/16AAvellino79-92
23/10/16HOlimpia Milano80-97
15/10/16ASassari73-96
09/10/16HCantu76-56
02/10/16APesaro63-76
24/06/16HFortitudo Bologna83-59
21/06/16AFortitudo Bologna70-94
19/06/16AFortitudo Bologna60-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game79.387.073.5
Allowed / game81.678.084.2
Point differential-2.3+9.0-10.8
Avg total160.9165.0157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %29%67%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game78.781.776.5
Allowed / game84.381.086.8
Point differential-5.6+0.7-10.2
Avg total163.0162.7163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano770100%88.678.7+9.9
2 Reggiana76186%84.079.0+5.0
3 Avellino75271%80.376.3+4.0
4 Caserta75271%81.180.6+0.6
5 Capo d'Orlando74357%80.776.4+4.3
6 Sassari74357%79.376.3+3.0
7 Venezia74357%79.177.3+1.9
8 Trento73443%75.674.7+0.9
9 Brindisi73443%80.480.3+0.1
10 Torino73443%82.684.9-2.3
11 Varese73443%79.381.6-2.3
12 Pistoia72529%73.676.0-2.4
13 Pesaro72529%72.076.3-4.3
14 Brescia72529%78.784.3-5.6
15 Cantu72529%75.383.0-7.7
16 Cremona71614%78.083.0-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2418151168
Brescia1230171574
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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