Caserta vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2015

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 54-53

7-12 19-16 12-19 16-6

Position#16

Record1-14

FormLLLLW

Points / game75.3

Allowed / game83.8

Caserta 🏆

Virtus Roma

Position#14

Record6-9

FormWWWLW

Points / game73.6

Allowed / game76.3

Lega ARound 16

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Caserta v Virtus Roma

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caserta winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Capo d'Orlando

#15

64-68

-4

A16/11

Lega A

Cantu

95-107 OT

107

-12

H22/11

Lega A

Venezia

76-88

-12

A30/11

Lega A

Trento

88-90

-2

H08/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

71-78

-7

A14/12

Lega A

Varese

#12

78-82

-4

H21/12

Lega A

Avellino

#13

91-105

105

-14

H26/12

Lega A

Sassari

84-95

-11

A29/12

Lega A

Reggiana

74-95

-21

A04/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

80-73

H11/01

Lega A

13-12

15-18

18-15

18-23

25-13

18-22

17-25

24-24

16-24

22-18

27-17

11-29

20-19

21-23

22-25

25-23

22-17

14-17

16-26

19-18

13-25

21-19

25-11

19-27

19-31

25-28

21-21

26-25

25-31

22-21

18-23

19-20

15-21

19-21

16-27

24-26

21-16

20-10

24-24

15-23

168.2Avg total

80.1Scored

88.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	75.3	83.8	159.1	-8.5	7%
Season at home (8)	78.2	84.9	163.1	-6.6	12%
Season away (7)	72.0	82.6	154.6	-10.6	0%
Last 10 (10)	80.1	88.1	168.2	-8.0	10%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	90.0	171.4	-8.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	77.3	86.0	163.3	-8.7	20%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	68.3	74.6	142.9	-6.3	13%
vs Weaker (5)	80.4	70.2	150.6	+10.2	100%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#13

70-74

-4

A13/12

Lega A

Oldenburg

#28

66-80

-14

A17/12

Eurocup

Olimpia Milano

68-79

-11

H21/12

Lega A

Brindisi

54-84

-30

A26/12

Lega A

Trento

68-75

-7

H29/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

90-84

H04/01

Lega A

Volgograd

#13

82-66

+16

H07/01

Eurocup

Cantu

70-60

+10

A11/01

Lega A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#31

53-67

-14

A14/01

Eurocup

Cedevita

#18

73-66

H21/01

Eurocup

12-23

22-25

16-10

20-16

16-21

12-16

17-23

21-20

19-16

14-18

15-16

20-29

9-20

15-25

15-16

15-23

17-19

21-18

16-19

14-19

22-12

17-20

18-24

33-28

22-8

17-14

19-24

24-20

22-24

17-6

12-19

19-11

11-22

12-6

7-16

23-23

19-12

20-19

11-22

23-13

142.9Avg total

69.4Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	73.6	76.3	149.9	-2.7	40%
Season at home (7)	75.1	73.1	148.3	+2.0	57%
Season away (8)	72.2	79.0	151.2	-6.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	69.4	73.5	142.9	-4.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	68.6	142.2	+5.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	71.6	83.0	154.6	-11.4	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	73.4	73.1	146.5	+0.3	60%
vs Weaker (14)	80.1	75.8	155.9	+4.3	64%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CasertaVirtus Roma

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	19.1	36.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.6	19.4	35.0	-3.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.9	39.8	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	24.8	43.4	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.8	21.1	40.9	-1.3	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	14.3	18.4	32.7	-4.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+4.0	60%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	17.1	36.3	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	20.1	37.7	-2.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	17.7	34.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	15.6	34.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.6	19.2	36.8	-1.6	30%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.0	17.7	36.7	+1.3	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	18.0	35.5	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.2	18.0	35.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	18.1	35.7	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.7	39.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.3	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	16.0	18.1	34.1	-2.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.4	15.2	33.6	+3.2	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	18.9	39.1	+1.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	17.9	35.7	-0.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	16.7	33.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	13.0	29.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.4	18.6	36.0	-1.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.6	17.3	36.9	+2.3	64%	-

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Capo d'Orlando

#15

28-30

-2

A16/11

Lega A

Cantu

43-35

H22/11

Lega A

Venezia

38-42

-4

A30/11

Lega A

Trento

41-42

-1

H08/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

36-34

A14/12

Lega A

Varese

#12

34-44

-10

H21/12

Lega A

Avellino

#13

44-59

-15

H26/12

Lega A

Sassari

47-52

-5

A29/12

Lega A

Reggiana

34-42

-8

A04/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

41-26

+15

H11/01

Lega A

79.2Avg total

38.6Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.7	37.1	71.9	-2.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.2	36.8	73.0	-0.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.3	37.5	70.7	-4.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	40.6	79.2	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	44.6	84.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.9	40.5	79.4	-1.6	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	30.3	36.5	66.8	-6.1	20%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.6	32.4	72.0	+7.2	60%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#13

34-48

-14

A13/12

Lega A

Oldenburg

#28

28-37

-9

A17/12

Eurocup

Olimpia Milano

33-34

-1

H21/12

Lega A

Brindisi

24-45

-21

A26/12

Lega A

Trento

38-37

H29/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

39-32

H04/01

Lega A

Volgograd

#13

39-22

+17

H07/01

Eurocup

Cantu

39-30

A11/01

Lega A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#31

23-28

-5

A14/01

Eurocup

Cedevita

#18

39-31

H21/01

Eurocup

68.0Avg total

33.6Scored

34.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	37.1	74.3	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	36.0	75.4	+3.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.4	38.0	73.4	-2.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.6	34.4	68.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	28.6	64.4	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.2	38.6	74.8	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	36.6	38.4	75.0	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	38.6	35.0	73.6	+3.6	64%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.0	37.4	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.3	39.6	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.7	18.6	35.3	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.4	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.4	17.5	35.9	+0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	18.4	35.8	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	18.1	35.5	-0.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.3	18.7	36.0	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.6	18.9	33.5	-4.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	21.0	34.4	-7.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.6	19.2	35.8	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	16.9	15.7	32.6	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	18.1	19.9	37.9	-1.8	36%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.8	40.5	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.9	40.9	-2.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	23.8	43.8	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.2	44.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.3	21.8	41.1	-2.5	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.9	40.5	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	19.2	41.7	+3.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	20.6	39.4	-1.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.0	43.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	25.2	44.0	-6.4	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	39.8	78.0	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	39.1	79.7	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	40.5	76.2	-4.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	45.2	85.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	45.4	86.8	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.3	43.2	80.5	-5.9	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.9	38.1	76.1	-0.2	47%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.8	37.8	78.6	+3.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	38.4	76.3	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.9	37.4	77.2	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.2	39.2	75.4	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	39.1	74.9	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	40.0	77.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.4	44.4	79.8	-9.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	36.8	34.7	71.5	+2.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (14)	39.3	38.4	77.7	+0.9	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caserta wins

Virtus Roma wins

Date	Game	Score
12/10/14	Virtus Roma v Caserta	75-62
23/02/14	Virtus Roma v Caserta	82-79
10/11/13	Caserta v Virtus Roma	63-68
24/02/13	Caserta v Virtus Roma	64-66
28/10/12	Virtus Roma v Caserta	86-57
25/03/12	Caserta v Virtus Roma	80-90
03/12/11	Virtus Roma v Caserta	82-89
23/04/11	Virtus Roma v Caserta	74-68
02/01/11	Caserta v Virtus Roma	68-60
25/05/10	Virtus Roma v Caserta	74-83

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/01/15	H	Pesaro	80-73
04/01/15	A	Reggiana	74-95
29/12/14	A	Sassari	84-95
26/12/14	H	Avellino	91-105
21/12/14	H	Varese	78-82
14/12/14	A	Olimpia Milano	71-78
08/12/14	H	Trento	88-90
30/11/14	A	Venezia	76-88
22/11/14	H	Cantu	95-107 OT
16/11/14	A	Capo d'Orlando	64-68

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/15	H	Cedevita	73-66
14/01/15	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	53-67
11/01/15	A	Cantu	70-60
07/01/15	H	Volgograd	82-66
04/01/15	H	Virtus Bologna	90-84
29/12/14	H	Trento	68-75
26/12/14	A	Brindisi	54-84
21/12/14	H	Olimpia Milano	68-79
17/12/14	A	Oldenburg	66-80
13/12/14	A	Avellino	70-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caserta

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	7%
Home	LLLLW	12%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	7%	12%	0%
Points / game	75.3	78.2	72.0
Allowed / game	83.8	84.9	82.6
Point differential	-8.5	-6.6	-10.6
Avg total	159.1	163.1	154.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	40%
Home	WWLLW	57%
Away	LLLLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	40%	57%	25%
Points / game	73.6	75.1	72.2
Allowed / game	76.3	73.1	79.0
Point differential	-2.7	+2.0	-6.8
Avg total	149.9	148.3	151.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	29%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	-	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Named Sport Team	1	1	0	100%	146.0	143.0	+3.0
2	Olimpia Milano	16	14	2	88%	85.3	72.4	+12.9
3	Reggiana	15	11	4	73%	80.5	74.2	+6.3
4	Sassari	15	11	4	73%	89.5	83.9	+5.6
5	Venezia	15	11	4	73%	78.8	74.3	+4.5
6	Brindisi	15	9	6	60%	76.1	72.1	+4.0
7	Trento	16	9	7	56%	85.8	84.8	+1.1
8	Cremona	16	8	8	50%	75.0	76.2	-1.2
9	Avellino	15	7	8	47%	76.9	76.7	+0.2
10	Virtus Bologna	15	7	8	47%	74.0	78.3	-4.3
11	Varese	15	6	9	40%	84.8	85.1	-0.3
12	Pistoia	15	6	9	40%	72.9	73.5	-0.7
13	Cantu	15	6	9	40%	76.1	77.1	-1.1
14	Virtus Roma	15	6	9	40%	73.6	76.3	-2.7
15	Capo d'Orlando	15	6	9	40%	71.0	74.3	-3.3
16	Pesaro	15	3	12	20%	70.1	83.9	-13.8
17	Caserta	15	1	14	7%	75.3	83.8	-8.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caserta	7	19	12	16	54
Virtus Roma	12	16	19	6	53

← all games of the day

Caserta vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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