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Caserta vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 79-85
10-21 19-12 28-24 22-28
Position#13
Record9-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game83.6
Caserta
Italy
vs
Cantu 🏆
Italy
Position#14
Record8-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game81.5
ItalyLega ARound 22
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Caserta v Cantu
12 Mar 2017
KAS79
KAN85
22 Nov 2015
KAS71
KAN73
22 Nov 2014
KAS95
KAN107
23 Mar 2014
KAS64
KAN60
02 Dec 2012
KAS76
KAN74
07 Mar 2012
KAS58
KAN75
27 Nov 2010
KAS73
KAN65
06 Dec 2009
KAS82
KAN67
19 Oct 2008
KAS62
KAN86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H18/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A27/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H01/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
A08/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
A22/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H29/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H05/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A13/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H26/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A04/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-10
21-26
26-20
20-31
16-29
26-27
14-15
16-29
23-22
20-26
23-18
16-20
17-20
17-23
26-31
17-21
22-21
15-24
23-18
16-13
21-28
22-19
19-19
18-20
14-20
16-22
16-15
33-18
22-29
18-11
11-18
13-19
20-17
15-20
19-17
20-24
13-23
19-17
22-12
12-24
160.7Avg total
76.2Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.083.6163.6-3.743%
Season at home (10)81.378.8160.1+2.560%
Season away (11)78.788.0166.7-9.327%
Last 10 (10)76.284.5160.7-8.320%
Last 5 (5)72.678.4151.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.587.8166.3-9.37%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.279.4157.6-1.162%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#7
L
87-94 OT
87
94
-7
A19/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H27/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A02/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H10/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H29/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A05/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A12/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H26/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
98-83
98
83
+15
H06/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
24-16
21-15
16-29
15-26
18-19
16-13
23-13
21-16
23-14
12-19
21-19
25-24
20-17
10-28
24-16
23-16
15-27
13-27
21-23
21-13
19-12
15-18
26-22
15-22
26-12
15-23
17-21
14-21
23-12
17-24
11-23
11-23
12-25
24-12
26-19
26-24
21-24
26-14
25-21
157.3Avg total
77.7Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.681.5159.1-3.938%
Season at home (11)81.578.6160.1+2.855%
Season away (10)73.484.7158.1-11.320%
Last 10 (10)77.779.6157.3-1.940%
Last 5 (5)78.077.0155.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.983.1163.0-3.233%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.580.8157.3-4.331%
vs Weaker (2)90.571.0161.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.4+0.4
CasertaCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H01/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A08/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H29/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H05/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/03
Lega A
80.6Avg total
37.2Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.542.279.8-4.720%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.841.179.9-2.429%-
Last 30 away (16)36.443.279.6-6.812%-
Last 10 (10)37.243.480.6-6.20%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.277.2-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.745.082.7-7.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.439.877.2-2.425%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A19/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H27/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A02/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H29/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A05/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A12/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
23-48
23
48
-25
H26/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H06/03
Lega A
77.4Avg total
39.1Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.480.1-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.581.3+0.460%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.378.8-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.377.4+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.675.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.441.582.9-0.158%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.940.978.8-2.938%-
vs Weaker (2)43.529.573.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.7
49.4%
51.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.4
33.1%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.013.7
68.5%
74.0%13.7
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.221.0
49.8%
51.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.9
37.1%
35.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws14.611.4
78.1%
74.0%11.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caserta
LLLWLWLLLL
Cantu
WLLLWLLWWL
#13
League position
#14
-11.0
Net rating
-1.0
94.1
Offensive rating
104.8
105.1
Defensive rating
105.7
49.5%
Effective FG%
51.7%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
21.0%
Turnover %
17.4%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.1%
3-point %
37.1%
58.6%
Assist %
62.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.1 · 104.8Defence105.1 · 105.7Shooting49.5% · 51.7%3-point %33.1% · 37.1%Ball care21.0% · 17.4%Off. rebounds23.6% · 26.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Caserta   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Caserta wins
6
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
13/11/16Cantu v Caserta82-83
13/03/16Cantu v Caserta92-69
22/11/15Caserta v Cantu71-73
15/03/15Cantu v Caserta83-72
22/11/14Caserta v Cantu95-107 OT
23/03/14Caserta v Cantu64-60
08/12/13Cantu v Caserta84-82
01/04/13Cantu v Caserta65-66
02/12/12Caserta v Cantu76-74 OT
07/03/12Caserta v Cantu58-75
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/17ATrento66-76
26/02/17HOlimpia Milano74-78
13/02/17APistoia64-77
05/02/17HCremona79-75
29/01/17HVarese80-86
22/01/17AReggiana86-85 OT
08/01/17ASassari77-95
01/01/17HAvellino82-86
27/12/16ABrindisi72-100
18/12/16HPesaro82-87
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/17HReggiana98-83
26/02/17HCapo d'Orlando73-79
12/02/17ASassari65-80
05/02/17APesaro73-78
29/01/17HBrescia81-65
22/01/17AVenezia72-93
10/01/17HOlimpia Milano79-85
02/01/17ATrento77-68
27/12/16HCremona72-71
19/12/16APistoia87-94 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeLLLWL60%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%60%27%
Points / game80.081.378.7
Allowed / game83.678.888.0
Point differential-3.7+2.5-9.3
Avg total163.6160.1166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %10%0%18%
Cantu
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeWLWLW55%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%55%20%
Points / game77.681.573.4
Allowed / game81.578.684.7
Point differential-3.9+2.8-11.3
Avg total159.1160.1158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2118386%87.879.0+8.8
2 Avellino2214864%80.075.6+4.3
3 Venezia2113862%81.779.0+2.7
4 Sassari2112957%77.273.2+4.0
5 Trento2112957%75.671.8+3.8
6 Capo d'Orlando2112957%77.977.4+0.5
7 Brindisi22111150%84.082.7+1.3
8 Reggiana22111150%81.482.6-1.2
9 Pistoia21101148%75.176.3-1.2
10 Torino21101148%81.885.3-3.5
11 Brescia22101245%80.380.1+0.1
12 Caserta2191243%80.083.6-3.7
13 Cantu2181338%77.681.5-3.9
14 Varese2171433%75.980.9-5.0
15 Pesaro2171433%73.078.2-5.1
16 Cremona2161529%77.880.0-2.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caserta1019282279
Cantu2112242885
← all games of the day
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