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Caserta vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 58-61
21-13 12-10 11-24 14-14
Position#13
Record9-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game83.3
Caserta
Italy
vs
Venezia 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record15-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game78.2
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Caserta v Venezia
26 Mar 2017
KAS58
VEN61
21 Mar 2016
KAS73
VEN80
22 Mar 2015
KAS84
VEN73
13 Oct 2013
KAS84
VEN65
23 Dec 2012
KAS77
VEN83
25 Apr 2012
KAS83
VEN80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H01/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
A08/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
A22/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H29/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H05/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A13/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H26/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H12/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A19/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
20-26
23-18
16-20
17-20
17-23
26-31
17-21
22-21
15-24
23-18
16-13
21-28
22-19
19-19
18-20
14-20
16-22
16-15
33-18
22-29
18-11
11-18
13-19
20-17
15-20
19-17
20-24
13-23
19-17
22-12
12-24
10-21
19-12
28-24
22-28
17-15
19-21
17-21
18-17
157.5Avg total
75.8Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.583.3162.8-3.739%
Season at home (11)81.179.4160.5+1.755%
Season away (12)78.186.8164.9-8.825%
Last 10 (10)75.881.7157.5-5.920%
Last 5 (5)70.878.0148.8-7.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.787.2165.8-8.58%
vs Similar (18)77.979.4157.3-1.556%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H12/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H17/02
Italian Cup
Ventspils
#23
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H22/02
Champions League
Cremona
#16
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A26/02
Lega A
Avellino
#10
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H01/03
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H05/03
Lega A
Avellino
#10
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A08/03
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A12/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H19/03
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A22/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
11-25
17-20
21-17
15-25
22-17
18-14
13-20
23-17
7-13
15-16
25-15
18-27
17-24
21-23
26-17
12-18
10-12
18-15
13-4
22-22
20-14
18-14
25-11
21-14
19-13
16-22
16-19
19-17
17-24
28-17
14-13
25-9
11-26
35-12
18-23
15-25
15-15
17-15
24-19
143.6Avg total
74.1Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.878.2160.0+3.665%
Season at home (12)81.173.9155.0+7.275%
Season away (11)82.682.9165.5-0.355%
Last 10 (10)74.169.5143.6+4.660%
Last 5 (5)79.068.8147.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.870.4136.2-4.660%
vs Similar (15)77.778.9156.7-1.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.773.9157.6+9.878%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.7+3.7
CasertaVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H01/01
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A08/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H29/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H05/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H12/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/03
Lega A
77.0Avg total
35.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.141.478.4-4.320%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.140.678.7-2.527%-
Last 30 away (15)36.042.178.1-6.113%-
Last 10 (10)35.941.177.0-5.20%-
Last 5 (5)34.437.271.6-2.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.444.682.0-7.217%-
vs Similar (18)36.839.276.1-2.422%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H12/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H17/02
Italian Cup
Ventspils
#23
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H22/02
Champions League
Cremona
#16
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A26/02
Lega A
Avellino
#10
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H01/03
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H05/03
Lega A
Avellino
#10
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A08/03
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H19/03
Lega A
Karsiyaka
#8
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A22/03
Champions League
71.2Avg total
34.3Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.837.573.2-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.836.973.8-0.138%-
Last 30 away (14)34.638.172.6-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)34.336.971.2-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.872.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.036.467.4-5.420%-
vs Similar (15)35.837.773.5-1.927%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.237.275.4+1.056%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.0
49.0%
51.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.7
30.8%
35.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.914.3
68.4%
74.0%14.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.5 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.5
50.7%
51.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.311.6
38.3%
35.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws11.17.5
67.6%
74.0%7.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caserta
LLLLLWLWLL
Venezia
LWWWWWLWLL
#13
League position
#1
-11.2
Net rating
+8.8
93.3
Offensive rating
105.2
104.5
Defensive rating
96.3
47.9%
Effective FG%
53.9%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
20.7%
Turnover %
18.9%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.17
30.8%
3-point %
38.3%
53.7%
Assist %
65.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 105.2Defence104.5 · 96.3Shooting47.9% · 53.9%3-point %30.8% · 38.3%Ball care20.7% · 18.9%Off. rebounds25.6% · 27.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Caserta   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Caserta wins
6
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
27/11/16Venezia v Caserta98-92 OT
21/03/16Caserta v Venezia73-80
29/11/15Venezia v Caserta65-58
22/03/15Caserta v Venezia84-73
30/11/14Venezia v Caserta88-76
19/01/14Venezia v Caserta73-60
13/10/13Caserta v Venezia84-65
14/04/13Venezia v Caserta85-88
23/12/12Caserta v Venezia77-83 OT
25/04/12Caserta v Venezia83-80
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/17ACapo d'Orlando71-74
12/03/17HCantu79-85
04/03/17ATrento66-76
26/02/17HOlimpia Milano74-78
13/02/17APistoia64-77
05/02/17HCremona79-75
29/01/17HVarese80-86
22/01/17AReggiana86-85 OT
08/01/17ASassari77-95
01/01/17HAvellino82-86
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/17AKarsiyaka71-74
19/03/17HTorino89-70
12/03/17APistoia78-71
08/03/17AAvellino72-68
05/03/17HPesaro85-61
01/03/17HAvellino53-49
26/02/17ACremona82-91
22/02/17HVentspils70-61
17/02/17HBrescia68-76
12/02/17HReggiana73-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL39%
HomeLLWLL55%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %39%55%25%
Points / game79.581.178.1
Allowed / game83.379.486.8
Point differential-3.7+1.7-8.8
Avg total162.8160.5164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Venezia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW65%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayWLLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%75%55%
Points / game81.881.182.6
Allowed / game78.273.982.9
Point differential+3.6+7.2-0.3
Avg total160.0155.0165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%42%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %17%8%27%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2320387%87.478.7+8.7
2 Avellino2315865%79.875.2+4.7
3 Venezia2315865%81.878.2+3.6
4 Capo d'Orlando2314961%78.177.3+0.7
5 Trento23131057%76.272.8+3.4
6 Sassari23121152%76.673.8+2.8
7 Reggiana23121152%81.882.5-0.7
8 Brindisi23111248%83.782.7+1.0
9 Torino23111248%81.084.7-3.6
10 Brescia23101343%80.280.4-0.3
11 Pistoia23101343%75.677.3-1.7
12 Cantu23101343%78.281.2-3.0
13 Varese2391439%77.180.6-3.5
14 Caserta2391439%79.583.3-3.7
15 Pesaro2371630%73.679.4-5.8
16 Cremona2361726%78.080.6-2.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caserta2112111458
Venezia1310241461
← all games of the day
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