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Pistoia vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 77-64
29-22 11-18 18-11 19-13
Position#7
Record9-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game76.8
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Caserta
Italy
Position#13
Record9-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game84.7
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Pistoia v Caserta
11 Nov 2026
PIS78
KAS70
13 Feb 2017
PIS77
KAS64
15 Nov 2015
PIS93
KAS84
15 Feb 2015
PIS87
KAS76
11 May 2014
PIS73
KAS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caserta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
70-104
70
104
-34
91avg 102
A27/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
89-73
89
73
+16
125avg 102
H04/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
64-79
64
79
-15
84avg 102
A11/12
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
94-87 OT
94
87
+7
no box
H19/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
59-57
59
57
+2
87avg 102
A27/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
85-71
85
71
+14
117avg 102
H02/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
79-97
79
97
-18
104avg 102
A08/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
64-59
64
59
+5
93avg 102
H22/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
85-86
85
86
-1
113avg 102
A29/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
67-59
67
59
+8
92avg 102
H05/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
22-31
16-27
14-25
20-22
25-16
19-22
25-13
22-19
10-22
22-21
10-17
20-19
16-24
15-21
29-16
13-7
13-16
16-19
17-15
20-20
26-18
17-12
22-21
20-21
16-18
22-31
21-27
9-19
15-13
20-12
20-15
20-23
25-14
19-26
21-23
14-22
13-13
16-6
24-18
152.8Avg total
75.6Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.376.8152.1-1.550%
Season at home (9)81.971.2153.1+10.789%
Season away (9)68.782.3151.0-13.711%
Last 10 (10)75.677.2152.8-1.660%
Last 5 (5)76.074.4150.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.890.7167.5-13.817%
vs Similar ◀ (22)75.575.9151.4-0.545%
vs Weaker (2)76.572.0148.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaserta
Date
Competition
Venezia
#1
L
92-98 OT
92
98
-6
no box
A27/11
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
89-83
89
83
+6
117avg 108
H04/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
77-80
77
80
-3
103avg 108
A11/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
110avg 108
H18/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
72-100
72
100
-28
no box
A27/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
82-86
82
86
-4
114avg 108
H01/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
105avg 108
A08/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
no box
A22/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
80-86
80
86
-6
106avg 108
H29/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
105avg 108
H05/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
12-19
16-21
20-16
29-27
17-22
23-13
20-21
24-19
16-27
23-21
14-13
15-10
21-26
26-20
20-31
16-29
26-27
14-15
16-29
23-22
20-26
23-18
16-20
17-20
17-23
26-31
17-21
22-21
15-24
23-18
16-13
21-28
22-19
19-19
18-20
14-20
16-22
16-15
33-18
169.1Avg total
81.6Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.984.7166.7-2.850%
Season at home (9)82.178.9161.0+3.267%
Season away (9)81.890.6172.3-8.833%
Last 10 (10)81.687.5169.1-5.930%
Last 5 (5)80.885.4166.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.989.6169.5-9.78%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.078.7156.7-0.761%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
PistoiaCaserta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A27/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H04/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A11/12
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H19/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A27/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H02/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H22/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A29/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H05/02
Lega A
73.5Avg total
35.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.239.275.3-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.837.173.9-0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)35.640.976.6-5.325%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.873.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.271.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.746.884.5-9.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)36.237.673.9-1.441%-
vs Weaker (2)31.033.064.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#1
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A27/11
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H04/12
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A11/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H18/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A27/12
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H01/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A08/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H29/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H05/02
Lega A
83.0Avg total
38.5Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.042.080.0-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.440.880.2-1.440%-
Last 30 away (15)36.743.279.9-6.520%-
Last 10 (10)38.544.583.0-6.010%-
Last 5 (5)37.445.082.4-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.446.184.5-7.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.839.377.1-1.539%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.022.1
48.0%
51.1%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.7
27.7%
35.7%17.1
🏀 Free throws13.110.3
78.6%
74.0%10.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.7
52.2%
51.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.3
37.3%
35.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.414.9
69.6%
74.0%14.9
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WLWLWWWLWL
Caserta
WLWLLLLLWL
#7
League position
#13
-4.8
Net rating
-3.7
94.6
Offensive rating
104.7
99.3
Defensive rating
108.4
46.0%
Effective FG%
53.8%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
18.4%
Turnover %
18.3%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.36
27.7%
3-point %
37.3%
56.8%
Assist %
63.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 104.7Defence99.3 · 108.4Shooting46.0% · 53.8%3-point %27.7% · 37.3%Ball care18.4% · 18.3%Off. rebounds27.5% · 23.2%Free throws0.20 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Pistoia   ■ Caserta
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pistoia wins
2
Caserta wins
DateGameScore
24/10/16Caserta v Pistoia74-65
06/03/16Caserta v Pistoia88-94
15/11/15Pistoia v Caserta93-84 OT
15/02/15Pistoia v Caserta87-76
02/11/14Caserta v Pistoia59-63
11/05/14Pistoia v Caserta73-68
12/01/14Caserta v Pistoia80-74
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/17HAvellino67-59
29/01/17ABrindisi85-86
22/01/17HCremona64-59
08/01/17ABrescia79-97
02/01/17HReggiana85-71
27/12/16APesaro59-57
19/12/16HCantu94-87 OT
11/12/16ACapo d'Orlando64-79
04/12/16HTorino89-73
27/11/16AOlimpia Milano70-104
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/17HCremona79-75
29/01/17HVarese80-86
22/01/17AReggiana86-85 OT
08/01/17ASassari77-95
01/01/17HAvellino82-86
27/12/16ABrindisi72-100
18/12/16HPesaro82-87
11/12/16ATorino77-80
04/12/16HBrescia89-83
27/11/16AVenezia92-98 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%89%11%
Points / game75.381.968.7
Allowed / game76.871.282.3
Point differential-1.5+10.7-13.7
Avg total152.1153.1151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%22%0%
Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWLLLW67%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game81.982.181.8
Allowed / game84.778.990.6
Point differential-2.8+3.2-8.8
Avg total166.7161.0172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %11%0%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1916384%88.679.5+9.2
2 Avellino1913668%79.373.8+5.5
3 Venezia1912763%81.579.3+2.2
4 Sassari1911858%77.473.0+4.4
5 Reggiana1911858%81.381.2+0.1
6 Trento1910953%74.971.9+3.1
7 Capo d'Orlando1910953%78.278.2+0.0
8 Pistoia189950%75.376.8-1.5
9 Caserta189950%81.984.7-2.8
10 Brescia1991047%80.479.7+0.7
11 Brindisi1991047%82.982.5+0.5
12 Torino1991047%81.885.4-3.6
13 Cantu1971237%76.881.6-4.8
14 Pesaro1961332%73.578.2-4.7
15 Cremona1951426%76.879.2-2.4
16 Varese1951426%75.681.7-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2911181977
Caserta2218111364
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