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Pesaro vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 78-73
22-15 12-26 23-15 21-17
Position#15
Record5-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game78.5
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record7-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game81.9
ItalyLega ARound 18
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Pesaro v Cantu
01 Dec 2024
PES90
KAN67
24 Jan 2021
PES107
KAN83
26 Dec 2019
PES72
KAN87
17 Mar 2019
PES72
KAN80
22 Apr 2018
PES82
KAN91
05 Feb 2017
PES78
KAN73
24 Apr 2016
PES96
KAN90
04 Jan 2015
PES83
KAN103
02 Feb 2014
PES82
KAN79
18 Nov 2012
PES66
KAN76
24 May 2012
PES80
KAN68
22 May 2012
PES91
KAN78
21 Mar 2012
PES72
KAN69
18 Feb 2012
PES64
KAN71
06 Jan 2011
PES76
KAN75
01 Nov 2009
PES60
KAN75
11 Jan 2009
PES84
KAN86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
L
80-87
80
87
-7
102avg 97
A20/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
98avg 97
H27/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
73-71
73
71
+2
98avg 97
A04/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
no box
H11/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
87-82
87
82
+5
108avg 97
A18/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
57-59
57
59
-2
82avg 97
H27/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
105avg 97
A02/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
70-68
70
68
+2
90avg 97
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
68-99
68
99
-31
92avg 97
A22/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
65-66
65
66
-1
88avg 97
H29/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
13-25
21-8
20-31
22-23
15-19
19-14
17-22
29-22
12-23
15-13
17-13
21-19
20-14
22-26
24-28
10-15
26-21
20-26
31-20
7-13
16-13
19-16
15-17
23-16
24-34
18-25
19-13
16-17
14-19
17-15
23-17
17-31
16-22
13-21
22-25
12-18
16-18
23-13
14-17
155.3Avg total
75.3Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.978.5152.4-4.529%
Season at home (9)73.273.4146.7-0.233%
Season away (8)74.884.1158.9-9.425%
Last 10 (10)75.380.0155.3-4.730%
Last 5 (5)68.876.0144.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.881.5159.3-3.627%
vs Similar ◀ (19)75.676.4151.9-0.847%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
82-90
82
90
-8
107avg 106
A21/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
77-89
77
89
-12
107avg 106
H27/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
92-82
92
82
+10
125avg 106
A03/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
75-74
75
74
+1
102avg 106
H12/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
87-94 OT
87
94
-7
no box
A19/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
72-71
72
71
+1
100avg 106
H27/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
77-68
77
68
+9
106avg 106
A02/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
79-85
79
85
-6
107avg 106
H10/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
97avg 106
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
81-65
81
65
+16
115avg 106
H29/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
17-23
30-22
21-23
24-25
7-22
20-21
26-21
28-20
30-18
13-31
21-13
28-17
10-20
9-20
28-17
19-20
24-16
21-15
16-29
15-26
18-19
16-13
23-13
21-16
23-14
12-19
21-19
25-24
20-17
10-28
24-16
23-16
15-27
13-27
21-23
21-13
19-12
15-18
26-22
160.5Avg total
79.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.781.9159.6-4.241%
Season at home (9)80.678.1158.7+2.456%
Season away (8)74.586.1160.6-11.625%
Last 10 (10)79.481.1160.5-1.750%
Last 5 (5)76.276.4152.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.784.0165.7-2.336%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.881.0157.8-4.238%
vs Weaker (3)84.373.7158.0+10.767%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
PesaroCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A20/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H27/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A04/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/12
Lega A
Caserta
#13
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A18/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H27/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A02/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A22/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H29/01
Lega A
76.0Avg total
35.5Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.076.8-1.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.836.072.8+0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)39.142.481.5-3.421%-
Last 10 (10)35.540.576.0-5.010%-
Last 5 (5)32.240.272.4-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.839.577.3-1.645%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.838.776.6-0.926%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A21/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H27/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A03/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H12/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A19/12
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H27/12
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A02/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H29/01
Lega A
78.8Avg total
40.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.280.4+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.739.482.1+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)37.740.978.7-3.227%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.778.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.876.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)42.741.484.1+1.464%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.641.179.7-2.431%-
vs Weaker (3)39.731.070.7+8.767%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.6
50.0%
51.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.1
32.1%
35.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws14.610.6
72.6%
74.0%10.6
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.322.2
50.1%
51.1%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.57.6
39.0%
35.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws14.811.3
76.4%
74.0%11.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLWLLWLWLL
Cantu
WLLWWLWWLL
#15
League position
#14
-5.9
Net rating
-0.4
98.1
Offensive rating
104.8
104.0
Defensive rating
105.2
49.4%
Effective FG%
52.7%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
17.7%
Turnover %
19.8%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.1%
3-point %
39.0%
39.4%
Assist %
63.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 104.8Defence104.0 · 105.2Shooting49.4% · 52.7%3-point %32.1% · 39.0%Ball care17.7% · 19.8%Off. rebounds24.6% · 30.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
16/10/16Cantu v Pesaro77-68
24/04/16Pesaro v Cantu96-90
27/12/15Cantu v Pesaro90-65
03/05/15Cantu v Pesaro83-67
04/01/15Pesaro v Cantu83-103
02/02/14Pesaro v Cantu82-79
27/10/13Cantu v Pesaro93-78
17/03/13Cantu v Pesaro74-62
18/11/12Pesaro v Cantu66-76
26/05/12Cantu v Pesaro69-78
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/17HTorino65-66
22/01/17ABrescia68-99
08/01/17HCapo d'Orlando70-68
02/01/17AOlimpia Milano84-88
27/12/16HPistoia57-59
18/12/16ACaserta87-82
11/12/16HBrindisi96-102 OT
04/12/16ACremona73-71
27/11/16HTrento73-78
20/11/16AReggiana80-87
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/17HBrescia81-65
22/01/17AVenezia72-93
10/01/17HOlimpia Milano79-85
02/01/17ATrento77-68
27/12/16HCremona72-71
19/12/16APistoia87-94 OT
12/12/16HAvellino75-74
03/12/16AVarese92-82
27/11/16HTorino77-89
21/11/16ABrindisi82-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLWWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game73.973.274.8
Allowed / game78.573.484.1
Point differential-4.5-0.2-9.4
Avg total152.4146.7158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)17% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Cantu
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW41%
HomeLWWLW56%
AwayLWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%56%25%
Points / game77.780.674.5
Allowed / game81.978.186.1
Point differential-4.2+2.4-11.6
Avg total159.6158.7160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1714382%87.879.4+8.5
2 Avellino1712571%80.574.9+5.6
3 Venezia1812667%81.979.6+2.4
4 Sassari1710759%78.974.5+4.5
5 Capo d'Orlando179853%78.377.9+0.4
6 Reggiana179853%80.781.5-0.8
7 Torino179853%81.283.1-1.9
8 Trento189950%75.272.4+2.8
9 Brescia178947%81.980.8+1.1
10 Brindisi178947%83.183.0+0.1
11 Pistoia178947%75.877.8-2.1
12 Caserta178947%82.185.3-3.2
13 Cantu1771041%77.781.9-4.2
14 Pesaro1751229%73.978.5-4.5
15 Varese1751229%76.380.9-4.6
16 Cremona1741324%74.679.1-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2212232178
Cantu1526151773
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