PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Trento vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 76-66
23-13 17-19 12-22 24-12
Position#4
Record11-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game72.0
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Caserta
Italy
Position#13
Record9-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game84.0
ItalyLega ARound 21
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Trento v Caserta
04 Mar 2017
TRE76
KAS66
03 Jan 2016
TRE71
KAS66
29 Mar 2015
TRE73
KAS66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caserta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
66-69
66
69
-3
92avg 102
A10/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
103avg 102
H18/12
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
80-74
80
74
+6
104avg 102
A27/12
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
68-77
68
77
-9
90avg 102
H02/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
69-79 OT
69
79
-10
no box
A08/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
84-48
84
48
+36
120avg 102
H22/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
78-59
78
59
+19
110avg 102
A29/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
65-57
65
57
+8
89avg 102
H05/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
71-63
71
63
+8
96avg 102
A12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
114avg 102
A26/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
14-15
10-22
15-18
24-13
22-21
17-21
21-13
18-25
20-20
18-11
24-18
16-21
14-23
19-12
19-21
18-13
14-17
13-14
20-21
25-12
15-13
24-9
20-14
21-9
17-15
17-22
23-13
14-11
17-14
16-13
18-19
17-15
20-18
18-16
16-14
17-25
23-19
19-10
28-21
142.1Avg total
75.2Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.572.0147.6+3.555%
Season at home (9)77.872.6150.3+5.256%
Season away (11)73.771.6145.4+2.155%
Last 10 (10)75.266.9142.1+8.370%
Last 5 (5)77.060.4137.4+16.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.775.7144.3-7.00%
vs Similar (13)71.870.0141.8+1.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)78.474.9153.4+3.564%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
L
77-80
77
80
-3
103avg 107
A11/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
110avg 107
H18/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
72-100
72
100
-28
no box
A27/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
82-86
82
86
-4
114avg 107
H01/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
105avg 107
A08/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
no box
A22/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
80-86
80
86
-6
106avg 107
H29/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
105avg 107
H05/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
64-77
64
77
-13
89avg 107
A13/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-78
74
78
-4
101avg 107
H26/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
16-27
23-21
14-13
15-10
21-26
26-20
20-31
16-29
26-27
14-15
16-29
23-22
20-26
23-18
16-20
17-20
17-23
26-31
17-21
22-21
15-24
23-18
16-13
21-28
22-19
19-19
18-20
14-20
16-22
16-15
33-18
22-29
18-11
11-18
13-19
20-17
15-20
19-17
20-24
162.2Avg total
77.3Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.784.0164.7-3.345%
Season at home (10)81.378.8160.1+2.560%
Season away (10)80.089.2169.2-9.230%
Last 10 (10)77.384.9162.2-7.620%
Last 5 (5)76.680.2156.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.588.7168.2-9.28%
vs Similar (17)78.880.2159.1-1.459%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
TrentoCaserta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A10/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H18/12
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A27/12
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H02/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A08/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H22/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A29/01
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H05/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A26/02
Lega A
70.6Avg total
37.3Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.235.372.5+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.435.472.8+2.062%-
Last 30 away (17)37.135.272.3+1.959%-
Last 10 (10)37.333.370.6+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.230.267.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.037.373.3-1.333%-
vs Similar (13)35.331.967.2+3.469%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.337.977.2+1.457%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A11/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H01/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A08/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H29/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H05/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/02
Lega A
82.0Avg total
38.0Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.942.280.1-4.323%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.141.180.1-2.033%-
Last 30 away (15)36.743.480.1-6.713%-
Last 10 (10)38.044.082.0-6.00%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.279.2-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.245.483.5-7.215%-
vs Similar (17)37.739.877.5-2.129%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.4
50.4%
51.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.2
32.6%
35.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.812.5
70.2%
74.0%12.5
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.0
50.7%
51.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.0
34.1%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.113.8
68.7%
74.0%13.8
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WWWWWLLWWL
Caserta
LLWLWLLLLL
#4
League position
#13
+10.3
Net rating
-8.5
103.1
Offensive rating
97.9
92.8
Defensive rating
106.4
49.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.8%
Turnover %
19.1%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.6%
3-point %
34.1%
47.8%
Assist %
59.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 97.9Defence92.8 · 106.4Shooting49.8% · 50.9%3-point %32.6% · 34.1%Ball care18.8% · 19.1%Off. rebounds32.3% · 22.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Trento   ■ Caserta
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Trento wins
2
Caserta wins
DateGameScore
06/11/16Caserta v Trento84-67
04/05/16Caserta v Trento73-70
03/01/16Trento v Caserta71-66
29/03/15Trento v Caserta73-66
08/12/14Caserta v Trento88-90
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/17AReggiana87-75
12/02/17ACapo d'Orlando71-63
05/02/17HVenezia65-57
29/01/17ACremona78-59
22/01/17HBrindisi84-48
08/01/17AAvellino69-79 OT
02/01/17HCantu68-77
27/12/16ABrescia80-74
18/12/16HVarese84-68
10/12/16ASassari66-69
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/17HOlimpia Milano74-78
13/02/17APistoia64-77
05/02/17HCremona79-75
29/01/17HVarese80-86
22/01/17AReggiana86-85 OT
08/01/17ASassari77-95
01/01/17HAvellino82-86
27/12/16ABrindisi72-100
18/12/16HPesaro82-87
11/12/16ATorino77-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW55%
HomeLWLWW56%
AwayWLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %55%56%55%
Points / game75.577.873.7
Allowed / game72.072.671.6
Point differential+3.5+5.2+2.1
Avg total147.6150.3145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%0%18%
Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL45%
HomeLLLWL60%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%60%30%
Points / game80.781.380.0
Allowed / game84.078.889.2
Point differential-3.4+2.5-9.2
Avg total164.7160.1169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2017385%88.179.2+8.9
2 Avellino2013765%79.774.7+5.0
3 Venezia2012860%81.579.8+1.6
4 Sassari2011955%77.073.2+3.9
5 Trento2011955%75.572.0+3.5
6 Capo d'Orlando2011955%78.278.0+0.3
7 Reggiana2011955%81.081.5-0.5
8 Brescia20101050%80.980.0+0.8
9 Pistoia20101050%75.176.0-0.9
10 Torino20101050%82.285.5-3.3
11 Brindisi2091145%83.282.8+0.3
12 Caserta2091145%80.784.0-3.4
13 Pesaro2071335%73.777.8-4.2
14 Cantu2071335%76.681.5-4.8
15 Cremona2061430%77.579.3-1.8
16 Varese2061430%75.681.2-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2317122476
Caserta1319221266
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.